Harbour Energy Share Price (HBR)

Oil Price !

Its almost as if the broker rating by Berenberg was a deliberate ploy to make us retail investors sell, so their buddies at BW group could get hold of some cheap shares....but that's probably just the cynic in me

87th at the moment: https://companiesmarketcap.com/gbp/united-kingdom/largest-companies-in-the-uk-by-market-cap/

Just looking at dates for next FTSE reshuffle. Can Market cap/ share price hold out till below cut off dates?🤞

Key Dates June 2026 Review Cycle

22 May 2026: Indicative review market capitalisation data cut-off date.

26 May 2026: Announcement of the provisional/indicative index membership changes.

2 June 2026: Official market capitalisation cut-off date at market close.

3 June 2026: Definitive announcement of the confirmed index changes after the UK market closes.

22 June 2026: Rebalance becomes fully effective at the start of trading (following implementation after the close on Friday, 19 June)

Asked AI to watched it and these are the main takeaways related to us:

The Oil Market & Geopolitical Shocks:

- Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz has removed roughly 20% of the world's oil and natural gas flows from the market [05:17].

- Despite this massive supply disruption (larger than the Russia-Ukraine war shock), oil prices haven't skyrocketed proportionally because the market remains hopeful the conflict will resolve quickly [08:22].

- Global inventories are draining at an unprecedented rate [08:08], creating a long-term demand tailwind as governments and companies will eventually need to rebuild their stockpiles [14:02].

Sector Behavior and Investment Strategy:

- The energy and mining sectors have shifted away from the "drill/mine baby drill" mentality of 2014, where management teams overproduced and collapsed commodity prices [01:01:39]. Today, companies are highly disciplined, returning half of their cash flow back to shareholders via dividends and stock buybacks [01:07:11].

- Eisman emphasizes that these are deeply cyclical value sectors, making them excellent trading vehicles rather than standard buy-and-hold growth stocks. The ideal strategy is to buy when commodity prices crash and sell when market enthusiasm peaks [01:21:06].