FTSE 100 Chat

Warren Buffet put it more simply: When others are fearful be greedy; when others are greedy be fearful.

FT100 Now 7417 it was lower last few weeks.

From Motley 4th November 2023 .

This is how it works. If investing feels really easy, and everyone is making money, then it’s probably not a good time to invest in the stock market.

Conversely, if investing feels really challenging, and investors are in a state of frustration/despair/panic, then it probably is a good time to invest.

This rule of thumb isn’t foolproof. But it tends to work pretty well.

For example, if having invested in the stock market during the Covid-19 crash of March 2020 – when investing felt truly awful – it would most likely have led to success.

However, having piled into the market in late 2021, when share prices were surging and investing felt really easy, would have most likely led led to a crushed portfolio over the next 12 months.

Thank you for letting me know that I gotta sell

You have saved me

Crash is surely coming.

Ripley94 - brokers only update their site hourly or less; they are not offering a full real-time service

so more likely (constantly) not up to date or accurate

Get out while you can, the invaders are getting ready to takeover and turn the UK back to the stone age

My broker has been showing FT100 down 1% all mourning midday 7550 goggle however up 0.4% 7668 at midday .
Looks like I can not trust my brokers info .
05 April 2023, 09:11
UK’s FTSE 100 steady in early trade
Shares in Europe opened mixed on Wednesday, though the FTSE 100 outperformed, as focus turns to a slew of readings of the services economy.
The FTSE 100 index opened up 15.85 points, 0.2%, at 7,650.37. The FTSE 250 was down 23.40 points, 0.1%, at 18,791.64, and the AIM All-Share was up just 0.13 of a point at 810.35.

The Cboe UK 100 was up 0.2% at 765.49, the Cboe UK 250 down 0.2% at 16405.87, and the Cboe Small Companies was flat at 13,235.57.

Maybe traders lining up to buy the dip ( Michael Burry below ) will be wrong after all.
It changes from one week to the next .
Markets seem more volatile then past history but maybe not when you look at long term chart .
FT100 1 % down today start of this financial year .
Maybe to much information behind recent big swings .
That new all time high of 8000 20th February 2023 ,fell all the way back to 20th March 2023 7250 after today's -1% back to 7553 .
A 750 drop top to bottom, 300 up from that low today ( yesterday 7,634.52 down 0.5% ) Friday 31st March was ft 100 was 7678 ( half way back to highs
Last post below posted badly .
Copied this article .
FTSE closes down as pound hits nine-month high against the US dollar
04 April 2023 ( Yesterdays after close news )Might explain why Condor Gold sale executed

Maybe traders lining up to buy the dip ( Michael Burry below ) will be wrong after all it changes from one week to the next .Markets seem more volatile then history but maybe not when you look at long term chart .FT100 1 % down today start of this financial year .Maybe to much information behind recent big swings .That new high 8000 20th February 2023 , all the way back to 20th March 2023 7250 after today's -1% 7553 .A 750 drop 300 up from that low , ( yesterday 7,634.52 down 0.5% ) Friday 31st March was 7678 ( half way back to highs )04 April 2023 ( Yesterdays after close news )Might explain why Condor Gold sale executed .FTSE closes down as pound hits nine-month high against the US dollarSterling traded at a nine-month high on Tuesday, while stocks in London closed in the red amid market caution around the recent banking instability in the US and Europe.The FTSE 100 index closed down 38.48 points, or 0.5%, at 7,634.52 on Tuesday. The FTSE 250 ended down 64.37 points, or 0.3%, at 18,815.04. The AIM All-Share closed down 3.17 points, or 0.4%, at 810.22.The Cboe UK 100 ended down 0.4% at 764.05, the Cboe UK 250 closed down 0.3% at 16,435.40, and the Cboe Small Companies ended down 0.4% at 13,351.97.The International Monetary Fund said the recent banking turmoil in the US and Europe could spread to crucial non-bank institutions like pension funds, further complicating central banks’ fight against high inflation.Banking risks ‘could intensify in coming months amid the continued tightening of monetary policy globally,’ and spread to the interconnected non-bank sector, which now holds almost half of all global financial assets, IMF economists wrote in a blog post.JPMorgan Chase Chief Executive Jamie Dimon said that while the current banking crisis isn’t like 2008, it ‘is not yet over’ and will be felt for years to come.Dimon, who has in coordination with Washington officials shaped the financial industry’s response to the crisis, said recent bank failures ‘have significantly changed the market’s expectations ... the stock market is down and the market’s odds of a recession have increased,’ he wrote in his annual shareholder letter.‘And while this is nothing like 2008, it is not clear when this current crisis will end.’ING analyst Chris Turner commented that recent developments have meant a ‘US hard landing and a sharp Fed easing cycle more likely’ which he said was a ‘cleanly bearish story for the dollar.’The pound was quoted at $1.2501 at the London equities close on Tuesday, up sharply from $1.2386 at the close on Monday.The pound reached an intraday high of $1.2524, its best level since June last year.In the FTSE 100, miner Fresnillo was the best blue-chip performer at the close, up 3.8%, as gold topped the $2,000 mark.Gold was quoted at $2,016.62 an

“Big Short” investor Michael Burry admitted Thursday that his bearish warning about the stock market earlier this year has so far been proven wrong by traders lining up to buy the dip.

“I was wrong to say sell,” Burry wrote on Twitter on Thursday.

Burry is best known for his bet against the housing market ahead of the 2007 subprime mortgage collapse, which was featured in the book and movie “The Big Short.”

His comment Thursday was referring to a Jan. 31 tweet that simply said “Sell.” The post had circulated widely online and was interpreted as a bearish call on the broader market from the investing celebrity. It was later deleted, as Burry tends to delete his posts.

“Going back to the 1920s, there has been no BTFD generation like you. Congratulations,” Burry added in a follow-up tweet Thursday. BTFD translates to “buy the dip”— with an added profane flourish. Burry also shared a Bloomberg chart showing that the S&P 500 ‘s average return following a down day has been elevated this year.
Burry didn’t immediately return a request for comment on his posts.

Burry obtained mainstream fame after he was portrayed by Christian Bale in “The Big Short” film. He became a hero on Reddit’s infamous WallStreetBets forum when his firm Scion Asset Management made bullish bets on GameStop stock in 2019 and 2020—though Scion sold its GameStop stake before January 2021’s meme stock explosion, according to regulatory filings. Burry called the January 2021 nosebleed moves in GameStop shares “unnatural, insane, and dangerous” at the time. In an email interview with Barron’s later that year, he likened GameStop and other meme stocks to the tech bubble in 1999 and the housing market in 2007

In 2000 it stood at 7000 now 23 years later its 7400
What again
Dow in 2000 was 12000 now 32000.
Just look at what names up the ondexand it isn't hard to see why.

thoughtful post ripley. I have been pretty bullish on the ftse 100 for past 18 months. I mentioned in my last post that at 7800 the balance between ftse yield and bond yields is inverted for the first time in perhaps 15 years (Kwateng budget aside). We now have gilts at over 4% (perhaps likely to rise futher) and ftse under 3.5% and perhaps weakening as corporate results come in .
for me it feels like giving up investing in bonds but the returns are now better with less risk. I struggle to see a case to drive the ftse over 8k, so potential for capital returns is limited whilst having to accept a lower yield.

After continued rise from Mid December 20222 @ 7307 to mid February Ft 100 index 8000 ( 10% )
Index yesterday fell a further 2.5% to 7500 ( 6 % from 8000 )
A continual fall back which gained more speed in March with wind of USA banking news .
failures due to "runs " caused by the rapid interest rate rises and the bank not having the money as invested in lower paying bonds .
SVB and Signature Bank failed after 2 looming risks went against them — and many other banks are facing the same fate.

(Reuters) - UK's FTSE 100 posted a fresh record high on Thursday boosted by upbeat corporate earnings from Centrica (LON:CNA) and Standard Chartered (LON:STAN), while miners were lifted by higher commodity prices.

FTSE 100 would break 8000 very soon, i hope you have closed your short.

You're going to place a short on all of the companies in the ftse 100? Impressive. I think I'll follow your no doubt accurate strategy...with all of your years of experience...and 12 posts to date. Think you might be better sticking to walking the dogg, pog...

Will place short at 7850

yes I'm glad I back the best performing market for the last 18 months. 7800 was hit 2 weeks after my prediction for last year. Word of caution as yield now better on some government bonds than on ftse100.

up even more today , FTSE 100 at 7850 ,what not to like

Gower why do you say for now dont think that it will drop any more now we have seen the drop ?

For now

Level YTD
DOW [+] 34,194.06 -5.90%
NASDAQ [+] 11,285.32 -27.87%
S&P 500 [+] 4,027.26 -15.50%
STOXX 50 [+] 3,961.99 -7.83%
FTSE 100 [+] 7,466.60 1.11%
DAX [+] 14,539.56 -8.47%
CAC 40 [+] 6,707.32 -6.23%
NIKKEI [+] 28,283.03 -1.77%

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You don’t buy the index.
Buy the stocks that will outperform in the short mid or long term.
It’s not rocket science and it’s not depressing.
Sideways index brings in many trading opportunities

I would love the stock-market to crash