Cavendish : Buy with 253p target price29 Apr 2026 11:17
Cavendish have raised their forecast by 8% to 10.3p EPS for the year just gone.
They retain their 253p target price as follows:
"Positive FY26 trading update – EPS upgrade of 8.0%
The Group has announced a positive FY26 trading update, highlighting strong 4Q trading, continuing the positive momentum seen throughout the year. This means the Group is now expected to slightly exceed revenue expectations and also exceed adjusted PBT expectations. It also highlights robust order intake in the period increasing the order book to £106.5m. We therefore upgrade our FY26E EPS by 8.0% to 10.3p, with FY27E seeing strong momentum in the order book, but unchanged profit expectations given the uncertain geopolitical and supply chain outlook.
We maintain our 253p target price offering significant upside to current levels and we see this update as providing greater confidence in the shares, which have slipped recently to compelling levels, with a FY27E P/E of just 13.2x, which underwrites our Buy rating.
— Trading update: The Group has experienced a strong end to the year with robust Q4 trading building on the positive momentum seen in the prior three quarters. As such management expects revenue to exceed expectations slightly and also adjusted PBT to exceed expectations. Growth has been seen across all divisions.
— Divisional trading: The Components division delivered a strong YoY increase, with new design wins in the UK and US underpinned by improving market conditions. The Power division has seen a significant improvement following the management reorganisation and investment in capabilities. A significant driver of this increase has been in the defence sector, with drone and other autonomous technologies in high demand. It also comments that significant opportunities continue to arise in the defence sector. The Systems division reflects ongoing strong demand in communications, with robust momentum in antenna and integrated systems capabilities. Order book momentum continues to underwrite the anticipated sales mix.
— Order book: The order book has also seen strong growth rising from £97.0m on 30 November 2025 to £106.5m currently, largely reflecting the strong order intake in the Power division of close to $20m. It also includes the initial order from the new Communications customer previously announced in 3Q with shipments expected for 1Q 26/27. Most of the order book is expected to be delivered in the next 18 months. Over recent weeks lead times for certain components such as DRAMs have extended reflecting geopolitical uncertainty and AI demand growth."
"Valuation:
We maintain our TP at 253p, based on a FY27E P/E of 24.0x, which seems reasonable given the high momentum and rerating seen among defence-related stocks. The shares have drifted in the past month, due to the Iranian conflict, and trade on a FY27E P/E of just 13.2x, which looks much too low in our opinion, offering strong upside reinforced by this positive update, with a