Is a 6.32p Normalised EPS forecast for FY 2026 Bonkers?14 May 2026 11:11
The half year earnings to 30-3-26 due on 25-5-26 will be a make or break one for me.
In the last results presentation of FY2025 on the Investor meet Company platform, management made a big deal of growing EBITDA and almost completely ignored the fact that pre tax profit had moved to a loss (Normalised EPS moved from +0.773p to -0.709p). I asked for an explanation of this and they basically dodged the question.
I also asked about the dramatic improvement in Normalised EPS forecast for FY2026 of 6.2p and for FY 2027 8.23p. Stockopedia show the analyst consensus is made up from just one broker, presumably the company's Broker and NOMAD, Singer Capital Markets. Mark Braund essentially stated it was nothing to do with management. In practice that is surprising and does not inspire confidence. I cannot believe Singer would leave such a forecast out there if the company's management don't believe it is achievable. If it is right, that would be a major achievement and a PE of about 7 and 6 in 2027! Possibly it is an error in Stockopedia's Refinitif data. All very strange.
Any clarification would be much appreciated!