Member Info for wyndrum

"Soft power" is just state sponsored bribery which is fine but the SFO went after BAE and GSK for doing exactly what HMG do at an international level every day. Just more hypocrisy to be heaped on the ever growing dung hill of govt and its MP's.(who ever is in power....)

Each to his own Wong, but this game imo is not about moral fibre or any dark clouds

It much easier than that.

Have a plan, stick to it and only bet what you can afford to lose. Its that easy and its that simple.

Poirot, do you not think ABDX or AVCT would make that public, that TT was complete? (its quite a big thing for both companies. I can't see why they would not, no disclosure of who they would be making them for or anything commercially sensitive)

Hi BB, "...still find it mind boggling we are not mid 30's right now if I'm honest" probably because of the same reason there are a quite a few jangly nerves here.... its taking longer than expected.

Patience .... the single, greatest virtue of all.....

Sorry Hurst (and thank you vegas,) i was replying to Rich's post

Wow Marik , I posted this scenario last week but it created such a **** storm of abuse which ended up with the whole thread being redacted. And that was a couple of weeks after when I linked to "typical" signs of a company that might be in take over talks as AVCT ticked a few of the boxes.
That also caused a lot ****ging off too. ....hey ho

Hurst, given AVCT have already stated they expect dosing to start Mid Year then I guess there might be a confirmatory RNS when that actually happens. It feels a little late (again) to me which in turn makes any early results being announced this year less likely too. But who knows.
The SP seems to have stabilised now at around this price (130p) so unless there is some actual bad news (given a lot, if not all, the froth on the LFT has now gone), this would seem a good buy-in albeit for perhaps a longer term play than the furore of last years "imminent" multi bagger . A 12-24 month time frame would seem a fair and realistic expectation of good returns, imo. And there is always the possibility that the LFT test will take off in a big way.

Hi DD, no tone intended just interested:
In what way enlightening? That TA works? that share prices are manipulated?

And as amore general point (not aimed at you DD), How do you know when the SP does, in the video, fall below the support line, that it is manipulation and not because of maybe soon-to-be- revealed news that makes the SP fall further?

That's why I asked what practical help is it?

(But anyway, this is a rabbit hole. each to his own. I try not to get sucked in but hey ho, I am very predictable, you press the right buttons and I bang the cymbals with both arms frantically).

A couple of things ST, for you to believe any of that you have to believe in TA, which you are very, very dismissive of to the point of not believing in it at all.

The other thing is that everyone knows about placing stops and how tricky it can be to decide where to place them because they can be taken out so hardly news. However, one glaring omission from the video was how, given the demo, the big money forces the SP down?

Given the example that the big money wants more stock, How does the SP fall? If they just mark it down arbitrarily then lots of others might see it as bargain and buy before it get to the stop? or does the big money sell their own stock hoping to buy it back lower down, but now they need even more to replace their earlier sells?

I am not saying it does not go on but in my experience its much less frequent and that MM's get a lot blame for manipulation on no evidence at all.

My view is that support and resistance lines are very useful to time exit and entry and the MM's tend to move the prices only when they are already close to those lines to gauge market reaction. Clearly in the demo buyers would be attracted only when the price broke the top of the line (or resistance). Buying on support in the example shown is a much riskier proposition.

It makes a point but I am not sure how useful or practically helpful it is in reality. Just my 2 cents

Forgive me if this has already been covered previously but my understanding is there are 3/4 sites? and 3 drills per site?

I thought the whole thing as a 3-6 month drilling exercise but its 2 months now just for one drill and we still by the looks of it, have another week or two to go. So at this rate its a 24 month + operation to drill the sites? (Plus you have the time to go to each location and set up.

Are He1 going to do multiple drills at the same time or will it be this slow for each individual drill?
(Starting to get lost a bit in the whole time line and expectancy now).

I think vis-à-vis the RSI HE1 is ok, I see it on the daily close at 64.89 and I would only look for a pullback once its up around 80, so quite bit headroom I think still?

I think the close above 27.1p was significant and therefore any pull back I would expect it to go there first.

However by the very nature of the potential moves in the SP that could result over the short term, it may be academic.

But, If the SP carries on creeping up to say, 29-30p, then that could put the RSI up to 80 and then at that stage without news, a small pull back to 27p might look to be on the cards, but all of that is 2-3 days away t least to unfold and who would bet on no RNS within that timescale?

This is still not the worst place to buy into HE1 on the above forecast using TA,, if you haven't already. (Just imo, DYOR)

You could be right Xerses, I wouldn't think its the MM's buying up the stock as the risk isn't worth it, so if there is an avalanche of demand it really could be quite something.

This stock (should it be a "discovery") is going to have the added impetus I imagine of main stream news (and i don't mean the financial pages), behind it as well, which should get the wider audience of the smaller armchair investor to prick up their ears too.

Then you will have the investment mags and tip sheets likely getting involved on reporting it and they will be out over the following days and weeks keeping the initial hoopla going a bit longer.

Ok, just going to take off the new, rose tinted specs now, I quite like them, but they are expensive, on the other hand I might be able to afford them soon.....

I think the MM's have done well to keep the market liquid, at some stage though, those that want to de-risk are surely very few now, given they have had extra weeks due to the unforeseen slower drill to offload. Can't be many left?

if people want to buy and there are no sellers left then the SP has to move quite a way for the sticky fingers to be sufficiently lubricated. DYOR

Could AVCT do a better job now of informing the market about sales?

It goes on sale in Mid July but no shipments for 2 weeks. As shipments start its immediately sold out with another 2 week delay for further shipments.

If the market knew what the original run was then we can all get an accurate gauge of the numbers involved. Why this is not published seems odd to me. Why the secrecy? This can't be anything to do with NDA's

What capacity is available? Is it a million a week or less or more? No shipments for another 2 weeks so why is not production either being ramped up or at least drip fed to Calibre, say 100,000 tests or 50,000 per day or whatever?

On the face of it this is extremely encouraging. Given the SP turmoil of recent weeks this would seem to be a great opportunity to reassure investors.

AVCT don't make it easy, that's for sure

I agree Rum, I think DM is managing expectations very adroitly.

The drill has taken a lot longer than forecast and I think there was a lot of expectation if no RNS last week that Monday (today) suddenly becomes "significant".

Every day without the expected confirmation causes the SP to wobble around so this very basic tweet is just, I think, to soothe nerves and to reassure that there is still a little time to go yet, but at the same time there appears to be no problem.

Hopefully towards the end of this week looks and sounds about right to me.

Well good to hear its only EVE ticking you off!

I agree with the sentiment though, this is game absolutely can mess with your head.

And Time, as you mention, is a very (imo) part of the equation. Its one of the reasons why I am wary of Long term holdings. Time is too short and too precious in genenal and just as much in the investing world to fritter it away on a stock that does not keep moving forward.

Tricky decisions...….

Got our hybrid delivered yesterday and for the first night, reasonably comfortable. (I had been warned that it can take a couple of weeks before you get really settled in!).

Anyway I'll get Mrs W to post a review. (you'll know its her when she starts off "I am off my tits on the EVE cannabis oil I have taken to burning to aid my nights rest......"

Inchpo, I am assuming (and hope) its directed at EVE rather than life in general?

If it is EVE, it is why I posted earlier about due to a likely lack of news for some months, would there be much going on that could keep interest in the stock current for other new share holders to buy into Eve? Its often the way on a small stock with a barren and intermittent news flow that the SP will drift down to lack of outside interest.
My view was to give EVE about 9 months (or 2 further updates) which I feel should be definitive in its future success, or not).

In the meantime, I will pop in and out here but really I have (having decided my own course of action), sit on my hands and really forget about it.

The likely lack of SP action was one reason i did not buy in earlier, as I know I get bored if nothing happens and then I start thinking where that money could be making a better return. But I think the risk reward, for the amount I have invested will allow me to be patient on this one.

I understand your feelings.....but.... we have seen that if a reason does surface to buy EVE, then the SP can react very quickly and dramatically... The trouble its unforecastable if or when it might happen. In any event good luck.

Kall, you can't have it both ways. If there is no moat for online clothes because according to you anyone can open a website and start flogging clothes but then because of the cheapness of rents for B&M and the huge availability of said outlets means there is o moat for Primark either?

Part of operational costs are the upkeep of the stores and the constant refitting costs. Full and reparing leases in this climate of ever increasing frequency and severity of storms increases insurance overheads as well as deterring customer footfall to venture out.

You seem completely myopic to online retail as though its anew thing that may or may not be popular. I don't know how to break it to you, but that ship has sailed.....its a viable alternative to B&M as can be seen by the never ending closure of stores in the high street that cannot compete with online alternatives. Your cherry picking of only highlighting the temporary lowering of high street rents that allows in that one overhead to be a more cost effective business model than online is totally absurd.

your premise Kall, seems to be that it is cheaper to go B&M than online for the company to sell its goods.

That's fine in as far as it goes, but what does the customer want?

Say you live 5 miles from Primark (as that's your thing), £2 fuel, plus £3 parking to buy some or a single item of cheap clothes. Because the clothes are cheap expectation of quality and fit is low. Time spent? 2 hours from start to finish for £10 of goods increased by 50% to £15 with fuel and parking.

Then we could factor in the weather. what if it is freezing or raining or perhaps very hot and you would rather be in the park or garden rather stuck in Saturday shopping traffic? Per haps you wanted to buy the item sooner but only have the weekend to get to the shops, and you have better things to do than give up half a day nearly just to buy a top?

Cost is important to both the retailer and purchaser as is convenience, as is value, whether real or perceived. Its not quite as black and white as you constantly [odt that Primark fantastic boo (and everybody else )rubbish.

If you truly believe what you post (and I m personally not convinced), then having such a limited portfolio is a very, very high risk strategy indeed.

(What will you do if, but more likely when, primark is spun off from ABF?)

If the customer has used BH before they will have a good idea about fit and quality.