Member Info for wyndrum

wow Epping, I don't read every post here (unlike you who really doesn't seem to have any other life but this BB). Did someone else deduce you might be autistic too?

I will refrain from talking to you as I don't want to cause you any more mental anguish.
Sincere apologies.

Code, ok, that's a perfectly reasonably potential outcome. If so whats the alternative you suggest. (Right now, given we are where we are?)

We have a vaccine largely taken up and proven to be more effective than Vaccines typically are. Do we ignore vaccines as a solution?

What criteria would you use to judge that you could allow society to open up and function as normal?

oh good grief the village idiot has chipped in.

Yeah, the press never sensationalise anything ever, do they?

Get over your mental obsession with me or get help but please try to restrain yourself from responding everytime I post.

(Or are you autistic in which case I apologise?)

CI,, I don't see 33 on the RSI as oversold, typically it has to be 20 or less, so there is still from a chart perspective, room for it to fall. However the RSI is low, and the SP is on a support .

Deciding when to buy or sell using TA is always, always a judgement, nothing is certain.

A big factor is timescales. For instance if a buyer is looking short term, say a week or less, then they would look for a lot of confirming indicators all to line up at the same time to reduce the odds, in their eyes of an incorrect decision.

If on the other hand you are taking a 9 month view then maybe you will be more flexible and can stand the pain of being "wrong" in terms of a "perfect" entry and make a decision to buy with less confirmation, but happy that you feel it is worth the risk but getting in at a lower level.

My personal view is there are pretty much 2 likely outcomes: Eve will go bust/go into private hands ie the Share holders lose everything, or it becomes profitable. Therefore the downside is 3.5p (from here to zero).

If EVE continue to make progress and turn it around then 10p plus is on the cards. That to me is just about ok as a risk reward ratio, ie 3-1 (The third option is further stagnation but although we say it every time, this situation has to be resolved and EVE are now spending the reserves, so its difficult to see this current state of affairs last much more than 9-12 months. It will either succeed or fail.

The chart for me suggests its worth a 9 month punt understanding that I could lose my entire stake as the downside. DYOR

It looks to be yet another example of no forward thinking at all from the govt.

I can see, given the options available to the govt, that trying to restrain the variant is impossible with the greater relaxation of people mixing and they have taken a view that it is better to try and get this through the young (primarily) now, before winter.

What they didn't obviously think through that the Track and Trace app actually functions and that 100's of 1000's would be pinged and therefore have to self isolate!

The inability to consider the most basic obvious consequences of this policy beggars belief.

I expect that the "pinged" will simply be asked to test and the govt won't wait until August to implement that policy and will just bring it forward any time now!

I am no fan of Dom Cummins but in his interview when he describes the terrible incompetence throughout govt and the Civil Service generally, seems completely borne out by the awful decision making from top to bottom.

This is how panic buying starts....one anonymous poster in an undisclosed location saying " This $hit is about to get real real quick if people can’t buy basic goods."

Using the SP as an indicator it is more or less where it was when drilling started which says (to me) that the market has not registered any progress so far, which I think is fair. (HE1 showed promise prior to drilling and now 6 weeks later nothing has changed).

What I expect via the SP, is that if it moves to between 22p-25p it suggests a FOMO taking place as news is likely any day from now I guess, to maybe 14 days away.

If the SP moves further to 27p plus, then it suggest news is very imminent and that in itself should accelerate FOMO as the time to get on board prior to results would reduce dramatically. (just my opinion DYOR)

Poiroit, my best guess is that this little flurry from the distributors might reflect that initially the test went on sale with no supply behind it and AVCT were waiting for the response via orders to judge demand and now the orders are at a (hopefully) unexpectedly high level have put supply in place , hence the more optimistic response now, from the distributors?

CI, my indicators suggest its more likely AGL go up than down from here (fwiw)

(I don't want to go on that BB as i have a knack for aggravating some there with my chart "predictions".)

Probably here too but its a much more polite and social environment :0))

What Sky Monkey, in the sense of "what have the Romans ever done for us?"

It means its just another disease that humans have live alongside with as opposed to testing, which if Covid is not to be eradicated, simply postpones the inevitable time when you do catch it.
That's why once vaccines are popularly available the necessity for testing diminishes, it solves nothing and is a repetitive, and therefore expensive stopgap while populations are vaccinated.
Does anybody here, whether jabbed once twice or not at all, expect to avoid catching covid? You can take all the tests in the world as often as you like and it won't stop you getting it or affect your reaction to it.
Yes , in theory it will stop you infecting somebody else, but they are still going to get it at some stage, aren't they?

You're new here, aren't you.....

Surely if you believe there is an NDA agreement in place with HMG & AVCT then of course you won't get any helpful info from your MP

Next would gobble up EVE rather than a merger, but you never know!

AGL is disappointing has its been quite a retrace after a sure and steady climb. Very tentative possibility its maybe just bottoming out now (Fingers crossed) if it closes below 107p then it brings it into a trading range of 95p-107p. (I hold that for the FDA approval later this year and will react depending on how that news unfolds un relation to the SP. I have been adding as it get to the bottom of various support lines, this one being the latest!)

Given the results are out and nothing now until sept. it could potentially be a bit barren for anything to propel the SP in the short term

So, what have we got to potentially keep the flame alive:

1: Profit/sales update: Perfectly possible and has happened twice before in the recent past. Given there has already been an 18% increase in sales this should have a noticeable effect of the SP. (possibly France sales would be the obvious avenue for a profit update to be released).

2: Stake build: Again its happened before so no reason not to happen again and indeed at this very low current SP could be attractive to get the most bang for your buck.

3: New sales lines added: certainly likely as EVE are looking to do this all the time, but it would have to be such that it makes a material difference, either in the amount of new lines or profit margin on bigger ticket items.

4: Take over: Again possible, quite often these things come out of the blue, so very difficult to predict if its even remotely likely or not. (A merger might help the SP but it would be very dependent on who it was and what benefit to EVE would flow from it)

5: Market sentiment: Perfectly possible Next for instance have reported strong growth in Home Sales today, Quite possibly too, the reaction to the recent EVE update has been overdone and the stock is re-rated,

6: Rumours: Not forecastable but we have seen that the SP can react quickly and with some wild swings. (If a "rumour" circulated it would be unclear how much of the SP would rise if the rumour was false.)

7: Broker upgrade: Typically not as powerful as an RNS profit upgrade but should have appositive affect

8: TP reviews. If there was a definite surge then it might be a foretaste of better official sales figures to follow and the market might react to that. (I know some here would be very excited if that were the case!)

Given the above I think there is enough opportunity to keep some interest alive in the SP going forward.

My opinion is that EVE has bottomed out. (The two 3.1p events to sell and quick 10% bounce and the fact that the dust (SP wise) has settled from the update gives me reason to be cautiously optimistic going forward from here.
DYOR and GLA

I think they had 3.5% previously so its a sell. (which may have contributed to the recent fall from ATH's)

Careful DGU, that is the slippery slope to taking the company private :0))

(I don't that will happen just athe moment. What is maybe encouraging from an SP POV, is that twicw now, yesterday and today the SP has gone quite low but bounced back quickly. One interpretation could be the MM's are gauging the reaction to a further sell off and concluding there is demand for the stock around theses levels.

Certainly, if the Co, is in good shape then this is seriously cheap now (imo). The thing is, CC says it is...

if it holds and closes above 139p then it suggests the fall is over a nd a reversal is underway.

If it closes and holds 123p or lower than 104p-110p is likely to be tested.

(imo, just a view, not predicting the future, not saying it will happen, who knows, pure guesswork, just ignore it, its probably a ruse, I am manipulating the SP to go up and down at the same time... um...um.... nah that's all I got.)

PP, has it ever crossed your incredibly narrow, closed mind, that there are alternative ways to make money on the stock market? If I posted that the chart said the SP was going to fall and it did, (and I did and it did) and people agreed with my view, they would be richer now than before.

Kallu, refined sugar is certainly not necessary to human existence. There is all the sugar (and more) available in all foods to sustain the human body. The body breaks all food down into glucose to give energy. If you eat too much, or more than the body requires, it converts this glucose/sugar to fat, hence you put on weight.

When you get hungry its the body asking you for Glucose, if you ignore it, it will then use the fat stored and re-convert the fat to glucose (which is why broadly speaking, you lose weight when you eat less. )

Its not Fat that makes you fat, its sugar, and the explosion of sugar in our diets over the last 250 odd years has been so vast and so quick that our bodies have not evolved yet to cope, which is why Obesity and Diabetes are so prevalent in almost all societies and reducing life expectancy. Refined sugar is even more harmful as it acts quicker and cannot be absorbed as efficiently as naturally occurring sugars in the body.

also, following the logic that some might be stock piling, it would then make sense that there will be "onward selling" when the tests have a cost to them next month? (or profiteering as I think it is sometimes referred to.)