Member Info for wyndrum

No offense taken Pool but you have to realise that i am castigated non stop by some on here who simply and relentlessly lie about what i say. So forgive my "patronising" tone (I was aiming more for sarcasm) to those who have been most critical only to come to exactly the same conclusion as I, months later.

And finally from PL "It's the usual news vacuum that gets filled with speculation. Best off expecting nothing and waiting for an RNS."

Which is basically what I have said for months but apparently I am an evil troll that must be filtered..... (well, it made me smile)

Try, just try, and get a grip on your emotions and be as objective as you can when reading differing opinions. You never know what might happen.....

PL "Yes, it's realistic to say that we are where we are, but hey ho, hindsight is wonderful. Good luck to you too."

Well it wasn't hindsight for me, but glad you have caught up, yet again.

But when you say "assuming £1 profit a test they're doing ok at the moment. £1m a month profit is a decent start and certainly material when compared to £0."

That's the point. We don't know the sales and we don't know the profit. Making assumptions at this stage in a market that AS had already said some time ago, is driving down the selling cost and the recent post by Sarah saying that HUA is wildly price sensitive, must make you surely be able to join the dots:

If HUA is going to be price sensitive (as I pointed out many many many months ago), then it will be for business too. Business will not pay more than home users for the same test will they?

Taffy:

That quote is often cited to dismiss TA however:

if you are going to hold a stock 10 years plus then of course a chart has no meaning. Charts are used in looking ahead short term (minutes to a few months)

Also if WB, used the same ctiteria to day as he used 60 years ago i doubt he would have been as successful as the speed of change now largely invalidates a 10-20 year projection (Remember he did not like Internet companies to begin with)
and finally
https://www.cnbc.com/2017/12/15/warren-buffetts-failures-15-investing-mistakes-he-regrets.html
Just sayin

I don't and have never have done had any problem at all with MM. I have ever only been sceptical over the LFT test regarding AVCT and have been thus correct with my forward analysis. (Something MM may have seen merit in, as from investment pov it has generally been a good call)

However when he posts this:

"My point: let us try to unify, and block out the evil. Even since my last post a few hours ago, I’ve seen many green boxes pop up – and alas, people respond to the green boxes.
Positivity breeds positivity. Best not give the evil any breathing space."

Evil? Positivity?
This really is claptrap from any investment pov but from a respected analyst?

What, if we all wish together at the same time the SP will go up, or HUA will be granted? What on earth is he on about?

Is this what's it come to, the Uri Gellar institute of Investing technique?

This is not the language of analytical investment. Which then leads on to the fact when someone is pulling at the emotional side and has such a huge investment in the company be at least aware of his potential conflict of interest.

It won't make an iota of difference to the long term prospects of AVCT one way or the other, but he seems to post here more since the SP has fallen.

Well, Ophidian, how you can ever claim about getting abuse when you post things like

"Help wading in from your other identities or partners in misery can't obscure the fact you are peddling an untruth of your own invention for reasons we can all guess at. I'm putting you and your friends back in their Green Boxes as I get a headache thinking down to your level too often."

Where is all this emotional exaggeration coming from? Misery? what are you talking about. What on earth goes through your mind to write this really weird stuff?

But the only fact i can take away is: People who profess not to like the board getting clogged up with insults can't actually wait to post them.

Its quite something....

This is the bit I genuinely don't get on these BB's. Ophidian thinks ND's reasoning is flawed about test samples , ok good, that what discussion will reveal. but then why say this having made his point:

"You are simply a sad little Troll trying to embroider doubt wherever you can except a majority are awake to your efforts and ignore you.
And what the Hell is this nonsense "rampers like you who have tacitly admitted you post for “likes”. - you are such a liar. You make up more fantasy than Marvel do.2

This from a poster that has been in analysis and forecast, so completely wrong so as to be accused of deliberately misleading with some justification.

If the people like Ripley who can't wait to jump on this post. Honestly please, take a breath.

Why can't we have reasoned debate?

If the posters ideas are so without merit then it will be easy to counter those ideas with actual factual proof or more likely explanations.

Just insults get nobody anywhere.

MrD, thanks for the info but how much more proof do we need that out test has clear advantages over just about anything else on the market?

There is something seriously amiss somewhere.

Regular readers will know I have been flailing around trying to figure out what it is for many months now.

Possibilities.

Manufacture constraints: Every time we get a sizable order AVCT cannot commit. (I find this unlikely because AVCT would have resolved this by now.)

They are already committed to a huge order which is sucking all manufacturing capacity they can can hold of. (Not completely beyond the realms but I would have though some sort of RNS would be in order unless an NDA is in place, but again I find NDA's a bit misplaced in this context. I don't see the commercial sensitivity in announcing this type of demand for the test with out the need to release much further detail. Maybe AS is so burnt and now pee'ed off now after previous rebukes that he will announce it when he wants to and only legally deemed necessary?)

Production problems: This would seem the most likely imo. AVCT have clearly had TT problems right from the off way back with the saliva test. The actual TT should only be a few weeks or so. ABDX has been going on for months and as I am aware, its not being produced yet by ABDX and that raises another point:

If ABDX has sorted TT out and can now produce tests, then why aren't they doing so? That would suggest demand is not there, wouldn't it?

Are Medusa in a position to manufacture our test? They have had months to prepare and could supply business while waiting for HUA but apparently are not doing so. Why?

But how can demand not be there for a test this good?

There are so many tests that seem to be available that are inferior to AVCT's and selling and yet we can't seem to get going.

The confirmation (for me) that there is a big problem is the fact that AS is basically silent about this. Historically he is only silent when there is a problem. The continued silence suggests the problem has not been resolved and that may well be the hold up with HUA, given there seems to be Medusa insiders happy to talk about their frustration in not selling the test

Maybe a positive RNS tomorrow will make this all redundant. Fingers crossed

I ask because I was in He1 and it was just the same, numerous posts all forecasting and guessing how high the SP would go just on sticking a drill in the ground. "SP will spike on Spud by (x) " ( put in any price you like.)

On the day nothing happened SP wise. (which not knowing anything about this sort of thing was absolutely no surprise to me at all) I mean, we ( and when I say we, I mean everyone including the market), knows that in about 2 weeks ADV will get there Black and Decker out albeit with a drill bit extension, and 4 weeks or so after that the real news will be released.

Anyway, what's so special about Spud?

Many may not share my views here but at least I try to discuss AVCT.

Staffy, absolutely no offence taken. This is a great BB, imo. All views seem to be taken in good spirit with no assumptions or agenda's to spoil the free flow of info and views. Long may it continue. ATB

SGF,

My MO is, somehow or another a company will come across my radar.

As I use HL platform to buy & sell, they also provide background info on the company which I will read so I can see what they do, what market they operate in, market cap, really broad background stuff and then decide if that's what I want to look at. Then a brief look at the last few financial updates and then look at the chart to see what happened on those results days to see if they are working "predictably".

All of that takes between 5-10 minutes. As long as it looks chartable coupled with good prospects (I don't have the facility to short), then its just a question of when to get in.

Sometimes I stumble across a company (like this one) half way through its climb, so I won't wait for the "next" entry level but get in straight away. This increases the potential loss as I am not getting in lower down, but as I missed that entry point then its up to me what course of action to take. So again, using ADV as an eg, , I thought more gains were coming so got in asap when I did my 5 minutes of DD.

Since then I have continually built a position here (based on TA) until I am comfortable on the risk reward.

Its just a hobby with me, and I only poke a stick a FA for a bit of fun .

But on a more serious note there is a different mindset between FA and TA and its this:

FA is based on the company: TA is based on the SP
The SP has very, very, very little to do with the company

Cheers

Staffy, I don't need to hammer in a nail with a saw to figure out what tool works best...

As ST commented "Skillful stock picking selection and hunting out those 10 x bagger opportunities involves far more that just starring at a chart."

And yet here I am....

(I have no problem with FA at all, each to his own.

ATB

ST, all I can say is you would be surprised! :0))

(Its not a knowledge gap actually, its just that FA isn't reliable enough for me.)

(Plus I didn't say or insinuate that ADV were already producing 20K BPD)

ATB

Mountie, that is excellent advice which i have yet to take with my gambles, relying on the charts as I do.

The fact that this was always the case just confirmed my initial thought and that was, that it was me!

Cheers

....but I thought it was all meant to happen very quickly, shallow drill, rapid extraction, oil to market asap during next year.... but now he is saying 18 months before any revenue, or (more likely) have I completely misunderstood?

Cheers

This conflict seems to be universal to every BB. Rampers Versus De-rampers, both with suspected alternative agenda's beyond what is posted.

Its pretty simple to deal with.

The first universal, and absolutely vital rule is: Don't bet what you can't COMFORTABLY afford to lose.
Once you are in that position you won't be unsettled, emotionally, by other views contrary to your own.
EG: If you had £100 invested in BH, would you care what anybody said? So it halves in value, so what? £50 loss... big deal.
£10,000 invested... well, then its a bit different. Rational though takes a hike and now all you want to hear is how your stock is going to recover and you are going to get your back. The last thing, the very last thing you want to read is somebody saying its not likely to happen anytime soon, if ever. So, new agenda's are invented to allow the dismissal of their views. "He is paid to do this, he is shorting the stock, he is a trader trying to force the price down etc etc etc."

The second easy bit is: Use the filter button. If you think Pedro (as he takes alot of stick here), does not give the reader any useful info, then just filter him. If, on the other hand you don't mind hearing the other POV, then read thoses posts on their merits. (Of course if you have obeyed rule 1, its much easier to do that.)

So in summary:
1: Never, Ever invest more than you can comfortably afford to lose.Then you can read posts on their merit, whatever there content is.
2: Use the filter button if they add nothing to the conversation.

early days. so far but the quite rapid pull away from 200p looks very bullish to go to 250p..

(its always odd when you have a protracted resistance and then when it goes the next move is often rapid, you wonder what all the fuss was about, I mean, look at 175p, what was that all about!)

GLA

I don't think passing on the virus is the issue... Its just how ill people become when they do catch it having been vaccinated.

Chab...

ADV, if you can stomach another sure fire thing.

SYN looks about to pop (yet again)

AGL should hear any day from now until XMAS on whether or not FDA approval is given, shares have retraced having expected the news already.

None of these are recommendations, just where I have foolishly re-purposed my monies.....