Member Info for wyndrum

Actually Skippy, I read the SP saying the market is (currently) convinced the rig is not a problem. (It has broken a resistance level and is holding above that now, and it has turned into a support which is why I think the rig question is done.)

I think two things. There is is uncertainty of WHEN the drill will take place and will Helium be discovers in commercial quantities.

Obviously the drill comes first, so I think there will be SP appreciation when a date is given. And then obviously the big move will come on discovery or not.

What it signifies with this type of triangle of lower highs and higher lows is that the market is getting very tigh and indicisive.

This "energy" is released when there is a shift out of the range of the flag (either up or down).

Because the SP has been moving up recently the expectation would be a break up to be more likely than a break down.

There is a real perfect flag formation on the intraday chart. any rise from here should most likely lead to further rises quite quickly

Ok Ice, I get pretty fed up with this condescending tone.

Have you ever bought a stock (other than AVCT) and then gone on to sell it?

If so you either made a profit and cashed in. (traded the stock for money)

Or you sold at a loss because the "story" changed and you traded out to re-invest elsewhere.

So we ALL trade. All that now can be discussed is timelines.

How long do you have to hold a share between purchase and selling NOT to be a "Trader"? Do tell, because it somewhat goes to the heart of this infantile argument. (But I bet you won't because your "argument" if you can call it that, will fall apart.)

I don't have an agenda, I just buy and sell to try and make a profit. Which I imaging is EXACTLY the same as EVERYONE else here.

No one believes I affect the SP, so what is this agenda? Its not a secret I sometimes take a shorter term view than others, but so what?

I have held a minimum of 40,000 shares here for 3 years. Does that qualify for that treasured, to be respected, title of a LTH?

I never cease to be amazed at the purile "logic" of many of the posters here who claim to be "Investors"

Ok Chief, then lets hope I am not randomly insulted by the usual suspects.

(Plus its June, and without being rude, I will post what I want, when I want, just like everybody else here.)

Strangy,

I know, I like AVCT, I think the risk reward is worth taking, who knew?

I think we are at the bottom. I think there is much more chance of share appreciation than falls in the next 4 weeks.

I post here defensively as I am incessantly attacked or mis represented of what I say even when I am not posting anything. So I respond.

I am very pro AVCT. I always have been prepared to see this through. What I don't do is get emotional about it.

I don't get positive or negative. I don't get enthusiastic or pessimistic. None of these emotions help me make decisions and none of these emotions affect AVCT so I don't indulge in them.

What I try and do is listen to what AVCT say and do. They seem to me very typical. That causes swings in the SP which I try to take advantage of. I look at various scenarios that might come to pass,: Breakthroughs, delays, buy outs cash shortages, failure etc and apply as best I can some sort of likelyhood as to what is most likely and act accordingly.

The two belief systems are not contradictory and actually compliment each other, given that the goal that unites us all is to make a profit from the purchase of shares in any given company.

At last... closed today at 7.55p.

This should be a buy signal so there might be a bit more to come before we have the inevitable retrace/fallback.

The other alternative is that it is a false breakout.

Always 2 options.

So you do read the posts then Tim. (Yet you make such a song and dance about not......)

so, talking about blatant lying....

"We are now in a position to proceed beyond the fourth cohort in the dose escalation study to even higher doses than originally anticipated, which is an unexpected and very positive development. "

The 4th DE was not going for MTD. Not only that but in DE3 AS said MTD may never be found

and the bit you so nicely provided.

"The dose escalation phase is anticipated to complete by Q2 2022 followed by completion of the dose expansion phase by Q2 2023."

So 1 year behind schedule so far for phase 1 and we probably have at least one more, if not 2 DE's to complete. My guess is a Q4/Q1 start to P1b.

DTW, "Including the following dim-witted comment ..... 'Although this has been frustratingly delayed up till now' ..demonstrating a total lack of understanding that the very 'delay' that is frustrating him, is actually an incredibly positive symptom of failure to find a MTD."

As for it being frustrating, that was my comment.

Why didn't AS see this coming? With all the prep and the first 4 DE's why did not someone tell him an MTD was going to be necessary? It was a bolt out of the blue for everyone concerned.

( Glad to hear though that you were not frustrated .)

DTW, I don't use optimism or pessimism to influence or determine whether or not a stock is worth buying.

This stock has huge potential but then many do. An important part of my decision-making (and most investors other than people who inhabit this BB), is timescales.

Although this has been frustratingly delayed up till now, nevertheless, the time for announcements would appear to very close and the next 4 weeks should be instructive.

When any SP-moving deadline approaches it concentrates the mind.

Some will buy/top up others will sell.

You pay your money, you take your choice. Whether one is optimistic or not will make no difference.

Hi HH,

Thanks for taking the time to respond.

Yes I accept some of the observations you make, I guess I just used a pretty broad brush and therefore generalised about my view on these BB.

Aas JX points out, none of it affects the SP and I only contribute to pass the time while the company in question gets on with whatever they do.

The only benefit I think can be found is if/when posters can give an insight as to why we act the way we do and if that can be applied to improve the buying criteria in the first place.

ATB

This is just my 2 cents....

The caveat up top is this stock may well get over this setback and go on to make share holders profits.

However these BB's (not just this one), offer very little and on the whole I think are very dangerous to investors.

To start with, why did individuals pick this stock? Its high risk, and part of that there are a lot of unknowns that no research can uncover. There was no gun to the head to buy this stock and there are hundreds of others with far less risk attached to have chosen from.

I would guess, HEMO was chosen because of the potential to make many times the original investment. Therefore it was primarally greed.

So now you have a BB predominantly filled with gamblers being seduced by the possibility of big returns. This in turn leads to fanciful posts of turning every bit of news and indeed no news, ie silence, as simply an echo chamber of confirmation of good news about to break.

This universally, in my experience of these BB's means any voice that dissents is barracked and generally accused of being a shorter or someone who is deceitfully trying to manipulate the SP to their gain. (Although people who talk it up don't apply that logic to themselves).

So you end up with 2 things: One is a very over weighted BB pushing the potential upside, which is understandable, but ultimately becomes an echo chamber and then what few posts that look at potential downsides/hiccups are PERSONALLY dismissed as liars/troublemakers so their views then can be ignored because they are clearly bad people.

"Research" can only be based on what news is already out in the public domain. To assume that anyone on these BB's has inside information is fanciful. Therefore it is just opinion and not actual research in the way that it likes to be conveyed.

By all means do your own research but be aware you don't know what is going on and constantly reading BB's like these can give a false sense of optimism, when maybe your first instincts to delays or whatever it is, that might give pause for a re-examination of the original purchase criteria, can be over ridden.

In any event, on any stock, never bet more than you can COMFORTABLY afford to lose.

Just my opinion.

Ha! closed at 7.3p....the tension remains in place.....

I am guessing the now expected further rise in interest rates might mean the finance deal is more expensive?

Well, and its just perhaps worth a look, is AVCT. I have stuck with this one and it has had it ups and downs (and as luck would have it, I have traded it ok for the most part), but always kept a core holding.

Its coming close to D-Day with some results coming through likely this month of a trial.

If (I love that word), if the trial continues to confirm what has happened in the Mice studies then this has very big potential and it is genuinely hard to know where it could finish. The most likely outcome imo is a buyout. but what makes this stand out right now is the timing. Its all about to happen very soon.

its just my opinion, but read the RNS's and see what you think.

(I put the sale of HEMO straight into it as a top up as it seems to be reasonably stable, give a percent or two, around its current price.)

I don't know about being astute Stu! ha ha, but yes I have no idea where this may fall to, and currently it is below my selling price already.

Its not done what I expected therefore the reasons for holding no longer apply.

The bit that everyone knows but hates hearing is "never bet with more than you can comfortably lose".

Hope this works out for the LTH's . GL

An advance above 7.3p has been tough nut to crack recently. Currently we are at 7.35p

Its intraday so we shall see where it finishes but this is at least encouraging for further gains that it is above that level now.

imo dyor etc

MrI I was in ANG when this same thing happened and it dragged on and on. No 2 companies are the same but this sector is by its nature saturated by failures with a few gems making it to the top.

Its a crap shoot to know which lucky few will make it. (and by when!)

I'll take the loss and try and get it back elsewhere.

If HEMO has not been bought out already, I don't know why they would be now after this doubt has been lobbed in.

MrI, I sold when the RNS came out. There is no time line now and there is even a chance it will not go any further.

Too risky and rich for my taste

I'm not sure what your point is Bruce?

Is it that Coris are s good company and are better than AVCT at producing tests?

(I seem to remember AS saying their LFT was the best in the world. Presumably he did not know about Coris then.)

AS also said the market would be worth billion for 2-5 years and that hass not come to pass either.

None of this affects the outcome of trial but for those that continue to rec what statements the various AVCT directors make surely should by now be wary of what they say.

By rule of thumb is to apply "well, what else is he/she going to say". and then see if there is any real info hiding in the statement.