Turnaround for the company31 Mar 2026 14:17
Again, an incredible report for this very well run company, which keeps overdelivering. Let's deep dive into the numbers.
1) 4,000t or more of ore per month will be processed at the Meghradzor plant for concentration resulting in concentrate at 17g/t or more.
2) This concentrate sent to the Masis plant and is mixed with lower-grade ore already stored here.
3) First test batch resulted in 40 tonnes of mixed material which yielded 218 grams of gold → average recovered grade of 5.45 g/t
Now, let's to the math :
Scenario 1 : Conservative / Ramp-up Phase
4,000t of ore per month are concentrated.
This produces roughly 400–600t of concentrate per month (volume reduction is typical in concentration processes).
Mix at Masis plant: about 50% concentrate + 50% low-grade stored ore.
Average grade of the mix processed: 9–10 g/t.
Monthly material processed at Masis: 500t (realistic starting capacity after upgrades).
Gold recovery rate: 95% (standard for refined concentrate with the new electrolysis system)
Gold produced = 500t × 9.5 g/t × 95% = approximately 4,5 grams of gold per month.
Gross revenue = 4,5 grams × €128/gram ≈ €576,000 per month.
Scenario 2 : Base Case / Stabilized Operations
Same 4000t/month ore input.
Higher proportion of concentrate in the mix (60–70%).
Average grade of the mix: 11–13 g/t.
Monthly material processed at Masis: 700t.
Gold produced = 700t × 12 g/t × 95% = approximately 7,980 grams of gold per month.
Gross revenue = 7,980 grams × €128/gram ≈ around €1 million / month
We are currently at a 16M euro mcap... I can't even grasp how undervalued this company is... And again we are only talking about the current operations at the Karaberd mine, completely discounting the other assets and future potential of the company.
As a conclusion, I would confidently say that the last few reports removed all the guesses and "if" around the company and cleared the path to a violent repricing just like we saw in the end of January. I would argue the company is even cheaper now at 13M mcap than last year at 5-6M mcap because we now have all the green flags :
1) IMC is now a gold producer and is already making money (imagine the potential when the underground mining will start with the 100000t processing capacity...)
2) The company is exceptionally well run and very cautious with the spending (which was expected with a 90%+ insider/institution ownership but needed confirmation nonetheless)
3) They got their priorities right with first putting their efforts on the near term cash flow asset and are able to find quick, efficient and cheap solution every time they face a problem
4) The company is now teasing a copper acquisition, a JV for the Irish assets...
And last but not least, remember the free float is tiny, so don't get shaken out and keep this gem in your portfolio because the story has only begun. The movements will always look impressive because a couple of shares is enough to make the price swing a lot