Member Info for wyndrum

how exciting!

We are testing the intraday high if 214.5p . its had a couple of runs at this since opening and this could be third time lucky (which is actually a thing in charting....)

Apparently she filtered me months ago and if she is as good as her word, she won't see this so somebody else ask please her:

In July 2017 the SP was 266p, that is a 20% SP rise over nearly 4 years . Does the reality of this poor performance give her cause for concern with her never ending ramping that this is going to be a fantastic long term share. At what time does she admit that she is wrong? how many years of poor growth has to take place before her view is shaken?

I bet she does not answer the question. (She may well cut and paste how great the company is, but will still avoid the question)

Are Mologic in a position to buy AVCT out?

Morning Gen,

So based on your view, what does that mean for example, Tesla? Do you look at the SP 1 month ago or today or tomorrow? How does the SP help in deciding what price to pay at the moment.

If nothing else it highlights what a gamble stock picking really is!

I honestly think we are in a new era (and it didn't just start last week), where what happened before, as best summarised by the approach of say, Buffett, of LTB&H being the surest way to success, isn't really valid any more, (or at least presently).

I don't think so Goodapple, I think the SP reflects the company on that day, or even just that moment. I don't think you can draw an inference about the medium long term direction of the company.

(Also, the SP and the company are related but not always that closely. Sometime like an estrange sibling , more often like a distant 2nd cousin and that's an important distinction I think).

That for me, is the problem with value investing, not the logic of it but just the reality, that the SP is not always and in fact in my experience rarely, reflects what's going on in the company in question)

what disappointed me Steadyman about her defence was that it was a great opportunity to say that better, more accurate, easier to administer test were either about to come out or were being quickly developed to address those issues.

It seems an open goal for her and the like (minsters other health officials etc), to counteract the criticism for the Innova test to explain how improved tests addressing all those deficiencies are soon to be available, or as I say, at least under development, or even , the govt and industry are naturally always looking to improve on the current testing regimes should a certain amount of opaqueness be required.

Tics me off.

As its the weekend:
Goodapple asks " what closing price on the day of results - 18th March?"

Why? is anybody selling on that day? Because if you are not, who cares?

However its a good question as in, what price would you (the individual) sell at and when?

If you can't answer that question then I think its worth contemplating: The (individual) has invested a sum of money, probably £1000's, in a company and is not sure what price to sell at or when.

Some will argue that its long term ie years, but that has always smacked to me of avoiding the question: By all means say 10 years and 150p per share. However for it to mean something then the individual should have a thought process that will justify a 150p SP in a 10 year time frame, otherwise its a worthless statement.

I only mention this because many investors that bother to post and enjoy BB's, tend not to be quite so LTB&H as they imagine (otherwise why would you check a BB daily and comment on the short term prospects and SP?)

It's a difficult answer to an easy question because ultimately we can't forecast the future, but I would argue that this part of the plan is normally somewhat over looked and yet its the part of the plan that crystallises the gain and is the whole point of the initial purchase.

fwiw and for my part (and ignore my time frames, because its each to his own), if a share does what I though either ahead or on time, then I simply look at it in a fresh light and imagine I had sold, would I buy at this "new", higher price. If the answer is yes, then fairly obviously I hold for a bit longer, but I will have a new time frame, maybe to the next set of results or a new price target I think it will most likely now achieve.

But my plan is not the point. The point is just to have one.

So, if you haven't thought about it, maybe it might be a worthwhile exercise?

this might be it now.....

Maybe, wiggly, its certainly having a longer look than I expected.

I still think a close above 203p its the significant short term number, but as ever we will see

always have been Tim.

There are only one or 2 now that I have seem to have gotten under the skin of, but that's of no import to anyone, (least of all me)

I just think times are changing and EVe may well be a special case from where it is now and where it could go to over the next few years, but the "old Business of retail/oils/banking would seem to the slow coaches, and now its the bio pharmas and disrupter technologies that are in the ascendency for growth.
As I always maintain, its all about timing. (and LUCK of course....)

Seriously, if I had known the difference it would have made to you all I would have done it earlier :0))

(this will make you smile)

I have never gone out of my way to be antagonistic!

(Clearly its a gift, and like most gifts, it can be a curse too)

me too funnily enough. I only sold because I thought I could better returns over the year elsewhere and as a complete fluke the SP dropped soon after!. I will have me & Mrs W's ISA funds to "invest" in april and am considering putting some back in there as well.
(Do you think we should open our own hedge fund!)

I'm very happy Tim, and its nice to see you are too. have a good weekend :0)

How many candles would you like on your cake Tim?

well, who wouldn't want to be in profit straight away! ha ha.

Seriously if that's important and she chooses EVE, explain that with the spread she might be looking at a 5/10% loss straight away. (at least with the other 2 companies the spreads are much closer.)

FWIW D, I think Avact. There is some potential for falling from the current level if the covid test fails to materialise, but that seems unlikely now. The upside is simply incalculable so if she is prepared for a 2-5 year wait then who knows what the SP could be worth. certainly in the next 12 months it could be 2-10 times higher than it is now.

Eve, I don't know, I do blow hot and cold, only because I can't yet quite completely shake off the nagging feeling they are not out of the woods yet. They probably, almost certainly are... and yet.. Even if they are I and all goes well, there still has to be something fairly transformational to make explosive growth to say 20p plus and I can't see that in the next 12 months. From there, (12 months onwards), who knows, because with more info and updates it may be much easier to forecast

(Another stock worth researching is ANGLE (ANG), looks pretty nailed on to get FDA approval on their tech and could also see explosive growth by the end of the year (and more beyond ).
(I have holdings in both companies)

Not knowing much about Hemp oil I googled it:

"CBD does not have intoxicating properties like THC, so it won't cause any negative effects like excessive sedation, drowsiness or feelings of fatigue."
And
"For adults, CBD appears to be a very safe product. CBD does produce side effects for some people, including nausea, fatigue, and irritability. It may also interact with certain medications, so always check with your doctor before use. But for children under age 21 it's a different story."

So a bit of a mixed bag. I only mention this so as to get some perspective on this product as it seems to have caused huge spikes in the SP a couple of times already.

What are the casualty rates for NHS staff David?