RE: 2.1026 Feb 2021 12:28
Hi Ben, the chart is right on a cusp. And its a bit broad: you can argue this either way:: There is a resistance between 195p and 203p so as its less than the top of 203p then as I say an argument can be made to short the stock, as its failed to hold on to gains and been quite volatile from these current levels, but to where, 195p? not worthwhile, could it fall further, yes of course but, 188p would be next, so targets 1 and 2 are pretty tight and I can't see why anybody would take the risk for such small return. It could fall further still but the fact it has been there and rebounded quite strongly since, suggests it is less probably it will do so again, but of course it could (its just an odds game)
So its a buy then? well not really no, (in chart terms). It needs to break and hold above 203p If it did that's a strong, very strong buying signal as it would be a break above an all time high and that usually triggers fresh momentum. (This I think is the most likely)
So for people who are looking to time their entry to go long and reduce their risk of losing, they would wait for a close above 203p first.
If you were using the chart and wanted to go long now and save a few p and not wait for 203p (and that's fair enough because it may go through 203p and actually close that day a lot higher!), you would I think, have to set your stop at least at 175p, which is 10%.
If you are not looking to sell so don't really care about the downside then with the spread at any given time you might as well buy now and then not have to worry about missing the boat if a big leap suddenly occurs for the sake of a potential 2-5p less entry price
How helpful this is I don't know. but this slow movement around this price only confirms my personal analysis above, and suggest to me , the "big" money is waiting for 203p (plus) before getting in.