Member Info for wyndrum

I agree BITL, I don't like the personal abuse that flies around on this BB for no other reason it blocks and obscures debate and all the rest of it, but somehow this absolute nut job keeps posting this rubbish, often several times a day and nothing can be done about it. I am going to filter him which will mean now he is the sole person I have in the box, but it won't stop all the other posts that react to him, the vast majority being positive. Which initself is very strange.

These posts aren't funny and do nothing to educate anybody on AVCT or the wider market and only helps to clog it up.

Anyway its the last time I will comment on what I consider to be the worst poster on LSE

nor me, LD.

Its now the middle of March and I have no idea, at all, where AVCT are at, in this extension to a trial that is now meant to finish in 3 moths or so.

I think classing it as an Aim stock is a bit broad brush.

There will be specialists in sectors and market caps irrespective as to what market it trades in.

As we have seen AVCT can depending on its market cap, get elevated and relegated from other more specialist markets.

AVCT has its own house broker who's job it is to make others aware of its potential.

I just think we all dancing on the head of a pin.

It is in stage one of a multi part trial with limited income and relatively high cash burn.

IMO, the argument that not many people know about this will be put to bed when the 7:00 RNS comes out with more conclusive and detailed news that the market needs and the SP shoots up at 8:00am on opening.

(That to me, will indicate lots knew about AVCT but wanted it to be more de-risked as they would have to be reading the RNS (which if they do it now, then they have done it before, thereby meaning they already knew about AVCT), and 1 hour will not be enough to do research on this "new" company to decide whether to buy or not.

Anyway, its not so much about the science as other factors. dyor etc (see what i did there?)

Maybe Neut, I'm not so sure. The book "The Zulu Principle" by Jim Slater in '92 basically said this was a avenue for pi's to beat the II's at their own game through having more time to do more research on small companies.

Today it is so much easier for everyone to get hold of any research at any time that that advantage has I think, pretty much disappeared.

Also if it is still a potential window of opportunity I don't imagine it remains open that long. Certainly with all the publicity AVCT have had since the break out of Covid I would be surprised if it has not been pretty well researched by most of the houses that get involved in this type of stock.

This whole valuation/SP thing that this BB has become obsessed with recently is I think, just some not prepared to acknowledge that there are many factors outside the actual science that need to be resolved or clarified before a proper re-rate can be more accurately done.

I and others have tried to articulate these "missing pieces" of the jigsaw but to little or no avail.

rxdav "we're just passing the time until the red dot appears."

No kidding....pretty sure I have said that every time I am accused of "affecting" the SP. Nothing posted here will affect the outcome of the trial. It will succeed or fail and the SP will react accordingly.

I have not HAD to do anything ripley I have more than sufficient funds to decide where to put my cash. Like I say i like Harl, so sue me.

You will be reassured to know I have another £40k ready to go into the 2 isa's I have. (Me and Mrs before you all start)

Ice, I have had to listen to ripley Pl Timster Hurst, and countless others spout more misinformation, lies and abuse to anyone they disagree with then I have ever have. They have consistently universally been wrong on every call.

Hopefully AVCT will succeed, but not because of their reasoning or intellect. They are simply emotionally on the hook of the company and are completely unable to get off, so for their financial sake they hope it will come good.

And they don't think they are gamblers? Its pretty pathetic reading their denials and justification for having no investment intelligence at all.

Oh ripley, keep up, my average on HARL is now 16.8p.

I have given it a 12-36 month timeframe with a 5-10 multiple increase (it would have to go from its current £25m mkt cap to anywhere between £125m-£250m which seems perfectly possible for a ship builder with already a secured £800m order from the govt with several other income streams.) In fact it might have more potential than AVCT for SP appreciation.

Anyway, its an investment not a gamble as we all know, just as HE1 is (which I am doing fine with thanks having bought in at 5.6p only a few weeks ago), as were ADV and SNG.

Seems very small minded of you to constantly criticise my investments like this.

Quick win!!! Are you kidding? I have done fine by trading this stock but have been here 3 years with the very first purchase being at 132p a couple of days before the 120p cash raise (that AS had no intention of doing).

If I had not traded this the, I would be just below breakeven with a much smaller holding.

As it is I am fortunate to be in profit with an increased amount of shares.

But yes, I take your point, it is pretty boring winning quickly than getting nothing over 3 years....

I don't know why you seem so happy on such a disappointing SP based on what they have achieved.

Really Tim? how has the SP reacted?

Sorry, none of you care about that...

What DTW, you think his day is putting on a white coat and getting his hands dirty in the lab?

That not his role anymore and has not been for many years.

the 2 options are that it is underway or that it isn't

The "evidence" that it is not underway is that an RNS would have been appropriate to acknowledge that and a bit more details on dosing etc

The counter argument is that an RNS was not necessary based on what AS said previously that it would be started making any further RNS unnecessary.

Who knows which option it is.

Given the SP has fallen from around 185p I can't see what benefit AS has in letting the SP fall.

If the 5DE has started then why not say so, even if he does not have to?

This is why I am starting to question AS's ability as a CEO, he is responsible to the shareholders but gives the impression of not caring about the SP.

what happened to the "200p by friday" a couple of weeks ago?

Why do you keep posting misinformation?

Why do you keep re-using the same "Trading" post title as a new thread all the time?

is it a lack of knowledge of how this works?
Do you just enjoy seeing if you can wind people up?
Why do you never respond to questions about your posts?

SP now at its lowest of the day.

What is your game Hurst?

Are you trying to be funny?

Do you genuinely believe in what you post?

Are you ramping to deliberately trying to deceive people?

how did the margin call go then ripley when you were forced to sell all your AVCT stock at the lows and then buy in when they bounced back to 100p?

(I bought in then and am sitting on a healthy profit by the way)

Still what you do is not gambling obviously, it just means you lost out on your investment...potato potarto

It all depends clearly from the replies, what the term gambling means to the individual:

One definition is: "take risky action in the hope of a desired result."

For me when I have tried to understand the difference between the 2 terms, gambling and investing , I can substitute the word "spend" for investing in most any context.

I invest (spend) money in AVCT in the gamble that the share will increase in value over time.

I invested (spent) time in that relationship in the belief it would be beneficial

It is the unknown outcome for me that makes me define whether its a "gamble" or not.

"Could get run over by a bus today" because life is a gamble. Common enough saying but it highlights the uncertainty of events beyond our control, however unlikely.

I don't see how picking any stock is not a gamble. I would accept there are different levels of risk in stock picking, some with very low risk but still a risk.

Look at SVB for instance. They were successful in attracting big deposits from customers, so they (responsibly) put them in the safest secure instrument available , US Bonds, but the quick reversal in interest rates made them (SVB) go bust. (In hindsight they should have spread the risk and not been dependent on one form of security.

They gambled and lost. Or if you prefer they "invested" and lost.

However, I don't see how, when you lose out on an "investment" that sentence makes sense. It contradicts what you thought you were doing. Whats the difference between a "risky" investment and a secure one?

Surely if its risky, the outcome is not only unknown but likely to fail (hence the word risky). How is that not to be considered as a gamble?

Its all pretty academic accept the connotation is that an investor is a socially positive word whereas gambler is seen as a negative one, hence why PL and Ripley constantly refer to me as a gambler and a failed one at that, to hammer home how socially unacceptable I am and therefore my views are not to be listened to, (even though I make more than I lose and have a system where I won't be wiped out when the trades go against me. And that's important to me as I am risk-averse by nature.

Anyway, each to his own, the individual can apply any term they like to what they do, its a free country.

we are all gamblers in this stock.

We have bought at a price without knowing the outcome but hoping it will be greater.

What price will you sell at and when will that be?

I "gamble" on the short term as i think its more predictable than trying to guess what it will be like in 1,2,or 5 years time.

I would argue I am more risk adverse than many. I am not over committed and happy to take a small loss if it falls below my buy in price. I don't think all here could say that.

You are not going to like this BITL, but it does highlight perhaps the difference in approaches:

I value it at 131p (ie whatever the market says). The reason is one day I will want to sell, and I will only get whatever the market says its worth. All my wishes and expectations won't matter, as a result I don't worry about the "future" value.

I understand that I have no idea or control over how the market will value this company on any given day.

I'm the same as probably all others here, and can see huge potential SP increase.

I will sell as I see fit to reduce risk at any given time, whether thats due to a falling SP or a rising one, banking gains and allowing the rest to run risk free.

Right now I think there are mixed messages and conflicting pulls.

Delayed trial versus great data
DE silence: Could mean its underway or could mean its held up
Funding: will they need more to see the end of the trial or not?
LD: is it still cash generative or have overheads increased?
Will they go it alone or not, so will there be another (big) raise or not?
When will it be commercialised?
What will be the profit margin?

All of these unknowables affect or will affect, the SP and not a single person here, for all their research has clue what the answers will be.

As the story unfolds these questions will bit by bit, be answered.

Thats why I think valuations at this stage are utterly, utterly pointless.

Thats also why I won't do a Charlie Munger and put in a 150% believing I already know the outcome, I don't. (I might be stupid but at least I know I am stupid.)

No one knows the answers to any of it

I Think RD, what it also shows (as at the time those optimistic posts garnered many, many recs), is how little was known and how much was speculation.

I know I bang on about this, but for all the "research" here done, because of the ground breaking tech being developed means there is no real template to gauge commercial success if or when it will arrive.

Holders here are gambling (and I think that is the right word), that the various and many hurdles still to be leaped will be done successfully, resulting in a positive investment outcome.

(I tried to take him to task on his TA predictions (incl EW theory)at the time, but he ended up like so many here do, by being pretty rude, then offensive and then filtering me)

You have that backwards RAH, we are trying to engage with you to discuss your assumptions. It seems you block anyone who you disagree with.