Member Info for wyndrum

There is nothing, absolutely nothing disruptive in my posts.

Its simply that you don't like my opinion as to why the SP is so low while the company's tech is performing so well.

Yours (and others) insulting and boorish arrogance is the reason why this BB is now almost totally an echo chamber spouting the same old guff while completely ignoring the reality of the SP and the business side of the company.

You have been completely wrong in every forecast/expectation and analysis in the 3 odd years I have been here.

Yeah, its me thats cluless, but me that sees where the SP is going months before you lot do.

Heres my view: There is another cash raise coming this year. The market is waiting to see how much and at what price. My best guess it will be at the end of p1A but probably before P1b starts. Until then there is little buying pressure and any sellers are struggling to get higher prices right now.

Its not negative, its not positive, it may not be correct, but its my objective assessment based on the extended time lines on the trial and the cash runway available.

It was thrust upon AVCT otherwise how could AS say it was unexpected?

Clearly in 2022 AS said MTD may never be found which somewhat over rules the 2021 RNS...Moron

" We are all guilty of enthusiasm and there are dozens of plenty of traders pushing theirs for personal motives."

So its only traders that want the SP to go up?

There is a chronic over estimation of the effect of what people term as a trader on SP's.

Very few AIM stocks have a narrow enough spread to make short term trading worthwhile, very few aim stocks have enough volatility to make trading worthwhile.

And don't forget... according to many "investors", MM's are forever and constantly manipulating and holding back the SP, in which case a trader has no chance if the SP is rigged and would therefore not get involved.

Serious traders don't do stocks they do indicies.

"...P1a trial is exceeding all expectations"

Is it? Then why was the desire to find MTD "unexpected" from the very lips of AS?

It took nearly 4 months to start up the trial again after this "unexpected" request came in.

Those 2 FACTS suggests that it was/is preceding as expected which is great as expectations were pretty high to start with.

Personally I think AS wanted to get on to p1b asap due to the already overun in time and because of the cash runway and this p1a extension is very much a double edged sword for avct.

For me that at least makes sense as to why the SP is under pressure. And for the record I don't want this to go on for as long as possible to find an MTD. because clearly it is not having any effect on the value of the company. in fact quite the reverse.

LW, "Not everybody buys on the news, and many get in beforehand"

Yes I agree with that. ("Buy on the rumour, sell on the news", springs to mind.)

But in any event the greed factor makes many people take bigger risks to make more money and in this context it means they try to buy before the "official" news is released.

"The trial has been a victim of its own success"

Really, so why is the SP at 100p?

Im not bloody negative! how many more times!

why can't you accept that timing is OBVIOUSLY a very important factor in investment returns. To have no idea or care when an investment is likely to pay off is crazy don't you think?

Thats right loveable. Assume I am out of the stock simply because I want to discuss timelines to see when we think our investment will/might payoff.

Its absolutely pathetic.

How long as this trial been going? how long as it got to go? the sp is 100p Is that what you expected?

If its not then why? Whats changed?

But no, we must not discuss this because its a deliberate attempt to move the SP down! As though the half dozen posters here make any difference.

Thats the point though isn't it bitl.

I have been more accurate than most in expecting and predicting extended timeline. But your view is, its not worth discussing.

What makes you think anything will have changed in 2 months?

Do you think we have finished with the DE's? That this will be the last one? And will 7 be the final one?

AS says about 2 months to collate the data before starting P1b, why will it only be 2 months if he never gets a timeline right by your own admission?

We are already there knowing how well it works, but we continually are kicking the can down the road to fine tune further. So why does the market value it this lowly?

What do you think will change in 2 months from a SP perspective, or what is the catylst you think will need to take place for the market to wake up?

"Timeline accuracy is AS’s fault. He’s the guy that states when things will be complete but never holds a single date.

Forget the calendar and focus on the opportunity. Buy/sell accordingly."

Yes well, I think I may have mentioned that some time ago. Research is of limited use if there is no treliable timeline.

To "forget the calender", is not a viable investment criteria as timeing is in fact everything.

I tried bringing this up a a short while ago and tried to get people to discuss objectively and rationally how long they would wait before getting the return they want.

AS said 7 years from now for commercialisation. He has never met a date yet, and cannot predict a few months ahead so why anyone rationally thinks that remark was worth anything I have no idea.

But again, any critical look at this company from an investment pov is shouted down to the point this BB (as can be seen recently) is completely pointless.

Well done

Fwiw, and at the risk of being a killjoy, I don't think you should ever get excited or depressed, or positive or negative, over a share certificate.

These emotions are only your own and have no effect on the outcome of the SP. The more you allow or think that those emotions employed "help" you in any way make objective decisions then sooner or later (usually sooner), it all goes wrong.

If you want to get excited, go ride a an actual roller coaster.

Well its back up to 70 now which in most TA books signals over bought but while I personally might be wary of buying at this level I certainly would not sell, as I like 80 (which I may have mentioned before... a million times.... sorry), before I think a fall becomes the most likley out come.

But this the joy of the RSI, when it was 9.25p the RSI was 77.75 now just a couple of days later, it is at 70.18 . So almost identical price but it is starting to leave headroom for further rises as it unwinds.

I get this is not every body's cup of teas which is perfectly fine, but it aids (me) in deciding when to buy and sell which is why i slightly over committed this morning when HL was showing a 8.5p sell price. That to me indicated it had just about hit the support line of 8.5p and therefore even if it closed there this evening I would only try and buy it tomorrow, therefore under my logic this was a risk worth taking today.

By the way fwiw, I don't always sell if the RSI is 80 but at least I never buy when its up there. So for me it just helps time entry and exit prices to try and max profits.

just my opinion dyor etc etc.

"Surely see a TR1 pop up soon"

...At this rate it will be me! Last allocation now. Done. Finished. No more. The End.

...Well it is to me, (although its still quite high at 69.32

Never mind... Momentum looks to be strong so any pullback will likely get some back in at these prices tomorrow...(hope so anyway :0))

Me too Rum, my last top up now was a 9p buying price but I reasoned that if it fell all the way to 8.5 then probably an 8.6/8.7p buy price might be available

And given there is no guarantee it would get there I too thought its close enough.

Fwiw I have bought half just now at 9.08 of my top allocation. If I can get any at sub 9p buying price I'll get the other half.

But as a round no. 9p might be something... who knows, it is just a crap shoot

Yes Bladders, but research is not worth that much in my experience. It has its place but here's the thing. All the research last time would have seen a fall of about 75%. (Di your research for instance see the purchase of a rig?) Say there had not been a purchased rig and the Friday RNS was the last one we read. Did your research tell you that there was a problem with Sofori? And if we had not got a rig that would have been another years drill window gone, and almost certainly another cash raise

All research is is reading the latest report RNS and then guessing the potential outcome.

Once the official news is out there, the "researcher" then has to make the assumption that their research is so good that it has out performed the market's collective knowledge of the same info and therefore they see potential SP appreciation.

My take is that the collective market is much more risk averse than the average PI on these types of BB's.

HE1, may shoot up but only if it discovers commercial helium. It failed last time. It is an exploration company that loses money and is a high risk enterprise.

The market will allocate some funds at this high-risk, early stage, but if all goes well will pile in because it has been de-risked.

You (we) can all pat ourselves on the back if this goes well, but the risk was/is very high that this will pay off.

Personally, for me, I find the SP tells a more accurate up-to-date story than research. But as always, each to his own. No system is infaliable.

The support is at 8.5p but it does not mean the SP will fall back there to test it. Thats why I like the RSI, it just gives a good indication where there might be a bit of a breather and an opportunity to pick some extra stock at a better price.

Timing is a critical feature obviously to maximise profits and as always its each to their own.

(Cybs, sentiment is what TA/Charts is all about)

Any surprising news moves the SP unexpectedly The news (exciting though it is after all this time), is now in the public domain, so given the latest interview, there won't be much now in fact to move the SP prior to a "discovery". (that does not mean the SP will rise but just that unexpected news is unlikely to be the driver). On the other hand that's probably why they call it "unexpected".......

I have seem a few of these posts that we can drill ad infinitum, but it still costs a lot of money setting up pads, relocation, rig crews and ancillary staff etc etc.

So I am not sure its quite the free pass some here think?

What it does do obviously allow is shorter lead times once cash is in place to organise further drills, which is a big plus but there is still a lot of pressure on this upcoming drill to deliver.