Member Info for wyndrum

DTW, take a ticket and get in line.

Well, without stealing their thunder it would be positive to break and close above 13p or even 13.5p

Ultimately a new (recent) high of 18p would be the last proof positive of further gains.

In the very short term a close above 11.75 continues to confirm that a reversal may be under way, but really, 14p followed by 18p are the very key numbers. (imo dyor etc)

Bitl I think the view you have colours your judgement (but then that probably applies to us all), but you can be (as in fact I have been as it happens) thinking/expecting a rise but the SP falls this in turn affects the "chart" in the short term and might indicate further falls, before indications suggest a rise is coming.

None of that makes the poster some sort of kiniving toe rag, but simply working on shorter timescales.

The irony for the view that you is often expressed, is as though you can only have one view (say positive), and then you have to stick with it even when new news might cause a moderation of that belief.

Its the Black/White nature of so many posters here that frustrates because stocks, like life is not like that. There are lots of ups and downs on the journey.

I'm afraid Lumax, this is why this BB for all its good intentions is for a few here (but as the posters here have dropped away, the few are now the many) beyond rational thought and discussion if a view is not agreed with.

You simply can't post that the SP will fall, even though every one knows that the SP on every stock rises and falls, whether its in a down trend or an up trend.

I have said before, but the paranoia is palpable.

bitl says its tripe, but that could equally be levelled at most posters whatever others think of them. Hurst and Sujood are positively encouraged to keep posting the most misleading lies I can ever recall on BB without censure either by the moderators or other posters? Why? Because its always a ramp.

If it were always a de-ramp they would be reported and banned by now.

So, double standards galore.( Starbright (imo) is the only one who offers insight to the mechanics of the market which many here are unaware of and he has taken his fair share of stick too.)

Anyway, none of it affects AVCT or its SP so as I said earlier there is a powerful argument that it is all tripe on here.

Ha ha D! (You have too much time on your hands :0))

Its pretty much whisky or nothing, at a push on holiday i'll have a gin and when all else fails Vodka but it turns out I only like Grey Goose and Chapple Down Gin....

I need this one to come in just to keep the drinks cabinet stocked up.....

Best regards as always

You can never tell, but this feels like a tree shake.

Easy to do with such a risky play right at the result time. Move the Stock down and see if it scares anyone, (which it always will because almost everyone who is in is over committed and panics).

On the other hand it could be a leak of bad news....

What a game...... (except it never matters if you are never over committed.)

Good luck all

All speculative/loss making stocks get hit at times like this as the potential downside is pretty depressing for the global economy and its the old "flight to safety" routine.

Same on HL.

Hmm....something incoming?

AS can't reveal any confidential info so its more of a vanity exercise from their POV.

the only "benefit" is they could let AS know their concerns, but in the great scheme of things I don't think he cares enough, given his day job, to do much, if anything more. than give it lip service.

I think Legal, you might be over thinking it.

FWIW, Its a tricky stock to trade but if there are swings (after the spread) of 10-20% then it could be straight forward profit taking. Personally I would be surprised if this was heavily traded due to spread and erratic volatility, but hey ho, as usual I don't know.

As for leaks, I have no idea, but given that no one knows if there is a leak or not, or if there will be a leak, or there has been a leak etc etc it seems to me impossible (unless the individual really does have inside information) that just looking at volume will be that helpful.

I think the vast majority will have placed their bet and will wait for the outcome, particularly as there has been no spud SP lift or any real reason to take profits sooner.

I was only slightly pulling your leg about you itching to buy as I understand and appreciate your stance that to buy when its ultimately de-risked makes financial sense on such a risky play as this.

The fact that you post so often on the quite small swings in the SP does make me think you are looking for an excuse to get in before the results are known. Am i right?

Cheers

Legal, yes you are probably right but I don't see this as a "pump" , just the rig broke, now its fixed, been a few days of drilling, less time for anything else to go wrong, couple of positive tweets from Mike at the camp, etc, so as I said its now or never. (pre discovery)

Chesh, its what TA is based on :0))

Legal, more likely just as the hours and days go past so the deadline for TD nears. Therefore for those who want to get in pre (potential) discovery then time is running out.

So I think its more supply and demand working the typical FOMO crowd psychology. The Tweet Video's obviously stoke that mentality as well.

(just my opinion dyor etc)

Ha ha! very good.... , (took me a couple or reads to get it, then made me proper laugh. So lots of thanks for that!)

Thanks Chesh, (although, as it turns out, I am not a MA fan) :0))

Yes chesh, it "feels" like the window is closing.

I know charts have minimal impact but a close above 6.2p would be positive.

Legal,

obviously (I say obviously but what do I know), you are itching to buy in so why not add a third of your pot now. If it fails then get out at 1-2p (maybe it will be a bit more because of the 2nd drill?) if it halves and you decide to get out you have lost a 6th (assuming it halved just for convenience), so 15-20% loss.

But if it strikes HE, them the SP will probably be around 15-18p (more?) and then you can put in the rest?

So you risk a potential say, 20% loss against maybe a 300% gain?

As risk reward goes thats pretty good given ANY AND EVERY stock has risk attached.

Anyway, food for thought perhaps?

Its provided an immediate fillip to the SP

If posters here can't reason for themselves the content of a post then they either should not come to BB's or should not be surprised if they lose their money.

This mixture of condescension and paranoia for every post that is not "positive" is ridiculous

So not the worse buy in then after all?

(I mentioned that I did not expect the 137-140 mark would not be the bogey price historically it had been and that the next target was 160-165p. (The RSI was 84 at the time)

All of which occurred.

My first buy in at 141p when it fell to there was premature but thats the risk you take when you work to levels, but as a money management system only committing half of the pot is a standard practise just for the very reason it falls through it and you can take advantage should it fall further

(I could have waited for 140p to hold before buying but by then it would have been nearer to 150p and the 10p seemed worth the risk, given the money management risk reward .)

Anyway, its a different approach but is a bit more involving then just endlessly guessing what will or won't be said and when.

Each to their own

(Probably be a crappy day and fall now! :0))