Member Info for TrekMadone

Sell KOD imo, too many geopolitical risks. I rate TXP v highly as I do PXC. Both in for a huge year. I would have both imo.

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Trek

“ phoenix copper....hvo.........chunky buy”

Good volume PXC so far. I tipped it a while ago from 23p and am up substantially there now.

Any that bought as a trade remember ride the journey and not always the destination!

It’s ok for us that can carry it but an up to $60m bond offering for a minnow is really blue sky! Take some profits imo unless you can risk it.

I am confident that they will get a good amount away but others may not be!

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Trek

Fantastic vol today and lots of indicative sells. Probably selling half slightly ahead of a double. Traders likely do that to not get caught with others.

Bye! Lol!

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Trek

Affects both Mrs Trek and I.

Are ‘Joe public’ supposed to read Bloomberg to find out! Disgusting!

Meanwhile the offshore loopholes and big tech tax evasion continues!

So they don’t even have to worry about ISA rule changes! Crooks!

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Trek

The Doomsday Clock moves the closest to global catastrophe it has ever been. The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists say Russia's "thinly veiled threats to use nuclear weapons remind the world that escalation of the conflict ... is a terrible risk"

https://news.sky.com/story/doomsday-clock-moves-10-seconds-closer-to-midnight-as-ukraine-war-rages-12794400

Yikes!!

Trek

Hi Nthoftheriver,

Agree with Jim. He has clocked it!

I keep pointing out the trading patterns here. They are coming into play. The more a pattern repeats the more folk follow it. It then becomes self fulfilling! Lol!

In the absence of transformational news one follows the TA . As the divi and hedging price moves up so does the sp higher highs and higher lows!

This is an fantastic income stock. Just look at the run off metrics which fit any HH price! It’s all there in the last company ppt.

Please take this the right way but if you are hoping for 130 why? That’s a higher SP which defeats the object of an income stock.

You should be buying now thinking you are in mid range of a trading pattern so you will be red and blue until the range shifts up. So 130 is irrelevant unless you are intending to sell.

You are also covered with a +10% divi.

If I was hoping for 130. That would be to trade. Atm I am happy it it stays where it is and I just get an annually increasing yield if you see what I mean.

For trading I have mention before TXP in this sector at 56/57 p from memory.

You can also see my predictions on YU and PXC recently.

I have DEC in the same basket of my other income plays like LGEN, PHNX, MNG etc. it’s that good!

And if you want another in the sector for its income, 9% and huge growth potential then go for SEPL.

It’s gonna to rerate soon and/or substantially increase the divi. Check it and TXP out!

TXP, DEC & SEPL are my top 3 holdings, then PXC. Gives you an idea of my risk attitudes. But I have been exceptionally fortunate with my trading/investing.

Don’t like to say too much as us Brits for a weird reason don’t like winners!

Anyways probably too much detail but hopefully plenty to think about. Ya gotta have a plan!

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Trek

That’s a big sp move today imo. Dropped at the open and I thought we could be in for some more profit taking. For a mo I thought 40p was one step back and two steps forward. We didn’t take one back! Lol!

Any success on funding and the sp is miles north of 40p. Whilst there are many other options in reality it’s about the copper bonds.

We shook a few out yesterday but traders and savvy investors will buy back higher if they think it’s still going up.

It’s usually just amateur PI’s that let their emotions drive their investing who just can’t bring themselves around to re-entering a stock at a higher sp level than what they previously sold it for! Lol!

40p before a pull back looks on. That’s the neckline.

Then it’s way through 80p on next positive news imo. That’s just on a TA and common sense basis based on previous highs.

Imo straight through 100p but hey one step at a time and atm in the absence of news it’s take a position or trade the technicals. Or both if you are a hybrid trader/investor which I have accidentally become!

Oh and a PS don’t underestimate the impact of the US markets and macro on this. It’s a key driver. It’s our home. US ADR’s aside we just happen to be London listed but we are driven by US macro not UK.

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Trek

Water is still low in terms of revs. It’s on ‘other’ on the balance sheet. It’s really a future offering. Which is great it’s something to go after.

https://www.yugroupplc.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/2022-H1-Trading-Update-1.pdf

There are others doing similar but not water as far as I know. I think YU’s digital platform with 90sec transfer and hedging is a USP. They cover it in the last AR very well…page 13

https://www.yugroupplc.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/Yu-Group-PLC-Annual-report-and-financial-statements-2021.pdf

Also the carbon neutral objectives is a customer pull.

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Trek

120 is a technical close that we are looking for. Whilst it’s all ‘voodoo’ it kinda makes a statement that the SP is returning to the aforementioned pattern.

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Trek

Hi ID78

TXP and SEPL are screaming buys still imo. They are not turbo stocks but a steady rise to 180p and 150p this year imo. And no panic or one off news event dependent.

TGA I rode from 150 to 900p. Sold too early but I wouldn’t buy back now. Any change to coal due to china ramping up and it will sink v quickly. Better off with LGEN imo!

Re Gcat. I have been hit before by a lying ceo. You can’t beat yourself up. You have to trust an rns.

There is no protection for PI’s you gotta get over it and move on.

I have been lucky and now more than recovered those losses.

GL

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Trek

Clued,

TXP. It’s just raised and about to embark on a already proven accelerated drilling campaign. They have proven HC’s from previous drills but priced as our expo. Has revs to fund further expo going forward.

Or for income and growth SEPL. cash on books to more than cover 2x dividend. Waiting for news on Exxon divestment if it goes through massive ramp in production. If it doesn’t they get cash back. Yields 9% paid quarterly and could double the dividend

Or for high risk similar to here. PXC on pullback it’s waiting for news on $60m non dilutive bond finance. Has 4 mines in USA copper, gold, silver and other metals.

I have large positions in all 3 and have added there recently.

Also YU I tipped here at 460 and swampmaster posted there that he’d bought. That one should be an easy route to +1200p after their finals in April

What’s left of my Gcat is the only stock I have in red. But not given up! Even my biotechs are all up now!

I look through loads of stocks in each sector to find these. They aren’t busy BB’s like here.

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Trek

“ Love to hear what you think is the next ‘Yu Group’”

TXP. It’s just raised and about to embark on a already proven accelerated drilling campaign. Has revs to fund expo going forward.

Or for income and growth SEPL.cash on books to more than cover 2x dividend. Waiting for news in Exxon divestment if it goes through massive ramp in production. If it doesn’t they get cash back. Yields 9% paid quarterly and could double the dividend.

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Trek

.23 would be a top up from me. I bought YU with my 8m I sold here and will be selling my trading pot in YU after their proper RNS! over the next few days. Got a holiday to pay for but I think it’s back in GCAt for some of the leftovers!

Whilst we may not get a spike back right away. Something will come eventually. RM was happy to use his own stock as collateral and the new guy hopefully comes with contacts!

Double or quits risk money me thinks! Yikes!

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Trek

Wow!

“ "I'm thrilled to report a fantastic, record-breaking performance for FY22. While the Board modelled a strong outcome for FY22 we may have underestimated the accelerated contribution our strengthened business would have on the Group's FY financial metrics. Record breaking organic revenues, profitability and forward contracted revenues have all exceeded management expectations. We are now in the fast lane of growth and expect to exceed current guidance that had already been upgraded in March, July, September and November 2022.”

Carlsberg RNS!

Stonking!

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Trek

1000p v soon now imo!

So pleased they announce a dividend ‘intention’ ‘along the lines of’ what I hoped for.

I will sell a few from my trading pot but the rest stays. That’s for a holiday to Scotland. Always wanted to tour the highlands!

Absolute ‘Carlsberg’ RNS! Amazing!

Thanks YU!

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Trek

Sub 80p was always on again imo based on the two previous dips to the 60’s before the last bounce.

I called the last one as it was easy due to the wider news at the time and made a tad over 20% on an in out trade.

I missed this move though. Saw it. Just didn’t have funds. It’s still got further to go imo.

I’d be looking for 140 imo so profit even for trades placed now!

No I am not trading it. On holiday. Mrs Trek is asleep and I just don’t trust the broadband here or the mobile for that matter!

So enjoy!

I rode this one from pennies to life changing pounds along with other covid stocks so I still have an inkling but tbh I have NOT read all of the last years RNS’s in detail. I have just used TA on the last trade and a view on this move.

Hope that’s transparent

GL

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Trek

And PXC, copper, AG, AU and polymetals. I have mentioned them before here. USA top postcode! Only 1% of resource recorded. If you know what I mean! Lol!

Nice pop today, has climbed from low twenties when tipped here.

Finance rumours afoot! They have a years cash and are trying to raise nondilutively via a copper bond. $60m!. If they pull it off, boom!!

Big if though! But they may get more than enough away and the rest then will follow! I fancy the odds!

But in the meantime the stock TA wise is heading back to the support neckline at 40p.

An interesting play for investors, traders, copper hedgies and ‘ahead of the herd.’ news junkies!

I guess most here are all 4! Lol!

So it’s not a ‘kitchen sink’ stock like TXP but it’s now made no 4 on my list by cash committed. Hence I need broadband when away on holiday! Lol!

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Trek

Last January and July’s TU’s were far more comprehensive than the following two in terms of numbers and data.

I see no reason that along the lines of intent in those two aforementioned RNS’s they couldn’t announce their ‘intent’ to aim towards a dividend policy based on a % of FCF or whatever metrics.

So ‘given the exceptional revenue of say £280m and cash of 10m the BoD ‘intends’ to reinstate a dividend policy based on whatever or further details will be given during the finals in March’.

I think telling the market of their ‘intentions’ would be a good move as I don’t see any reason (black swans aside) why it wouldn’t manifest. Intent is intent.

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Trek

Predator,

If you have been burnt here look at SEPL. Pay 9% divi quarterly and have enough cash on hand to cover 2x the annual divi! Should get news on Exxon divestment after elections in Feb. If it falls through they get loads of cash back. If it goes through they have huge production increase, also got pipeline on stream now and figs not out yet. They could easily double the divi this year!

That’s the sort of share I’d rec. a reliable divi payer with v good capital upside potential so you can sleep easy! Or LGEN at current sp. Zzzzz!

For pure growth where the market is catching up YU is still rerating or if you want a low risk multi bagger if there is any such a thing TXP. Huge newsflow ahead and lots of price inflexions. Also just topped up the coffers to finance an accelerated expo plan. Future drilling will be from income. They’re next wells a;ready have proven HC’s! It’s the flow rates that will matter. Hence lower risk for E&P.

There are many good stocks out there GCAT is the only one I have that hasn’t risen significantly recently! Thankfully I crystallised losses earlier and just have a ‘marker’ here now.

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Trek

Could be 4m mcap tomorrow. That takes off the 3m that we were told we had and now we don’t!

4m will likely see buyers. Claw its way to 5m. Then for the brave on news this could rocket but we just don’t know what to believe anymore!

I am serious when I say they should sell it. They can’t drive it so hand it over to someone that can!

You never know you might get 15m in a firesale. That’s better than the other options!

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Trek