RE: 15-20p this week12 May 2025 11:49
I’m a bit more inclined to scotty’s 09:35 view, rather than SB’s 09:41 re s/p on ‘war ending’ (- though frankly never that interested in s/term share price prediction anyway, and in a highly manipulated, sentiment-based AIM like this, afflicted by very persistent ramping crews, short-term movements are often very rigged.)
imv it’s often worth remembering the adage, buy on rumour, sell on news … there’s already been a *lot* of pumping and hype built into the share price here, over many weeks, linked with every tiny dribble of news about possible ukraine/ russia talks, ceasefire, etc etc … EUA share price already substantially being buoyed up, imv, by a much touted story that the war will end soon, much is baked in.
… but, in terms of actual underlying value, and what will happen to EUA’s business and ‘assets’ when putin’s war eventually grinds into some less kinetic phase, i don’t see why people would be more optimistic about how profitably EUA will be able to mine, or about real buyers leaping forward to make chunky offers.
1. they totally failed to sell any assets *before* the war, despite better metal supercycle phase and years of trying, including a lengthy but abortive FSP.
2. metals pricing now less favourable, and licence lengths dwindling.
3. whenever they have tried to mine, they lose money.
4. a cessation (of whatever kind) in ukraine won’t
(A) increase the amount of metals EUA actually has
(B) decrease the costs of extracting and processing those metals
(C) increase how much people want to pay for such metals.
… meanwhile, chillax all, see you in a while, i’m about to get busy with some professional tasks, good luck to all honest and polite folks …