"DYOR"13 Mar 2020 23:08
Hi All
So I have seen those letters oft-repeated. I`m guessing they stand for "do your own research"? Never truer a word uttereth!
I was reading IC the other day. (Bear in mind this is a FT-owed publication. So the journalists ought to be top-drawer.) Anyway, Simon Thompson presents his bargains for 2020 a la Ben Graham-style. So top of the pile is CIP Merchant Capital (47.5p) They hold various equities amongst which is Coro Energy whom CIP hold a 19.1% stake. ST writes:
"Admittedly, some of the holdings in the portfolio haven’t performed well, including its largest investment, Aim-traded Coro Energy (CORO), a southeast Asian upstream oil and gas company. CIP invested £6m in purchasing 150.2m shares (19 per cent of the equity) in a placing in April 2018 and a further £3m in a €22.5m eurobond issued by Coro in April 2019. I reckon these two investments have a combined value of £5.6m, although the company was also issued with call warrants on 85.2m Coro shares which have an exercise price of 4p and expire in April 2022".
Hmmm...turns out that equates to an 81% loss of £4.8m!
Undeterred, ST ploughs on:
"The region possesses some of the world's fastest developing economies where demand for gas currently significantly outstrips supply and is supportive of commensurate growth in energy demand. Coro’s growth strategy is being targeted on countries such as Indonesia, Malaysia and Vietnam where there is significant 'yet to find' hydrocarbon resources as well as numerous fallow discoveries for commercialisation and development. "
Now, reading that you might presume that this is ST`s view. You`d be wrong. These words are extracted virtually word-for-word from Coro`s published int. results. I suggest that is a trifle misleading.
Worse than that however, in a previous IC article expressing a view about a UK listing with a Malaysian sub in the air ventilation industry. The article talked-up the fact that the Malaysian Govt were introducing new laws which would positive benefit said-sub in a big way. This was expressed to be a fact. Unfortunately, in a later trading update, the UK entity were forced to admit that the law they were expecting to be passed...well, it wasn't. It never reached the statute books. The effect was a subsequent profit warning on the basis the Malaysian sub would need to re-think its R&D (and no doubt re-tool its line as well).
Again, ST had just "cut n pasted". He hadn't checked to establish and validate that the law he referred to had actually been passed. Had he done so, he might have qualified his "buy" recommendation (or even withdrawn it).
This doesn`t have much to do with PMO granted.
It does have a lot to do with "DYOR". As they say, take nobody's word for it!
Like many others here I too hold PMO and am hopeful the bad news is now all baked in to this sp.
GLA.