RE: Please Help1 Nov 2022 18:46
I suspect the combination of high inflation and the new Tory leaderships likely policies are weighing heavily on this share.
The cuts in public spending will obviously impact infrastructure spending adversely, and thus all major construction companies order books going forward for a few years.
The high levels of inflation will hit margins over the current trading period and out into the near future, as tenders submitted and won 10 months and more ago, will have been secured with normal levels of inflation added to tender rates.
I work in the construction sector, for a sub contractor engaged by the likes of Costain to carry out subcontract works. We do not, as a rule, tender too far out into the future, and thus the main contractor most often carries the risk in any inflationary price hikes. (For example in the industry I work in, road surfacing, prices have increase circa 50% (fifty) since the beginning of the year as a result of bitumen/oil price increases following Putins invasion) I know all all main contractors are currently suffering as a result.
Historically thats always been the position, and I doubt the main contractors in general will have been successful in shifting this risk to the sub contractors, or the Client.
That said, the share price still looks relatively cheap, but the uncertainty from the two factors above, will weigh on the whole construction sector I feel. GLA