RE: RE: Climate Change25 Jul 2023 18:49
"So Ovets you agree with me No FID , NO OM monies next year?"
There is no reason to conflate these issues.
Assuming that the SL project continues as it is, FID will definitely happen in 2024 and possibly even before the end of 2023, although that's being optimistic.
There is currently no evidence that Navitas might change their mind and Israel has even more reason than most to want this to go ahead. They couldn't give a flying fig about climate change, by comparison with their long-term energy needs.
As for OM money, that's a totally different and unrelated matter, so should not be used to confuse people, except that RKH might decide to sell part, or all of the award.
I can see this saga going on for some time, but with every step in the right direction (e.g. lifting of the enforcement stay), the award becomes increasingly attractive to potential buyers, with a corresponding reduction in the sale discount. RKH might prefer to sell the award in order to save having to raise funds. I'm pretty sure Sam would prefer to receive the full award and Harbour may have something to say about it being sold at a discount.
So I think your black & white view is unduly pessimistic and like everything in this World, shades of grey are more realistic.
I'd add one more thing: Putin's invasion of Ukraine came as a real surprise to most observers and certainly increased the chances for SL.
Who's to say that something else might happen, which will affect the outcome of all this, either positively, or negatively.
To make statements like "So Ovets you agree with me No FID , NO OM monies next year?" in this crazy World is in itself crazy.