RE: Another dip?21 May 2026 19:04
Clearly there's a lot of risk involved with any project like this, but I think there's a bit too much 'glass half empty' going on here.
I bought my first RKH shares in 2006 and have ridden the up and downs, got out completely for a while, then back in again and very glad I did.
I respect the caution expressed by Marunam & Mirasol, but I think you're overdoing it, especially as things are now.
This isn't a typical British project, managed like HS2, without clearly stated objectives and milestones, where with spiralling costs, mediocre management reacts to issues (probably accompanied by 'Oh God, what are we going to do now?') by cutting the scope, so that it ends up a mere shadow of the original concept.
Trump's crazy war is really rocking the boat, but instead of panicking about the FPSO refit on the wrong side of the Strait of Hormuz, and perhaps just sitting and hoping things will be resolved in time for it to be done in Dubai, Navitas has successfully reorganised it. That must have taken quite some doing in such a short time, to keep the project on schedule. Of course that will cost more, but both Navitas and RKH have the additional funds without having to return to shareholders. After the OO, I can remember posters here questioning the wisdom of RKH raising additional funds, when full funding for SL to 1st oil had already been achieved. Well, now you know why it was wise and not foolish.
This is a tightly run project, where nothing is left to chance, just like when Sam paid quite a high premium to insure against an annulment of the OM claim. I remember posters here moaning about that and the waste of money. Just as now, RKH management took action in anticipation of problems and they were 100% right and the project carries on with minimum disruption.
As for waxy oil, the reservoir model and the FPSO refit, what's the problem? All are understood by a proactive and an experienced management team. Most refineries in the Americas, especially in the US prefer heavy waxy crude, so what/s the problem there? Why raise it as a potential issue?
Why wouldn't the drilling rig perform to specification?
I can see that some might try and talk-down the sp, to buy a few more before things go mad (I'd buy more, just as I did today, when the sp fell), but please don't post nonsense about a project that's only going one way.