RE: Price drop18 Jun 2026 12:13
About the sp fall, some are saying, who would commit their money to sit waiting for 2 years without any prospect of income (dividends), possible further funding calls (e.g. for the 2nd FPSO) and other possible events.
So why would anyone hold RKH shares at the moment?
If it were simply some oil field that might start production in 2 years I would agree.
But in this case we have a potentially brand new oil & gas region about to open-up, starting with SL, with a lot more to follow.
With a very benign and secure jurisdiction with particularly low Royalty rates, in a relatively quiet part of the World. Yes, I have heard of Argentina and their continued claims, but Galtieri's mob only managed to get onto the FI because the UK had virtually forgotten about and abandoned the place. Milei has no intention of reviving that.
The F Islanders know they don't have a secure future without oil revenue.
Soon after the SL project got the go-ahead last year, Trump put the cat amongst the World oil supply pigeons with his ME war. This reminded everyone that having such a large percentage of World oil supplies passing through the Hormuz pinch point might not be such a great idea for stability.
In addition to that, both sides started smashing-up their oil & gas production and processing facilities, which will take some time to restore to 'Normal'.
So the SL project isn't just any old oil field, but the start of something potentially enormous, just at the time when the World needs alternative, safe supplies, particularly of heavy, low sulfur crude.
I regard the RKH shares as a coiled spring, which could be triggered well before SL 1st oil by a number of things, not least a take over.
And that's why I've got a lot of RKH shares (all in tax-free ISAs) and I buy more on the sp drops (as I did yesterday), just waiting for that coiled spring to be triggered.