RE: Navitas up 2%+ RKH down 5%16 Oct 2025 22:33
Anyone throwing a lot of money into RKH shares would be wise to take notice of all aspects, including what Happy is posting (even if you don't like it), so I have been pondering before committing any more.
Yesterday the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) published their 2023/24 stats for climate change and particularly carbon emissions. The outlook is grim and some believe we have already entered a period of irreversible and eventual runaway global temperature rise.
Whatever the eventual outcome, one can perhaps understand why Labour is obsessed by a renewables policy, which is resulting in the emasculation of our oil/gas sector, particularly the North Sea and activities centred around Aberdeen. Trouble is, while that seriously affects our economy, others elsewhere will continue to profit from producing oil/gas.
Our very well established North Sea oil industry, at all levels, must be looking in dismay, as their prospects decline before them.
But there's a brand new, untapped oil/gas region in the South Atlantic, ready to start virtually immediately if only someone would give the go-ahead. With WMO warnings and limited time to extract that much oil & gas, the sooner to start the better, surely? It doesn't matter what today's oil price is, it's what it will be when it's produced that matters. Most forecasts indicate it will be higher than now. Some suggest MUCH higher than now, but not lower, as World demand continues for longer than anticipated.
Oil industry companies and staff, who were seeing their livelihoods in jeopardy, can see a monster opportunity opening up, just as they were starting to consider looking for something else to do.
Happy says that the risk of SL FID not happening is increasing with Navitas delaying the SL project, for the oil price to recover. But surely Navitas should be getting started as soon as possible to be ready for when the oil price has recovered, taking advantage of what must be a growing army of companies and North Sea experienced staff who are already starting to look for new jobs/careers? Navitas can have the pick of the best and at affordable cost.
It was Marlon who posted here that the preferred way of working should be parallel workstreams to open up the region as quickly as possible.
My conclusion is that the Navitas just happens to be exceptionally fortunate to be approaching SL FID at a particularly opportune moment to develop the FI oil/gas region with all the necessary expertise readily available at just the right time.
As for Happy, my conclusion is that either his motives are devious, or he isn't looking at the bigger picture of what could be about to happen. I believe he knows very well and wants you to sell some of your shares to him and his mates, on the cheap.
The FI election wasn't postponed for Navitas to delay everything for everyone involved, while they tried to make up their minds about something they have been working on for years.