RE: Pressure17 Jun 2023 22:34
West, for inflation to come down interest rates have to go up. And for the UK to properly break inflation in the next 18 months, it will need a recession. You can thank Boris and his party of f@cktards convincing the average h@lfwit that Brexit would be good for the country and economy for this little quirk of UK inflation resilience. So there will be no soft landing in the UK. And because Asos is listed here, and the UK is its biggest market, there will be a significant decrease in revenue over the next 18 months. It's why mgt, I'm assuming, have focused on margin above anything else. So there's going to be good news maybe (margin) and bad news definitely (revenue). The business in under-valued in the event of the turnaround being successful. But the only way we get to double digits is via a t/o. And I imagine the new owners - Anders / Camelot and maybe someone else - will then ready a listing in the US where they will make back their money, clear debt, and retain a decent ownership in the company. They will then invest for growth in the US market and try to become the amazon of fashion. It's a no lose situation for them. But imo we won't get to £10 without a t/o. The fundamentals simply won't stack up. The maximum we'll ever reach is £12 and that will be a t/o. I personally don't see it being that high, but I also don't care because I'll be gone by the time we reach £6. I'm hoping a t/o will stop me from selling too soon, but a 50-75% gain will do me nicely. AIMHO GLA