RE: Market up Asos down3 Jul 2023 16:50
Jacob, I think you'll find they didn't inform the market of the approach because mgt are in the pocket of Anders who clearly has his own agenda. The fact they allowed Anders and Camelot to 'vote it down' says a number of things. One is they're close with their two largest shareholders. Close enough to stop a re-rate from occurring on the back of an approach, which in turn could have meant they could raise capital at a far higher amount. And close enough for the collapse in the sp (and debt facility terms) to go with Anders and Camelot for additional capital, and an arms length relationship (but not a long arm) to a new debt provider. It appears they also said no to MA during this time on alternative equity terms. The question is whether Anders and Camelot have an interest in taking this private. They knocked back quite an offer, and since then we have another 20% shares (many taken up by them) plus worse debt terms, and an mcap £250m less than when the approach was made and over £500m less than the approach itself. If they're not intending to take this private then any offer in future should be announced to the market. And if Anders and Camelot reject the offer again then mgt, if they have shareholder interests in mind, should make public the offer then raise a significant amount of money near the new offer price from the would be acquirers. Pritn another 25% of shares, clear most debt, get a new major shareholder on board, and then allow Anders, Camelot, MA and the new big boy on the block to fight it out. Anders and Camelot would no doubt try to replace the board. But if the new shareholder has 25% it will be very hard for them to do so if all PIs vote in their favor. Throw MA some shares at the same time to ensure he retains his 10% and votes in favor of the bod. On the surface it looks as though Anders and Camelot have f@cked a huge amount of value here for their own gains. I'm fine with this providing they make a £1bn offer themselves. If not then it's borderline criminal the market wasn't made aware of the recent approach given what happened afterwards.