POLY Undervalued30 Jan 2022 12:48
Sentiment, as always has taken over here. It seems that investors never learn. The time to buy is when prices are LOW. Like now! But no, you will see numerous posts and comments espousing caution, keep money in cash, it will go lower, Russia will invade and the bottom will collapse etc etc etc. So most will miss out on this opportunity.
My view on Russia FWIW. Putin will NOT invade Ukraine. He doesn’t want to invade Ukraine. This is a muscle flexing show of strength. But the Yankee boys want it. Boy do they want it! Putin does want to influence Ukraine and keep it under their sphere of influence. But there is a whole host of ways he can do it which doesn’t involve Tanks rolling into Kyiv. He has already got a victory of sorts by grabbing the Wests attention and seeing Russias ‘power’. We should also bear in mind that a war in Ukraine is unlikely to be popular in his own country apart from the minority of zealots. Lots of people in Russia have friends and/or family in Ukraine.
The falling SP is linked to two factors here. I would say roughly 67% Ukraine and 33% Gold price.
No invasion and a jaw jaw outcome plus a recovering gold price when FED does not deliver on its own jaw jaw on interest rates means this is going to recover substantially over next few months or even weeks.
Finally, POLY is a very well run company and sells much of the gold it produces to its own domestic market and China. So I can’t see sanctions having much effect (which would only be allied if they invade anyway) Oh and don’t forget the impressive dividend yield here.
So I’m pretty bullish here. Even if no one else is!