RE: Squif, Pele, Gkb47, Chilting and Londoner 714 Oct 2020 01:11
I totally agree that it is demand that is the main factor that is keeping the oil price at current levels.
We have seen what happens when supply exceeded demand this year, with SA flooding the market last March - now OPEC+ are simply balancing supply to demand and apart from the short term wobbles, the oil price is flat.
OPEC+ is reigning back supply - they can clearly increase production anytime.
Also China probably has a vast amount of oil in storage, therefore, we cannot rely on a sudden increase in demand from them to suddenly create a shortage.
I am yet to see a convincing argument as to why this new demand led status quo will change as we go into 2021.
I think that the oil price will simply continue to flatline until the worlds economy recovers from covid - maybe 2022.