RE: New stuff with B Sheffield and Chuck Yates19 Oct 2024 00:56
There are a handful of investors who comment on this site who have much larger holdings than the rest. They are much more sophisticated, tend to speak regularly to analysts in the US, Australia and the UK, can read accounts & cash flow statements and like any other similar situation, have greater access to Management when they want to clarify a particular issue.
Unlike many on this board these investors are not overweight in any one stock or one sector, and are fully conversant with the different roles of an operator and a passive investor. What's more the teams that often support them fully understand the different takeover rules in the different markets and how such rules are affected if a bloc of shares, in this case the Russian shares, are effectively frozen.
We have an additional problem in this particular play because so many don't understand or cannot comprehend how one company can be challenged so much by the failings of another {e.g. TBN}.
Too often small investors like most of you, don't have the means to find out what's the position and they ought therefore be at least more appreciative that the CEO and other directors in this instance put themselves up to answer so many of our questions. If you want to know more about the contributions that our Chairman and Tom Layman are increasingly making alongside POQ in the US., you will surely have another chance at the end of this month.
No one can buy this company {unlike TBN} unless they can gain the approval of the Company's board of Directors. As and when the board does receive an acceptable offer and the Board supports it, the bidder under a deed of arrangement will need to gain over 50% support of all the shares that vote yes or no to accept.
The checkerboard agreement between the current operator {TBN} and Bryan Sheffield et al is important to understand and once it gets rolled out will significantly improve Falcon's position. The results of TBN's US listing if nothing else, has cast a negative vote against TBN's operator status. Its inability to husband cash and all its mistakes in the last 2 years, which have not only delayed this year's programme but also effectively highlighted their increasing challenge to finance next year's 2,3 or 4 well' drilling programme and any plans they have for the rest of the decade. As and when therefore TBN has to sell down its interests in the 3 blocs in the Beetaloo outside the envelope where it's drilling, not only will the NT and Federal governments down under jump for joy, so will Falcon as their prospects will have been significantly improved.
A lot however still hangs on the results of the 2 very expensive wells that will continue to be drilled over the rest of the year and early next. Given the increasing roles of H&P and Liberty, progress is not quick but fingers crossed their expertise will help deliver at least similar results to what was achieved earlier in the SS1.
BS is the playmaker here. I say watch this space..