Member Info for B777CAPTAIN

My view is that the shorts don't know anything special. They take the following 3 events as the reason that Wizz may fail. But it's a lack of knowledge of the European Airline Industry:

1. Michael O'Leary's statements regarding Wizz.

2. The failure of Spirit Airlines.

3. The failure of Norwegian Airlines.

Some will also consider another:

4. The failure of Play and Braathens.

I won't go into each one individually now, but as they relate to Wizz all of the above have to be considered nonsense in terms of being an indication of what could happen to Wizz.

Ok. So throw at chat what WalkieTalkie said:

"Got it — 10% of the GRG out on loan materially changes the “for fun” maths.

Keeping this non-serious but internally consistent, here’s the revised answer:

🎯 Updated fun price: £17.00 per share (≈ 1,700p)"

Frank

If you see a lot of shorts after a great rise in a stock that you know has an amazing future, just go to chat, and ask (for fun) where would the share price go if all of those shorts just closed. This is what AI told me:

"Alright — purely for fun, one clean number 😊

£15.00 per share (≈ 1,500p)

How I’d justify that “average” gut-math:

Recent trading level ≈ £12

A hypothetical full short-cover event (with no new bad news) might add roughly +20–30%

Midpoint of that range ≈ +25%

£12 × 1.25 ≈ £15

So my fun, average answer is £15, with the mental model being:

Below £14 = weak squeeze / lots of sellers

£15–£16 = orderly but aggressive covering

£18+ = disorderly squeeze (unlikely without news)

If you want, next time we can do the “what if liquidity dries up completely” fantasy number too 😄"

I presume that we'll know next week who has been buying the bulk of the shares. 15%+ in 2 days from the bottom takes a lot of buying.

Craigo- My view is that there is no issue with timing. Selling Wizz at the moment and for the foreseeable future is not something a sensible investor would do.

This year Wizz will make roughly £0, but in 8 years time it's very likely that 400+ Aircraft will be making well over £1B per year.

This is a buy and hold. Only sell if you need the cash.

Stille,

I don't feel like I've made a bad call. I got in a bit early. I understand the company, the business and the problem. I can see that this investment will achieve the right result.

If Ryanair stock can go up 62% so far this year then Wizz will easily double next year.

I think that Wizz has a better long term than Ryanair and look at Ryanairs market Cap, $35B.

I'm totally happy.

Well Stille and Craigo, I wish my pension position was the same as yours. Mine is £17.80.

Not worried though. I think that Wizz can easily make it's 2021 highs within 5 years.

What is going on today?

Either they like something regarding the peace negotiations??

Or

Yield and traffic numbers are looking good??

Robbren

My Personal view is that in 12 months time the share price will be around £25. I thought £30 before but I think that costs associated with starting the Israel base will slow the coming of the £30 a little.

Robbren- I don't care what Johnbri says. Nothing in the Airline industry is short term, ever.

If you're betting on a recovery play, such as Wizz, you need to have a long timeline planned.

Pogo rightly said that a lot of people have disappeared from this forum. It's for two reasons, they weren't ready for the volatility and secondly they weren't ready for the length of time that this will take to play out.

Pogo- I preferred being called a Shaman.

The Analysts just sway with the wind.

There are only 2 analysts worth listening to in my opinion. Lobbenberg and Irving. Irving will be right in the end.

Lobbenberg over the last 3 years has been very accurate. His price target is currently £15.

Pogo- You're like a dog with a bone.

Lucas- Thanks a lot for the update.

Looks like you're moving at slightly faster than 1 per month at the moment.

Https://youtu.be/TieyXKQFwC8?si=abcID4wkxv-kz6eD

I hope this link works. Mentour Pilot. I think that he's the best aviation blogger in Europe right now.

AK57

https://www.corriere.it/economia/trasporti/aerei/25_dicembre_07/wizz-air-ceo-back-to-growth-we-ll-be-the-second-airline-in-italy-and-we-are-ready-for-a-price-war-with-ryanair-013634ff-8578-4659-a99d-4824ffe7fxlk_amp.shtml#amp_ct=1765372067593&_tf=From%20%251%24s&aoh=17653720644029&referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com

I'm guessing that you guys saw this article because it's a few days old. Varadi says that next summer he expects them to be down to 25 grounded Aircraft.

Madmat

Share buyback has been discussed before. Wizz Air is a holdings company incorporated in Jersey. Chatgpt it. I think that it's not legal.

Thanks D9

You put into words exactly my thoughts.

Pogo- just stick to calling me a Shaman. That's short and sweet. 👍

I went totally against what I said and bought some more. I couldn't resist. I'm thinking that this maybe the last opportunity below £11.

I'm very optimistic going into January and the Q3 earnings report that we'll finally see the upward trend start and we'll leave these low prices permanently behind.