RE: RBD a good week ahead6 May 2019 22:37
boblondon,
"fundamentals have never been better only a matter of time before the shareprice follows fundamentals"
Yes, with a 'normal' O&G company I'd agree with you 100%. But Reabold obviously isn't a 'normal' AIM-listed O&G.
Please don't get me wrong. This post is not supposed nor intended to be 'derampy' or negative, but the uttler lack of SP movement on the back of successive 'good news' RNS's has made me scratch my head a lot about this thing I've invested in. Something's not adding up.
Now I'd like to say that I don't for an instant believe this to be some typical AIM O&G of which we see too many, doing placement after placement to finance one duster after another, but meanwhile keeping the BoD living high on the hog, thanks to the dumb suckers who 'invest' in such ventures. Plus I consider myself to be a fairly good judge of character and body-language, and don't think the joint CEO's are a pair of slick-talking ripoff merchants.
But something niggles me, and it's related to 'monetization'. And let's face it, I've only invested in this for the money, not out of some philanthropic desire to see the world's oil and gas supply prematurely run dry.
I can't help but notice that the company is still considered by people like Halifax as an IIP, so one cannot buy through that major house. And this is still an unresolved issue, and has been for quite a while, now.
The thing being, the Halifax is maybe right. S&S are investing in worthwhile projects, I won't deny that. But where do the returns reside? Cashflow? OK, there will be some incoming cashflow from California one assumes, after breakeven has been reached, but it's no great fortunes. A cigar, but not a big one.
Other than that cashflow, RBD has invested in equity terms in otherwise privately-funded companies which aren't publicly listed. So this is where my current doubts appear. Let's say W.Newton comes in bigtime. If (in an imaginary situation) Rathlin were AIM-listed, we would expect our RBD SP to rise proportionally. But Rathlin isn't AIM (or any other stockmarket)-listed. And nor is Corallian, nor Danube, nor the people in the States.
So (if I'm correct), I'm invested in a company which has an equity share in another company which doesn't get publicly traded, and thus has no quoted shareprice. And OK, maybe RBD will obtain positive cashflow, but if that's just re-invested to enlarge the assets, when does the investor see some actual cash benefit?
I'd like to read some other investors' views on this here, and not just smart one-liners from Persimmon and his band of trolls. Because for me, if W.Newton comes in and the SP doesn't move, I'll be out of here, even if it's at a small loss. Because there's no shame in selling a non-performing share at a loss, and this share hasn't 'performed' for a very long time, now. I can always find other things to do with my money.