Member Info for adoubleuk

Reverandy,

"Aduk, in response to your OT question earlier, yes, day 1 of 5 will be walking from the Lagos de Covadonga to the refugio de Ario."

When there, and if interested, you might ask the guardian of the refuge where the entrance to Xitu is: it's not far away. A bit of a scramble down the shakehole to the actual entrance, but at the bottom there should be a stainless steel plaque inscribed with the following:

POZU DEL XITU -1139 METERS
KEITH POTTER WHO DIED DIVING
IN WOOKEY HOLE 14.11.81 THE
FIRST MAN TO BOTTOM THIS CAVE

It'd be nice to know if it's still there: a bit of Britain in a foreign land, and I'll pass the word around if it is. Not many (if any) cavers use that entrance any more if doing a 'tourist trip', because its somewhat arduous going... !

Sorry 'bout off-topic, everyone, but the wonders of the internet, etc.....

Missdosh,

"It appears Soolsker is no longer a member of LSE."

However I suspect he peeks his head over the berm now and then under a new pseudonym...

the street,

"must be close thought we might see an RNS 1 well at a time"

You don't even bother reading corporate presentations or watching interviews to check what likely RNS-able events are upcoming?

A sad case.

Reverandy,

" I'll be out of internet range (walking in the Picos de Europa if you must know) for a week"

Out of pure off-topic nosey curiousity, where? Anywhere Los Lagos? Go up from there to the refuge at Ario and you're within spitting didtance of 'Pozu del Xitu', the first cave deeper than 1000 metres to be discovered and bottomed by a British team (Oxford University Cave Club, 1979).

Just in case you're even vaguely interested, that is!

" RNLI is the charity either way."

A good and worthwhile cause (to which I am a frequent contributor for many years), and appropriate. Let's just hope nobody concerned with HUR ever has need of their services!

MtS,

" The risk of £2. a litre petrol is very real."

Thanks to President Macaroon, diesel isn't too far off that already this side of the channel. Well, £1.30 or so. And I've got 1000 miles to drive next week. Hope they can postpone the war until just before the FoiL announcement...

SotB,

"Have to disagree with this statement because there are two pumps in each well. Prior to AM hook up they were all stopped ."

Lol.

fandg2,

" I guess we'll never know unless anyone has a copy of either the environmental impact statement or the emissions to atmosphere statement ."

I have these in the form of a hefty ringbound document (300+ pages) which the company kindly sent to me shortly after publication. I've looked at it, particularly the emissions section, but can't find any reference to a 'cold' (ie unflared) shutdown / blowdown. Doesn't mean there's nothing in there about it: as I say, it's a weighty tome!

This is 'production' stuff, about which I'm no expert, but I've worked on platforms comprising both production and ongoing drilling, which naturally interacted with each other. From memory, 'testing' of emergency full production shutdown was only performed as part of (and before) planned maintenence requiring production shutdown anyway. Or a couple of occasions when there actually was an emergency.

So I suspect you might be right regarding not doing shutdown simply for verification at the early stages of production. Shutdowns can have negative consequences on both the production train and the wells. Never any problem shutting down, but sometimes some elements were hard to start up again afterwards. ESP's in particular don't like being suddenly stopped, and of course both Lancaster wells incorporate ESP's.

Biffa,

I must correct you. Maybe you were just typing too fast!

"A horizontal pilot well has already been drilled on Lincoln"

No, the Lincoln well was not horizonal.

However, my understanding is that Warwick Deep is going for the horizontal immediately, without a subvertical pilot hole beforehand (as was the case on Lanc 7 / 7z). To me this indicates great confidence, including company confidence that Lincoln and Warwick are one and the same, with no pressure-boundary fault between them.

Cpel,

"Also once US markets opens could push it higher"

It will be interesting to see. Opening bell for NY is in 40 minutes' time.

Cebo,

Just a minor correction, mate, or rather an opinion from me.

" This is hugely positive, the wells are flowing and the flare is lighting up the sky,"

From past information and also today's RNS, I believe that for now (and the last couple of days) all we're seeing is one well on line. After an unspecified flow period, this will be shut in and the second well brought in. I'd suspect the shutin/startup will overlap so their is no interuption to the workings of the production train. After another flow period, there will be a shutdown for pigging.

In normal future production a complete shutdown won't be required for pigging as it can be done one well at a time. But in this instance it would make sense, to observe shutin pressure build-up of both wells, if it is the same for both or different, etc.. Valuable data.

After that, bring both wells in togeter, obtain stabilised rate, and then announce FoiL 72 hours later.

OK, Albi1 and I (and a few others) have been going off-topic with rock an' roll and whatever.

But LSE (bless their cotton socks and dysfunctional server) let us get away with such stuff at the weekend.

Which isn't quite over, yet.

Regarding the SP, I suddenly thought of this.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=efFo-Clq844

Shove it on your earphones or car stereos tomorrow!

Albi1,

"Was catching up on some music notes from 3 months ago as promised I'd listen to GD's original Scarlett Begonia's as recommended by Aduk. But in the end (rather sacrilegiously) prefer the cover by Sublime."

Youtube'd it, prepared for the worst, never heard of the band, etc.. First 30 seconds, not impressed. Then bam! it clicked. Great stuff, and I'm sure Jerry Garcia would approve 100%.

Now for something rather different to improve your GD education: the band in full 'Wild West' mode.

'Cos I think 'wild west' is what we'll see the SP doing for a few weeks.

Winner takes all.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XQy-OpNqDHc

Wellwell,

"I’m looking forward to tomorrow’s RNS. I hope it says something more than “hydrocarbons entered the system”.

OK, a question.

What would YOU like the RNS to say (if there is one)?

The clock's ticking...

MCB55,

"However they will be testing max (ish) flows per well for v short periods and then shut in to monitor pressure build up, etc,, like a DST over the coming 3 weeks. IMHO"

Just technical quibbling between professionals... !!!

I very much doubt that they'll be going to anywhere 'max' on either, yet.

I saw last night's photos, and without wishing to seem smartass, it was a small flare which immediately made me think of accumulated gas during getting cleanup. A 'whispish. thing. But good. Honest, don't know why I thought that, just intuition from experience, I guess.

But I've since seen another photo (no link) from daybreak this morning, and that's different...

I think the obvious would be opening up onto natural flow first ('cos we know the wells will do that), then going to one ESP, then switching to the other, running for a day, then shutting down, and doing the same with the second well. The probably doing a pig-run (partially to test all that system and get rid of any residual 'cleanup' crud), then re-starting, slowly on both, then getting to 'stable production flow'.

Accumulating enormous data at the same time.

Which take three or four weeks, as already advised.

I don't see anything being 'pushed to max' yet.

(But having said that, 15,000 plus a bit bbl/day DST was 'surface constrained', and the FPSO can take more than that! So who knows?)

Oh to be a fly on the wall...

Albi1,

"which song in particular?"

Yeah. First time I've used this newfangled 'spotify' thing.

Song? 'The Other Fu**in' Crew' of course!

So, so true...

stix40

" the next 18 months going to be exciting indeed!"

Won't argue with that. But I reckon it's the next 8 weeks which are going to be the most exciting. Operational news of the EPS and Warxick Deep, possibly a TR from CA so we see which way that wind is blowing. The AGM. A CMD, (and I strongly suspect that will include an update about moving out of AIM.)

On a 'classic curve' the SP could flatten out post-Foil, especially as some people want to wait six months thence, supposedly.

But I personally don't believe that.

PS I leave it to someone who once posted here as 'soolsker' to adjudicate the hand...

Missdosh,

" I think i've hit the Royal Flush!"

Call !

'Cos I reckon your ten is offsuit, but nice try.

The following used to be on youtube, had disappeared, so (for the first time) signed into spotify to find it and call your bluff.

https://open.spotify.com/album/1ipkIZuOyBf3XcH0Acjodr

Wulbert,

And I'll reraise your Bob Dylan with a Jimmy Buffett.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xg-zwba7l5w&list=RDXg-zwba7l5w&start_radio=1

('Trying to Reason with Hurricane Season')

Listen closely to the words...