IM sure this will provoke a reaction4 Jun 2026 15:12
From some stating the same fan boy crap. T, fortunately they are all on filter now, so im expecting to see a field of green filter banners, maybe some others will appreciate the perspective..i know i have interacted far more than any of the three usual suspects, so beleive i speak from a position of greater knowledge..... (cant wait for the reaction to that one)
Frustrating as hell, but in my six years of holding these shares andinteracting closely with the company, there is one thing I have learned: Pensana is, and tries very hard to be, fully compliant with market-sensitive news requirements.
If there were negative news that required disclosure, they know they would have to release it.
The fact is, we have received no news. Not good news. Not bad news. Just no news.
My own view is that this is for a reason.
However, in the present global context, I see no scenario in which this is not progressing other than as already disclosed in previous RNS.
We are approaching what is not so much a collision as an unintended alignment of policy. The U.S. says it does not want Chinese-controlled critical materials in its defence supply chain. China says it is increasingly unwilling to provide them anyway. The result is that the U.S. risks ending up on the worst side of the deal: legally committed to excluding Chinese supply, strategically committed to building domestic magnet capacity, but still without sufficient non-Chinese raw material to make that capacity meaningful.
This is where MOFCOM Announcements 61 and 62 from China’s Ministry of Commerce meet 10 U.S.C. § 4872 / DFARS 252.225-7052 — the U.S. restriction on the acquisition of certain magnets, tantalum and tungsten.
Add to that the conspicuous consumption of rare earth materials by the U.S. military over the last three months. USA Rare Earth, eVAC and Vulcan are all primed and ready to make magnets. The problem is that they do not have the raw materials — right now, zero, zilch, nada.
Lynas’ material is largely committed to Japan. MP Materials remains extremely limited at the moment. FOB prices ex-China are reportedly in excess of $150/kg for NdPr oxide — if customers can get it at all — while Dy and Tb exports are at historically low levels.
My experience of Paul Atherley and the board is that if there is no news, it is for a reason, and because they consider silence to be the right process for now — in the best interests of Pensana and, therefore, its shareholders.
All one can reasonably take away from this is that it is a pause. If it were anything more than a temporary and reasonably short pause, or if there were any material adverse development, the company would have to, and would disclose it.