Member Info for wyndrum

The reason I included it is to highlight the emotional pull of the expression which is commonplace and can be quite persuasive.

The whole point of TA is that it is mechanical. In theory I don't need to know anything about AVCT. I can just look at the chart and when it breaks up, say, I will buy in. I don't need to know why, its irrelevant.

You do what you want Ceesor obviously, :0) but given its 50/50 as to whether it will go up or down why wouldn't you wait?

I think it always helpful to examine your own rationale for buying when you do. You have selected AVCT as a stock you want to buy, fine, but why right now, at this price? Is this really the bottom? if so what are you basing that on? If you are wrong and it fell dramatically would you be ok with that?

These are all rhetorical questions and nothing aimed at you personally at all, but we think by reading all the reports and all the rest of it we are making rational decisions, but the emotional pull of FEAR and GREED is immense and I have found it helpful over the years to try and recognise when the red mist is coming down to take a breath and make sure my decisions have as much basis in logic as possible and are not going to cause me financial harm if they turn out to be wrong.

Anyway good luck

Cessor, based on that time frame the tight trading range of 29.50p- 32.5p means traders are witing to see which way it brakes (up or down) beyond those narrow parameters.

The longer and narrower the range the more chance of the move being significant in scale of break out.

So right now most are sitting on their hands not risking the trade yet.

(It may well be the catalyst will be an RNS, but if the company gets a bit leaky then you might see the move just prior to news.)

And as we have debated here. some think the news will generate a rise while I guess the minority, are more inclined to expect a fall.

Using a longer timeframe the down trend is still very much in place and will need rises above 42p to perhaps really confirm the bottom was 27p.

Traders don't gamble, they wait for the "decisive" outcome to minimise risk.

Ice for instance thinks you have to be in in case an RNS drops, however I would rather buy in higher up with little or no risk (because there is zero risk in being out), and further if the co. was suspended while it was bought out and I never got the chance to get in, then.. so what? there are 100's of other stocks to trade. Its never "all or nothing". (And that mindset of "all or nothing" is very much typical of a "gambler")

Thats very hard to say Opulentia (great name by the way!)

Its a complex company to start with and if there has been wide spread mis accounting then it is going to take time to investigate it through to make sure it all gets unravelled. Part of the process will be how quickly the Wood group respond to requests for more info from the auditors too.

It will depend also on how much resource the auditors are throwing at it but I think the final bill to The Wood Group is going to be pretty steep!

My guess is it will probably run on for a few months yet.

Sorry pedro I saw the post from yesterday and it looked on my screen if it was more recent.

(Could be my age,, could be this platform, either way, apologies)

Well Van if CPX end up having a greater stock value than Nvidia, I think that will be quite the happy ending.....

(Talking of numbers that I can't comprehend, I read that if the US saved a Million Dollars a day it would take a 100,000 years to pay off their national debt....)

I am Van,

You get a hot shot coming on board (George Clooney or whatever his name is), who has a knack for seeing potential, then you get Shooter-from-the-Hip, (some Swiss outfit) who take a stake in this no-nothing company, then, ha!, get loads of multi national distribution deals done, (why would you do that unless you had a product that globally was likely to be in high demand?)

So now they have global reach, spent a load a money developing production lines capable of supplying their product in bulk (Why would you do that unless you were going to supply their product globally in bulk?)

And then out of nowhere they get a design win from an Asian Multi national conglomerate. (If it turns out to be Mr Patels Corner shop newsagent empire I will say it now, I will be disappointed.)

Now I find out they have patents on something called SMT which could be a game changer...

So, why do all the above if they have not got this in the bag already......

Move over Nvidia, CPX are coming to take your crown away....

Its always a drag after stella rises but the RSI HAS to unwind... so the SP HAS to fall.... patience.

From my pov, if its going to 100 bag (from .13) then it unlikely to do it in a dead straight upward line.... :0))

If I recall, it was not the bacon sandwich per se, it was the political spin to make him look like a working class person who typically in the spin doctors view, would be exemplified by eating a bacon sarnie.

The fact that he was unfamiliar with the "product" and therefore did it all wrong, simply showed the deceit of trying to pretend to be one thing while being in fact, something else.

Politics.. and they wonder why we all are so cynical.....

Agenda: "a plan or goal that guides someone's behavior and that is often kept secret"

Well, as I publicly post its hardly secret, so those who accuse me of having an Agenda don't understand the meaning of what they are saying.

Its simply my opinion on an Investment BB, to discuss the pros and cons with what might be and the result on the SP.

Why do you feel that just because I have correctly forecasted the downtrend that somehow that judgement (better than those who keep saying it will go up), I am being dishonest and trying to what? con people?

I have been right for goodness sake.

Thats where your argument falls down don't you think?

If I have been right to date, then what agenda do I have?

I want to get back in at a lower price? I will get back in when I am of the opinion the SP has more chance of rising than falling. Again what is so contentious about that?

I can't influence the SP and neither can you lot, so thats not a "secret" reason, is it.

I just think right now a cash raise is coming and I think it more likely than not that it will end up lowering the SP.

Will I be right or wrong? How the hell do I know, but I explain, openly my reasons for my conclusions. So, no agenda...ok?

Many posters have been here for years posting, (Timster, Hurstbot, Ice, watching Bella, )for instance... great insight they have shown....

But this is the rub of it all. Its nothing to do with how many or how long I have been posting, it is simply you don't agree with my opinions and it sticks in your craw that as it turns out I have been broadly correct in my sceptical and cautious view over that time.

And its not repetition, because you are happy to constantly read bullish posts. its just views you don't like you rail against as opposed to using rational argument.

And why don't you? Because the facts are not on your side. So you and others use insults, say I am paid, I have an agenda, I have multiple accounts, none of which are true and you know that but you have no compunction about lying or misleading other posters with your spurious views simply to try and shut me up.

(How's that working by the way?)

So, it wasnt me then was it pedro?

Don't bother apologising, and more generally an opinion that you don't agree with does not mean there is an "agenda" behind it.

There are too many here who take this BB far too seriously. Its just a place to exchange opinions and views about the future, of which none of us know.

Its not bashing at all, its trying to make people aware that all this talk of a premium placing is pure speculation whereas there is also a chance of dilution and SP erosion, which I have done my best to articulate using factual precedent as a basis for my opinion.

"I'm confident the cln will be sorted. It's just the terms to be finalised;)"

Well right now its free money. How are you going to improve on that?

THE PROBLEM IS NOT CLN. The problem is when the shares come up for sale there are not enough buyers for them so the SP tends to fall.

The problem is the markets lack of interest right up to the present time, on what AVCT have achieved based on the results thus far.

All the interviews, all the appointments, all the poster displays, all the data results, all the contacts and endorsements and FDA accelerated approval status, has left the SP close to all time lows.

If RH through his words to his contacts changes the mood, then fantastic, but that is some ask imo.

"Richard’s appointment is a game changer for the short term outlook.

Wasn't he part of the LFT team with AVCT? How did that work out?

This may all go swimmingly but as I say your trust in all this with all the history and experience you have, I do find genuinely remarkable.

Well i hope so Thorn, different mouth piece, but same words as AS in the past.

Judge me on 6 months.... moving past AVA6k so now its all about another trial that has not even been started and no funding in place for. It just feels very deja vu to me

Code, 10m shares is nearly 3% of the company... I imagine that would push the price up trying to buy that amount in one go.....

"Plenty of partnering interest, it was referred to about a million times in recent PL note so there are enough people now in the data room seeing things way before we do. A deal will come out of the blue for us. This obsession with a massive discount placing is paranoia fuelled by the past few years if AIM PI's being rinsed."

So, it begs the question: Have AVCt ever before mentioned this type of thing, ie vague undefined statements about Partnering interest?

Well, yes they have and nothing EVER came of it.

Your simplistic trust is jaw dropping.

If its obvious to us then its obvious to the market, yet the market even with the first release of P1b data has sat on its hands.

The bit that you don't get, is that what else could AVCT say? they need money, so they have to be bullish and confident.

But as always, its vague, its no definite amount of money or name of company or timeline for these talks to bear fruit. Its just easy airy fairy talk that is impossible to verify if its true or BS.

Will this be different? I don't know but I am not holding my breath.

Thorn, the pressure on P1b is immense now for the SP. We have had the first release. What has it done to the SP?

I don't think there is enough time for P1b data to give the premium many here expect, given the first data release.

I could be wrong obviously, it just seems to me more likely of a SP fall than rise.

Still, we will see.

I have followed this at a distance and was tempted but I never get involved in stocks that are likely to be suspended as it all becomes too risky.

The fact that after the almost bid at 35p the SP fell to 18p. That suggests that the market knew already what was coming in the accounts.

What it only ever confirms is that as PI's we know really very little about the companies we "invest" in.

However when the market turns down a 100% gain (18p to 35p) then I don't know how red, the red flag has to be.

Anyway, fingers crossed it all works out but getting the FCA now involved is not a a good thing.

When have AVCT ever, in its history raised at a premium (after the IPO?)

The full P1a data report is not to be released until end of this year. So what info will the market have? P1b? seems to work on a cancer with no other treatment. Otherwise enrolment is still taking place so I am not sure how "convincing" P1b data will be in terms of turning the heads of the market buyers to this raise.

Also PI's & II's who have joined in with previous raises and have seen their holdings decimated. II's have had the opportunity to make a quick turn at PI's expense previously, so clearly it was a money making exercise and not a "belief" in AVCT as a company in what they were doing.

Again, given the myriad of options available, it is impossible to say what dilution will take place, but II's including Zeus and RH, don't do this for free. They are not misty eyed, lets back this good cause and to hell with the risk, types.

I have been accused of being despicably mercenary because I trade a company trying to cure cancer. What the hell do you think BP, fund managers, II's et al are? Aspiring Mother Theresa's?

AVCT may or may not have something here. What they definitely have not got, is the finance to see it through. They are not in control of their destiny (yet).

RH may well have a plan (I hops so), but it will revolve around him and Zeus making money, the by product will be, all being well, sufficient funds for AVCT to carry on. The last, very last consideration is the PI's

How much experience do you need to have before that sinks in?

Maybe it will all work out fine and PI's will do ok and it will be at a premium, but while that is an option I think it is the most unlikely.