Member Info for wyndrum

"Avacta have already issued a ton of good news which has not been reflected in the share price and won't be until the threat of dilution each quarter is put to bed. That will be sorted and then whooosh, were off as investors once again start looking forward to actual commercial deals landing."

I think that is in part an influence but the major lead weight is the overall funding.

In the great scheme of things the loan is not THAT big a problem. (I do agree if it were resolved without punishing shareholders more than it already does then it would be helpful. But that's not a given. That money needs to be paid back. Currently its free. (well SH's are paying it via dilution), another way of repaying it is taking money away from AVCT that could be used to fund the trial(s)

It may be a license deal(s) is of such value that it could be dealt with and still the SP rises, but as I have tried to explain, its the multitude of options that could be applied to the loan and overall future funding that the market is waiting to see what path is chosen as it will affect the SP.

The only one that has been taken off the table right now is the ND listing. There are still loads of permutations to be guessed as to which one AVCT will choose and the implications thereof.

Pointless? we'll see.

Holding above 32.5p

About to take off, or fall back?

Place your bets

Yes, Thorn I agree, I have a fairly standard vie of what momentum looks like and just hadn't seen it yet with AVCT to agree with the remark that it was building. Right now it feels same old same old. Waiting for funding issues to be resolved, warm words about partners, warm words about the trial, warm words about the future.

I think its close, I just need to see how they will handle the next bout of funding because as we have tried to discuss it will have an effect on the SP.

Once it is out of the way it will give a clearer picture of where AVCT is going (imo)

As usual infantile and crass stupidity from W2 and BV but of course no response to what I found an odd remark (from Ice). As I remarked earlier this week, the small mindedness and childish responses from grown adults is a testament to the pathetic standards that masquerades as debate here.

I honestly don't know if you are genuinely stupid, or you think you are funny, or somehow that's how you engage socially when you don't have an answer to a perfectly legitimate question against somebody else's statement which was written quite factually.

(Oh and buy the way, all the recs that MM got for a baseless forecast to being in the 40's by the weekend, anyone want to comment on that?)

I looked up the definition of gullible

"Gullible means easily deceived or tricked, typically because of being too trusting or naive. It describes someone who is overly willing to believe what others say without sufficient skepticism or critical thinking. "

Stop with the small minded petty remarks and explain to one and all where this momentum resides and what evidence do you have for it?

That was all.

I highlighted areas where perhaps long running challenges still seem to be persisting and had any of them been resolved it would have been a start.

Still, lets hear it.

"If the momentum keeps building..."

What momentum?

Is Coris sold?

have any deals been done?

Has CLN been dealt with?

Has the SP gone up?

Are you referring to the vague words of ND parked, or interest from other parties, or the BoD's concern about shareholders?

What does strike me is the small mindedness of many here that think point scoring of if its the same poster with multiple account syndrome is even worth posting about, let alone all the time.

It shows to me a limited understanding and appreciation of life generally, if these most mundane and silly things occupy the minds of those that feel the need to express these fruitless, pointless and ultimately wrong observations.

" They’d love nothing more than to see me lose everything, spoiler alert, not gonna happen 🤫😆💯 and the feeling’s mutual."

Well not me Ice,

I may disagree with your rationale that drives your logic and therefore most often we clash on how we see things but no, I don't want you to come to any harm financial or otherwise based as something s so inconsequential as this BB.

Van, they said a brokers note was just a quick put together of what info was out there already and more of a "warm call" to remind the client that they are there and if you want to buy some/any stocks then please use us ..type of thing, rather than any insightful rec for the actual company the brokers note specifically referred to.

We covered quite a bit of ground over the fortnight off and on (it was all very interesting), and they did not tell me anything that I had not figured out for myself but at the same time it was (to me) reassuring my assumptions on what goes on behind the scenes were broadly right.

It has to close at least at 33p, preferably a little higher 34p or 35p so as to reduce the chance of a false breakout.

Pump and dump is just through legitimate buys sucking in others by feeding off their feed and greed emotional state.

Nothing to do with Market makers.

I'm pretty sure its not.

On my hols I met up with a fellow traveller who as it turns out works on the trading floor of a European Bank in the UK.

I asked about market manipulation and after the laughing died down the answer, was No, the financial services are all over this all the time. Its completely illegal and rarely if ever goes on (at least in the UK.)

Also Ignore all Brokers notes (not worth the paper they are written on ), well, we all knew that.

MATD: the danger of RI's.

I read an article this week where Samsung are trying yet again to push their "foldable" mobile phones and although the article centred in on the lack of take up on the relatively poor Camera compared to non-foldable phone, Samsung also mention improved battery/poor energy performance as an area that needed improving.

So while they spoke about a better camera in this new phone it struck me that if Samsung are CPX's partner then maybe we are part of the battery/energy solution too?

There are so many applications... We just need to get going.

Maybe, but its an alternative system to Fundamental analysis and its important that the mechanical nature of it is understood because as we all experience, its actually easy to press the BUY button, but for whatever reason its always harder to press the SELL button.

" even if one waited to see what would happen, there's still no guarantee that things will continue on an upward trend and that you'd still end up in profit. Last time the SP had a bit of a rally, I bought a very small amount again, only to lose half of that at current levels. So, you see, none of us really know, do we?"

The way it works as it is a mechanical system, is that lets say you do decide to buy now at 32p. You WOULD sell if it fell to 29p, no ifs or buts.

Now you know your risk: 3p per share. Then you see where is the target for an upward break out. Because it has been a tight spread you might decide 43p is where it will go to before drawing much breath.so your reward would be 11p per share, nearly 4-1 risk reward, so you take the bet, and if it works out 33% profit in probably short order. If it hits your target you sell and bank the profit.

You must have these targets otherwise how can you judge the risk or the reward.

The reason so many fail using TA is that the SP might zig zag up to 42p (not quite there), in my example and fall back to 35p so you get nervous, and sell, even though it never broke your stop loss at 29p and take a small profit, and then the SP promptly goes back all the way 43p

Thats the emotional pull of fear and greed.

On stocks TA is only useful really imo to time entry and exit. News releases are unpredictable and if it is very bad news you won't get out where you want to anyway, so I just do it for a hobby but do watch the movements pretty intently.

I'd like you to be wrong too

(I am up 100% currently, but thanks for your concern, much appreciated. Oh and fyi:

"Yes, CAP-XX does have manufacturing capabilities. They are a leader in the design and manufacture of supercapacitors and energy management systems, with production facilities in Australia and Malaysia for prismatic supercapacitors, and in China and the USA for cylindrical and hybrid supercapacitors, according to Investor Meet Company. CAP-XX also acquired Murata's supercapacitor production lines and has a high-capacity factory in Seven Hills, NSW, Australia. "

I was indeed VS, those are the risks you take as a shareholder.

I thought that there was more chance of a govt bailout than not as the political fallout would trump economics. But it worked out fine because apart from shareholders being wiped out the yards are all still going to my knowledge.

I did however when it was starting to look like it might go tits up, transferred quite a bit of my holding to BAB as I thought they might be a beneficiary of any unfulfilled orders. (I did post that there at the time).

So although in the end I lost about £3k I was fortunate to be in BAB as that has more than softened the pill.

Thats why I don't "care" about who I am invested in. If , imo, the story changes, then so do my actions.

My over riding thought is always capital preservation.

The reason I included it is to highlight the emotional pull of the expression which is commonplace and can be quite persuasive.

The whole point of TA is that it is mechanical. In theory I don't need to know anything about AVCT. I can just look at the chart and when it breaks up, say, I will buy in. I don't need to know why, its irrelevant.

You do what you want Ceesor obviously, :0) but given its 50/50 as to whether it will go up or down why wouldn't you wait?

I think it always helpful to examine your own rationale for buying when you do. You have selected AVCT as a stock you want to buy, fine, but why right now, at this price? Is this really the bottom? if so what are you basing that on? If you are wrong and it fell dramatically would you be ok with that?

These are all rhetorical questions and nothing aimed at you personally at all, but we think by reading all the reports and all the rest of it we are making rational decisions, but the emotional pull of FEAR and GREED is immense and I have found it helpful over the years to try and recognise when the red mist is coming down to take a breath and make sure my decisions have as much basis in logic as possible and are not going to cause me financial harm if they turn out to be wrong.

Anyway good luck