Member Info for wyndrum

"...if some outstanding news landed regarding the headphone design win the charts would have to be redrawn."

That is correct. New news ultimately underpins the SP.

TA/Charts are just looking at the crowd behaviour in the meantime. An interpretation of the strong move up over the last few weeks is the expectation that the design win will push the stock up much higher, so people are buying in, in front of this confirmation (Greed). This move is drawing more buyers who do not wish to miss out. (Fear & Greed).

If the news is just "ok" then there will be a sell off as people quickly bank their profit. If the actual news surpasses expectations then the SP will move up even further.

SP volatility prior to the actual news breaking ,will reflect what the expectation of the market is, for good or ill.

So yes, If an RNS unexpectedly drops, then us and the rest of the market re-access our expectations and act accordingly. That affects the chart and us TA'ers start again.

Van, I still think the post below is the most likely out come in the short term. It depends how it gets there (if it does), to then see what is next.

The SP will likely go into overbought territory either as it gets there or before so in any event there will be most likely a retrace or two before .41p is broken and becomes a support level rather than a resistance.

Every day close alters the view, sometimes a little, sometimes a lot. But so far, so predictable...

It does feel as though something is afoot, and its not 12 inches, although I don't use that as a rule....

Well, as I asked the question which no one answered, I don't know.

There are 2 platforms to buy and sell shares, both regulated, does it affect the price at all?

If the answer is no, (which is what I am inclined to think through the public SP quote) then the DP becomes irrelevant in terms of the SP.

What it does mean that because volume is not seen then PI's can't potentially get a steer on future price direction.

The benefits seem to be that big players can mask the size of their trades allowing potentially less SP volatility while they transact these large postions along with lower transactional costs.

(Oh wait... I said I did not use volume as an indicator because it was unreliable. I wonder if that has anything to do with it?)

You are simply deliberately obtuse.

Buyers try to drive the price down. No buyer offers more than the offer price in a stock. The Sellers if they don't give in, then force the buyer to raise their price. So sellers try to drive the price up and buyers try and drive the price down.

But yeah I know, I've got it back to front. Like all of you when you bought a house, you immediately offered more money, or when you sold it you took the cheapest offer.

If demand is greater than supply it allows the seller to have the confidence not to sell at the lowest buying bid and then the buyer has to decide whether or not to increase their bid. When its the other way around buyers will only take the stock at lower levels.

Buyers try and force the price down, sellers try and force it up.

Anyway, i hope you all have a good day with your DP experience and knowledge of it.

(I am surprised at the general level of understanding here on the DP, because for years, you have all believed in near constant illegal market manipulation only ever forcing the price down, corrupt MM's, secret orders being filled, shorters closing their positions, intimate knowledge of which nation is buying AVCT stock and at what time. And yet until recently, no TR1's, no US involvement in stock buying, no shorts closed and all this and never once was the DP (which as I say you are all now expert on) was ever mentioned.

Funny that, don't you think?

If I gave the impression HL are MM's then it was sloppy writing. I know they are a broker

So this is the worst kept secret in stocks then. Everything goes through the DP so only big players can see or know whats going on at the expense of PI's, only we all know everything about it.

(I take it therefore, you know who's buying and who's selling or in what quantity or what effect it has on other MM's stock.)

(I think I will stick to my method on the old adage if aint broke....)

"There is of course a fundamental misunderstanding here about what dark pool means and who is involved"

Really?

Its just a platform where, by and large PI's are at a disadvantage because they cannot see what is being transacted between bigger players.

Given its to exclude PI's from seeing volume its interesting it doesn't work. But as I say if all these big buys are taking place and all these large positions now are being taken, how come there is still stock for non-DP traders to buy and sell, or rather, that this liquidity in DP trading seems to have no effect on the SP for the "traditional" platforms.

That was all I asked.

But thanks for your answer, most insightful.

So i call it right, and I am a parasite. (feeding off who exactly?)

Swazers get it wrong and they are worth listening to.

Hmmm....

And clearly as you don't have the first idea about what you are talking about (or you just can't read), I simply said I don't think volume is a reliable indicator.

All charting is sentiment based.

All buying and selling is sentiment based.

Its a guess into the future.......

Well, I know you value my opinion so I guess I am one of the many that called the break at 32.5p

The problem with volume/accumulation is that there has to be a sell for every buy.

I find it it an unreliable indicator in real time. Is it because there are buyers in the know? or is it someone has bought and loads are jumping in blindly, is it pump and dump? ie manipulation, which as many here will testify its always manipulated when it falls but never when it goes up.

(So after he got it completely wrong it actually fell to 27p. He did not call the bottom then to by by the way.)

At the time my response to his post was that the price was too close to call for a TA buy/sell rec. and that you would wait to see a hold at 43p or more before committing as it was on a knife edge.

Thats the thing about TA: You have to have patience. You wait for the resistance to be broken before buying. He didn't. Its a pretty fundamental tenet.

Its about risk management. his call was a 50/50 one.

And not for nothing: this was on another stock (PHE) about the same time (02/03) that he had a strong opinion on:

"The days of you and your other bad actors deramping this stock to gain financial advantages will soon be over. The market will take you all out. You operate on lies and greed. The clock is ticking you need to close your shorts."

It then fell 50% a week later (its currently at 50p)

Its a tough game.

Swazers was months ago when he predicted a rise and it fell?

This from him dated 24th Feb at 40.75p

"🏁 Conclusion: Facts Speak Louder Than Trolls. The latest data from AVCT’s Financial Gearing Scorecard and Institutional Activity Report confirms that AVCT’s positive ROA, ROE, and ROIC are grounded in solid fundamentals, not accounting tricks. Institutional accumulation further validates the company’s growth potential, making it clear that AVCT’s financial trajectory is both credible and promising."

Out by 20%

So CJ, I am not familiar with Dark pool buying so perhaps you can help.

There is a finite amount of stock, yes?

If the stock is being bought within the dark pool why would it not reflect in a higher SP when the stock was attempted to be bought via the "normal, transparent platforms by presumably most investors.

If you want to buy some stock via HL say, but the dark pool has all the available stock that is being snapped up then why wouldn't HL raise the SP to tempt sellers to get more stock?

Frustrating isn't it Andrew? There I am using a forum for discussing AVCT and, you know, discussing AVCT, and you feel the need to filter me, but not the ones that insult meaninglessly and clog up the board.

Funny old world.

PP, that is very true and an astute observation.

Well CJ apart from you, W2,PL and pedro, it has been a reflection about the merits or not of using TA and my ability or lack of, in forecasting likelt moves for AVCT.

None of the insults took the conversation forward.

Pedro, its not me that clogs up the board, its the posts that then insult me like watching and you as well and the half dozen others that never ever address any points I raise in my posts about AVCT. Thats what clogs up the board.

"because numerous times you shared that you bought AFTER a rise"

Well, maybe, but not always, but as I say if you think its all rubbish that i post then thats ok. but I think you would find that previously i would have said where I though the SP was going if certain conditions were met. (For instance a week or so ago on CPX I stated at .30p it needed to sell off as it was over bought and that .23p was my target. It fell and at .2325 I said that was close enough and bought more at that level.

TA is the only criteria I use for deciding when to buy or sell.

Chris, I can't "win" here on declaring or nor declaring my holdings, so it becomes pointless. If I tell you I bought in at 33p when 32.5p held then no one will believe it if then rises and I get branded a fantasist liar. If it falls, then I just get the posters ridiculing me for buying in and then losing money . In either outcome it doesn't matter to me but it is tiresome, not just for me but for others as it helps clog up the board.

So, periodically, If I feel a particularly important level has been reached from a TA perspective I will mention it, in case it is of interest to any others here.

What I do makes no diff to anyone else accept me.