Member Info for wyndrum

Jane, did they verbally say what it went for?

Thats kind Jan.

Fingers crossed it all works out!!

Maybe, I don't know, I am just highlighting the assumptions we all make with no knowledge.

And it has been historically prudent with AVCt to err on the side of caution rather than expect a better outcome.

Ok so why hasn't it been sold yet?

Its been on the market a long time and it could not be sold as a package deal with LD

Everything sells at a price, so clearly AVCT have overpriced this so far.

Bella, what makes you think Corris is sold?

How much do you think its worth? Sub £1m?

Its loss making, so its a drain, who wants to buy a loss making company?

I think a possibility is Zeus either through the market or directly with heights, take the quarterly share dump off them.

That would protect the SP from falling further and therefore protect Zeus's current holding and at the same time improve their percentage holding in the company. That in turn may cause the SP to rise making their overall stake more profitable. Just a guess

Jan,

Charts are just a graphical representation of crowd psychology.

If you believe crowds are predictable under certain conditions and stimuli then you "belive" in TA given the stimuli is the 2 very strong emotions of fear and greed.

(Thats why you get the "buy on the rumour, sell on the news" saying. People get in BEFORE the news breaks. And it is this movement prior to news as shown in the chart movement, that allows predictions to be made of what is most likely to happen next.)

Its not full proof of course, nothing is, but its based on a more mechanical approach and as long as you get 2 out of 3 trades right, you are likely to make quite a decent return over time. But it tales a lot of emotional discipline which very few "traders" actually have.

"If they pay Heights in cash this time around it'll be a strong 'Buy' signal for me."

And if they don't is that a strong sell?

Was the cash runway to Q1 2026 based on paying in cash any quarterly payments?

There are simply too many unknowns to "know" whats going to happen.

Look at the excitement here when a ND listing was first muted. Then, when some here including me , said that was pretty expensive as well as DG reminding everyone that it is no guarantee of success, the normal "FUD" remarks and worse kept coming.

Now AVCT say, shelve ND...

You really need to keep your minds a bit more open to all the various scenarios rather than fixating on the one you hope for.

This talk about 100p per share offer. Who knows , but here is something to consider. How many long term holders are still in AVCT? it is quite possible there is only a small rump that have stayed the course with their destroyed to date, capital. I would imagine a majority got out long ago and as a result you have a much higher pro portion of holders now between 27p-40p so a mythical offer at 100p might be a very good return indeed.

So while I can easily see a 100p offer gaining more traction here than others, it would be set in the context of how the trial was progressing to make that offer seem attractive. So, again, so many variables as to make speculation pointless other than maybe to understand the shareholder backdrop that BP might not need to take this to the moon to get control.

Like I say there are so many options on how to finance going forward that will affect the SP and we have no clue as to what it will be, meaning we have no idea how it will affect the SP.

I have no idea how this will pan out but the FCA is quite a powerful body within its own right in terms of fines and actions it can take if there have been serious breeches within its code. It gets particularly messy because if there have been deliberate falsification of accounts then is there compensation to pay for losses that shareholders have endured having been misled as to the profitability of the company?

If the SFS then got involved then it would be very.... er...serious....

You are quite right Numbers, the previous high was .29p not .30 as I said, and today it has closed above it at .30p.

Roll on tomorrow. (hopefully its not a false break up!) As you say, odds on tomorrow will be up.

cheers

Sorry Numbers, what are you asking?

Sp when to .30p (close) RSI was 80 (over bought), fell to .27 (60 RSI).

During today it has risen back to .30p so if it close above that (.31p plus) then the retrace was small and it has carried on. If however it does not, then we wait another day to see if it falls or rises.

The chart will never predict what will happen (How can it, its the future), but it tries to imply whats most likely. Its just an odds game.

I take your point Chris, its always a bit of a crap shoot because we are all guessing about a future event, sometime we get it right and sometimes we don't.

I think the added problem is we as PI's don't have a remotely clear picture of what is being considered, other than the BoD saying "everything", which does not help at all.

Will it be a ND listing? and will that be a new company or a RTO? So two options and we have no idea of the costs of those 2 options.

Or will it be a license deal, and if so for how much, as the amount will affect whether or not more cash on top of that will be needed?

Or is it a RI? and if so will it be for say 12 months or for 24 months?

Will the loan be paid off early?

Will more P1b data be released before any cash raise whatever the form, is undertaken, because that may have a material affect on how the SP reacts.?

All of those options above may involve and perhaps are likely to, mean some sort of dilution to shareholders, but how much dilution?

Right now there are so many unknowns that the market is reasonably I think, sitting on its hands to get a better steer.

Again, they are much more risk averse than PI's many of who who seem to get overwhelmed with greed and fear in such situations.

Well, you certainly are a trusting bunch...

Given we all know and agree that there needs to be funding announced soon, then what else do you think the board would say?

They HAVE to sound bullish and confident.

How do we know what they say is true or not? (We don't... it really makes it very tricky for PI's esp as their history in these matters does not support the apart from me, unqualified enthusiasm most here are putting on the interview.)

Still maybe this time it will be different. Who knows, not me for sure.

Yes, its a tricky one ID, when a share has such a strong run the retraces can be quite small as some will see any fall as a chance to top up get on board.

Thats where discipline comes in, in whatever system the individual uses.

Have a nice hol (just come back from mine!)

"I’ve topped up regularly, and now my average is something I never thought I’d be lucky enough to achieve."

The problem I have with this type of statement is that if you believed , when you first bought the stock, that this was likely as best as you could divine, its lowest point, why wouldn't you sink all the cash you had into it then?

This seemingly never ending supply of "top-up" money always sounds a bit of desperate emotional support. "The stock has fallen (against my expectation), so I will buy more of it so I will get my money back quicker with this bigger stake". In Ice's case because he is sooo long term he has topped up a dozen times or more. To keep saying that this is "comfortable" does not make much sense to me as the scale of these continual emotional supports suggests he is a typical "gambler" in the most typical idetification of someone who's betting is out of control.

Particularly when I looked at his posting history and is on normally high risk stocks, that have not paid off.

I don't understand when is so comfortably off (retired at a very young age), he needs to do this financially, which in turn suggests he might be bored and therefore wants the "thrill" of risk.

Its the justification of the risk he takes that is from an outsider looking in, potentially a bit worrying.

(And before anyone starts, I tend average up rather than down, and also work with stops to limit losses within a mechanical system so as to reduce the emotional pull that this type of activity encourages with often disasterous personal consequences.)

Well the magic .18p went and then in perfect chart style it fell back from the .21p high to test the new support of .18p before going into over bought territory topping out at .29p I think the retrace might go to .23p if no new news surfaces.

I think there is a lot of money on the side trying to time entry/topping up. But as I say I am not convinced at .27p the retrace is done.

Still, we will find out soon enough.

Ice, you "top up" when the SP falls. So that makes you a bottom feeder too, then i guess?

Or are you saying that morally your purchases are ok but other peoples exact same actions are not to be allowed?

Are you also saying that being here over the long term has been a smart or clever or profitable investment?

I am pretty sure this post will be a "green" box one so that you don't have to reply on the bogus line you deceitfully parade that I am filtered.

So many posters here delight in lying so wilfully that it really makes you wonder why they do it.

Apart from never ever once being correct in a call, hurstbot has a100% record of posting during a rise in the SP and stopping it dead resulting in a fall. Thats quitevthe trick.

However when confronted with his unasked for predictions and questioned over his "knowledge" of how he knows who is buying and why, he responds asking for the posters predictions, as though that somehow absolves him from his deliberate and constant misinformation.

The fact that anybody here after his years of doing this, still rec or think he has any helpful insight is one of the bigger mystery's here.... (imo)

Yes, lets do that, lets not talk about the questions i raised. lets not look at the bear case, ever, just live in expectation of everything turning out fantastically well.

Thats a great investment strategy. How has that worked out so far?

Do you think that is how professionals work?

But don't answer these questions either because it will make your post look idiotic.

The SP is 32p after 5 years of a ground breaking, cure for cancer, trial it is 32p...but no, no discussion as to why that could possibly be...

At last its starting to look promising.

hit a resistance at the close of 1p so must close above that to confirm upward trend/ 1.07/8 would look to be next but I think the real target is an attack on 1.2 with a retrace to 1.16p before having another go. (unless of course new news is released to make it irrelevant.)

The news that the market is still waiting for is how this will be financed. if that news is released then dependant on how it is achieved will reset near-term price expectations. (imo dyor)