Member Info for wyndrum

Hi D, not sure I want to relive that investment experience! As for the other, Goodness me its dragging on. but yes you are quite right, you would not want to miss out now!

My experience is that when the SP is moving its very difficult to get in or out. (D, didn't you miss out on selling at 8p or something when it spiked on the oil tie up?)

Wow! I think there are some here taking this BB way, way too seriously!

Any new investor looking at this BB to make a share price moving purchase is, how can I put it... unlikely?

Ahh ..LD yes of course… that could be it!

There are over 40 calendars to choose from so its out fault really, to just assume its the one we all use..

That's a good question Bubba. We have assumed he is referring to the Judeo/Christian calendar or Gregorian type. maybe its one of the others such as solar, lunar, or seasonal?

That's what I understood too Nd, I just thought that every positive test would have then been subject to a PCR confirmation and that would have given the test validity that the large sample will do. That was where I was coming from but as I say I don't want to clutter up the board with a thread that's already been exhausted. (I haves asked for it all to be pulled)

Nd, its not reassurance, I ask questions so as to help improve my knowledge and understanding on subjects.

fair enough Tim (I missed them) I'll ask to get the post pulled

Why didn't we put up for sale our test on the back of the small sample results?

I thought it was because we wanted a bigger sample to prove how accurate the test was, but wouldn't have the small scale test then been vindicated by the results from the analysis of the "real" test people were taking (in the way Innova have been found lacking is some areas)?

It just seems we are told its a lack of samples that are holding us back but at the same expecting the small sample results simply to be replicated on a larger scale, then surely we could have got real time data back proving what AS already knows, ie the bigger sample will only confirm what he already has told us, (if you follow my logic?)

It was the reaction to Fridays fall and recovery where many of us who tried to top up could not for some minutes.

Also there was the vaccine announcement debacle that affected just about everything.

So it just made me wonder, based on something that could/should be a global gamechanger on dealing with the pandemic how the MM's will be able to mange the demand if & when the news breaks for such a relatively small company.

LiveD, I think we are beyond an update being "nice" now. I would say its getting pretty much to the "imperative" side of the scale

Nd, my guesswork was I don't see sales available in the UK until July. based on the size of the most recent Innova order mentioned here on Friday.

I am expecting the CE/CV authorisation to be surely, this week?

My "positive" scenario was that AVCT have already taken the decision some weeks or maybe months ago to no longer pursue the UK as its "first" market and to simply market the test globally from day one. The implications of that would be its not part of a "sovereign supply" contract with the govt and its going to plough its own furrow having been misled and let down by the govt thus far causing delays in getting the test authorised.

If there was to be an intraday announcement I would think it would come with a suspension in trading. Or is that too dramatic?

PP
" Paul Scott was a Finance Director for a UK fashion company before leaving to become a personal investor and write for the likes of the Small Cap Value Report on Stockopedia. "

PP, just for the record, I think you find will he did not "leave" , but that the company went into administration. That's quite a difference.

Lionel, my advice fwiw would be, relax. No posters on this BB are ever likely to affect the SP.

Anything posted here is after the fact. in other words, market moving info is already out there before BB's get it and the SP has already reacted.

Anybody really in the know doesn't bother with BB's to pass info on in the way that concerns you.

If its still upsets you then I guess your other choice is to stop reading BB's (which is not the worst any of us could do!)

All the best

i'll put the tape measures in the post....

mickey, thanks for the character analysis, but I would point out the same was said when I posted that it was likely to be May at the earliest for an AVCT a test to be able to be bought when it seemed likely to me back in March, that we would, at best get something CE'd or Cv'd by Mid April and then a few weeks more for the test to be actually available.

"I’m disappointed that you don’t know how businesses run, if there is no validated and produced alternative at that particular point in time, you order what’s required.

It’s the most prudent course of action in the event the test fails, excess supply isn’t an issue considering demand far outstrips it."

Mikey. was that your reply to me?

All that says is that in mid march ((around the end of Q1) that we had no test or likely to have test for 3 months, based on the size of the govt order. if we produce a test on Monday, what is the govt to do with what it just ordered? Use them first you think?

That's all I was saying.

Mikey,

If its mid March conclusion what does that mean? They were awarded 3 months worth of test in Mid March?

Beret, the thing about charts is not to predict what they will do, but to react as to what is most likely to happen.

Look, an RNS could drop Monday and the SP immediately goes to 400p.

What is happening currently is the SP seems to have found a level, 250p-275p, based on the expectancy of further positive news in the next few days.

There is a push-pull on as every days goes by without news you get a FOMO for the next day, until you get to a tipping point where the market stops expecting news to arrive.

Clearly with a rising SP the market is firmly of the belief that good news will drop and soon.

When the SP fell 20p in a couple of minutes on Friday I assumed it was the washout from NCYT and bought another £10ks worth as it started to recover just as quickly.

Now there is possibility I guess, the fall was on the Innova order. I don't know which (or it may have been something else)

I try not to get over involved in stocks just for this reason. Once you start "wanting" something to happen, rather than reacting to what's in front of you, you lose whatever edge you might have had. (That's one reason why most PI's lose money.)

For me, on the one hand it seems simply inconceivable that AS, in all the interviews, in all the test related tie ups, that something very good test wise is very, very close not to unfolding.

But I don't know how to explain a govt order for another 3 months worth of inferior tests alongside that.

A scenario might be that this very incompetent govt, (which I think is true), is so useless that they have broken their word or promises to AVCT at various stages and left them out on a limb and AVCT have reacted by no longer trying to get on board with the uk govt but going global from the outset.

That would explain the Mologic tie-up and the Spanish hospital testing link as well. It would also then validate AS's remarks for me (as its me that is having the doubts for the UK), about being so bullish about tests and the size of the market and time scales, because he is ONLY looking now to initially sell into anywhere but the UK. And he is in fact having the test manufactured now, by other non-uk global manufacturers ready for lift off.

Then it falls into place. (That's my positive Spin and why I am still invested to the level I am).