Member Info for wyndrum

Cabb, I do not recommend people "trade" this or any small stock. its too small so can be easily manipulated if so desired, and far too illiquid meaning you can't get in and out at the price you may desire as you have found. Having said that you can do what you like of course, but those factors increase the risk of a poor outcome.

As we saw on vaccine day, if there is unexpected bad news there is pretty nothing you can do so the old adage of "only bet what you can afford to lose" is very good advice on this stock I think.

If you feel you are over committed then days like today are probably as good a time as any to lessen your holding as it is very quiet.

its just in a trading range, broadly between 235p and 263p

There is a tentative sign of a reversal pattern in conjunction with the RSi.

A break below 162p would kill this "reversal" however when the SP went above 168p, it gave extra credence to this potential uptrend .

I have bought in at 171p

I'll think you will find it was around the end of spring

Dave, unfortunately there are just simply a group of very spiteful people on here.

It got disguised under "dealing with de-rampers" and somehow they deserved every abusive comment anybody could think up. Now they have largely gone, next in line seems to be anybody who seems to support TA. (This will be a fad and some other group or individuals will be next in the crosshairs. Unfortunately they seem unable to see themselves as quite as sadly pathetic as they are.

I get opinions differ, but this is way beyond that. There are simply those that get off being able to be offensively rude and not have to pay any social or consequences.

Well, their loss, not so much mine. GL

Thanks Cris, I meant Casper Sleep. its just that you compared CS to EVE on a SP valuation so I thought you might have had some other financial comparisons as well to back it up. (I think you will find that the market over there is not actually a millions times larger than the UK or even a hundred.....)

Chris, I can't see it easily when I google, so can you help me out?

How much profit did Caper Sleep make last year and how much cash in the bank have they got?

Cheers

Hi ST You said: "Now, I have to be patient and despite all the flares and shelling, I am here with my tin hat holding the trenches. It is not easy to take the flack but I will remain patient. "

Christ, you don't want to be in my trench then ! :0))

Vegas, its not about having the last word but I get personally get a bit fed up with this type of comment you make: "Chart talk can be dangerous for easily influenced inexperienced holders who may read on here and think they can do a quick trade and then the RNS drops"

Who are all these poor inexperienced souls you so manfully stand up for? How many are we talking about? Where are they exactly? Have they been in contact with you? have they posted anywhere that they feel misled by any of the posts here?

And if you want to go down that route what about all the ramping speculation that goes on here daily, probably around 100-200 posts a day saying that only great things are going to happen ,is that not just as potentially dangerous for these poor souls who have no idea what they are doing?

I would suggest putting money, probably £1000's at a minimum, into a stock and knowing that its a part of multi trillion system would be a game for adults. If some are so stupid as to place their bets with no understanding of what they are doing then they are almost certainly going to lose their pile. But that's their problem, not mine.

Well done Ben for getting a copy! (I did not realise at the time it was no longer in print.)

all I can say is that it has worked for me and continues to do so. My advice (fwiw) would be to pay particular attention to the bits on the relationship between price with the RSI. But generally explains the rationale as to why TA works. But in any event I am sure you will get much from it.

(After all, there is a reason why every single trading house in the world uses charts !)

You may also realise that it is to your great advantage that so many don't believe in it as that's where you can make money more often than not. Its a bit of a myth that its self fulfilling, its actually the fact that so many people base their decisions on emotion that allow the unemotional TA to work more often than not.

So rejoice in all the naysayers because you could well end up transferring their money into your account,.

Anyway good luck!

Hi Ben, turned out 233p held so perhaps a stronger floor after all? We will know tomorrow.

Ben, sentiment is charts, that's what it is, its just a graphical representation of peoples buys and sells at the various prices recorded. it records sentiment.

When I was trading US T bills, I was always out of the market on breaking news which was every day, sometimes twice, at 1:30 and 3:30 GMT as it was likely to be market moving data. So a market which is universally accepted as a perfect trading market was susceptible to the equivalent of an RNS once or twice every day, so not so different I think to stocks, even small ones.

I would make the observation from your post that you are "looking" for the chart to confirm what you want to see. Try and not do that.

Remember a chart is just an easy read of everything that people think translated around a moving SP. In other words all that data, all that research that many spend hours doing is already represented in the SP.

Its all, already there in the price, including the expected RNS and the doubters who don't think it will ever turn up and the unresearched who just like the name AVACTA and bought randomly anyway and every other reason for buying or selling.

Because buyers don't want to pay the current price

C3PO, It reads to me from your post as if you don't understand how TA works.

Paul, there is an in between LTH and trader. I probably fit that sub section.

The assumption behind a long term hold is that it will simply continually go up over the years (yes it might be sporadic and there will highs and lows, but it will rise and maximise profits better than any other way.)

However, how long term is long term? 1 year, 5 years , 15 years, more?

And what guarantee is there that it will continue to rise over the years. Look at the banking sector, the oil sector, the retail sector?

Small Bio Pharmas are Very high risk, so LTB&H is an extremely risky gambit in my book for these shares. The majority of all AIM shares are probably higher risk than ones in the main market because of less regulation. (and the dreaded MM manipulation!).

I have tripped over a system that works for me and I am content to hold a share probably longer than you would expect a trader to do, but my "philosophy, if you like, is not to be tied to time limits or worry about taking a loss, nor am I the least bit concerned about thinking a stock was a great buy one day, and the next day with new news, doing a100% volt face.

I don't care how much I will make (I have targets when I go into stocks), just as long as each trade leaves me with more than why I started I find that then compounds up fine and works better (for me) than LTBH.

All the best

Well, is it a retrace or is it a reversal?

You can make an argument for 233p as a (weak) support, but if it continues then 215p give or take would be a stronger level for potential buyers to come in.

we have the advantage? of knowing that there is an expected positive RNS coming. Chartist's won't care so much, (in fact not at all)

So, if this was my first time looking at this stock, I would wait for 215p or, if it rallies before then, then 245p, as 2 entry points but I would want other confirming buy criteria on both price points before committing.

Absolutely Paul, thats good advice.

I have always found it odd that LT holders post almost daily, it seems almost contradictory.

It gets odder still when they are abusive of other posters (whether short or long term), on any given day of SP movement.

If you are holding for the next say, few years, what does today or this year or even next, matter?

Its difficult to know the veracity of posters who are selling and have sold over the last few days or so, but assuming they are honest then they are also likely to be representative of the wider PI market.

I'm sure most of you know about "capitulation".

I'm wondering if we are entering that phase now with AVCT the more sells go through the more the SP drops which sucks in more sellers trying to safeguard or bank profits and the cycle continues and increases.

This will test a lot of nerves now because I'm pretty sure the majority of shareholders here are over committed.

The pain of holding on and holding on while the SP falls and then instead of getting out last week say, you get out today and inwardly curse yourself at not doing it earlier, will be multiplied should the SP rebound.

The emotional roller coaster of playing this game can be pretty intense as Vis acknowledged. (And it not about growing a pair)

That's why they say, never bet with more than you can afford to lose.

MCB, I reckon the test site (The hospital in Spain?), will be in daily contact with AVCT on how the testing is going and passing on the results as they go. The hold up according to AS, is a lack of samples so I think the conversation has probably gone along the lines of maybe last week:" 6 cases to go and at the present rate of past and now current infection admittance, that will be completed in the next 2 days or end of next week at the very, very latest"

AS then gives him self another 3 or 4 days for wiggle room and announces the IP for 9 days time knowing that he will be dropping THE rns before then. (The IP itself is already well done and dusted and ready to go.) That's my best guess.

And if for some reason the last samples don't materialise then he will go with what is going to be already a large validation, and the last few won't make a material difference to the outcome, (which he already has the data for).

Rich, most presentations that are backward looking will still reference to how the year has started and whats likely going forward, if even in vague terms.

ND is right in my view, AVCT could not possibly, in this febrile environment, with so much money at stake for a successful test, simply ignore the topic.