Member Info for wyndrum

if you go into weekly chart then top right hand corner there is "Data Interval", drop down box that gives you different time frames.

Ros, from a chart perspective its gone through a couple of small resistance levels so it looks to be on its way to test 19.25p

But if you don't reckon charts just ignore this post

As a rule D, I don't use the "weekly" HL chart for much other than a bit of emotional self supporting bias....

Basically short term charts (daily or intra day are useful for short term trades and then, 1 min, 5 min and 15min intervals can build a picture.

However, as I have by and large put short term trading behind me (at least for now), then I find, as I am looking longer term, the 1 year/3 month charts are the most instructive when combined with the RSI. (A chart with no indicator is I think too easy to see what you want in it) Those charts show the close of day price rather than the intraday highs & lows, and as I say longer term holdings, by which I mean more than 2 weeks, tend to be for me, easier to read and produce more winning trades.

Funnilly enough I am more "nervous" now on the other share than at any other time and I have figured out that is because the failed deadlines have all been supplanted with new ones and other bits of news to keep the SP moving north. Now, I feel, there are no excuses left. They either produce a test or they don't so for me this week is important and by the end of next week there for me is simply no wiggle room left. (hence I have come over all nervous!)

All of which means I have put too much money in this stock, but I knew that long ago, so having understood the risk I won't bleat if it disappoints.

chart looks a bit healthier too so fingers crossed it puts a bit more blue water between sub 5p and here.

(D, got back into G4M with ISA funds today, and BMN)

Hi Res, I think its pretty inevitable on stocks with bagging potential.

Mu gut feel (which isn't all that by the way), is that although on the one hand the rise is a bit "artificial" under these circumstances, it doesn't follow that the SP will fall back over the coming days as buyers today are probably not too anxious to sell having only just bought and likewise current holders are also set for at least 3 months to see if the approval materialises. The sellers who were put off by the time delay a few weeks ago, have again, probably already sold so I can only see upward pressure from here (give or take the odd penny).

However my analysis is usually crap and I do ok by just looking at the charts, so what do I know!

Morning all,

not much to report really as we are somewhere in between a range. However I immediately used my £20k isa this morning as you just can't tell with this one (or, more accurately, I can't), and for those interested we need to break 84p to get going again.

and just as an observation to the many here that seem to think is kind of ok, in the sense it happens with "other" companies and this is really not all that much:

How would you feel if you paid for the equivalent of Waitrose finest products and got delivered stuff with a Tesco Basic label? Would you feel that was ok? Just one of those things, wouldn't change your view of the company?

I remember right back in the day when trying to figure out why the press kept the story alive about slave labour was that I wondered if the press knew more than they could report of what was going on at BH. Just speculating but maybe there was a lot of "don't quote me but"... So they kept regurgitating the same stories until they could tell more?

I don't know but, swapping lables is I imagine fraud? Is it not the same as being charged for a genuine Rolex watch but being sold a copy?

Is that the suppliers again, or BH? does BH know anything that goes on their name?

So far we have slave labour, US tax case and potential ban on their clothing, VAT fraud, goods misrepresented from website compared to what is delivered, and now label swapping (notice it isnt' Coast customers getting Karen Millan clothes, odd that.)

This is starting to look beyond temporary imo. Without wanting to be overly dramatic is this more serious than previously thought?

Somebody who gets PP in conversation ask her, if this was endemic (just theoretically), would a company that sets up to deliberately use slave labour and to commit fraud by swapping labels on expensive goods for cheaper goods, would that be enough to make her sell?

Research, research, research every day she tells you, well what if the research says this company stinks? What if the Weekend FT (her favourite investment read), said sell? Then what.

All rhetorical of course, because there is more chance of Hell freezing over than PP having a conversation on anything neggo about BH, which given the state of affairs shows you quite how dangerously blinkered she is.

Again devils advocate Don,

Testing will not be seen as a return to normality. The govt has so far used threats with fines and prison to stop people breaking the rules. Why would that change with testing?

People don't go out twice a week 52 weeks of the year socially. So maybe they will pay for tests outside of home events, but not to go shopping surely? (in which case there is going to some big unemployment figures coming through on the high street dwarfing whats been discussed now when furlough ends!)

Are we going to have to test when we have friends round for a drink or meal? (forget it, no one is going to bother doing that.)

Testing will be seen as an onerous costly extra burden that will be resented by most. Please put yourself in that position, you are all vaccinated, it has been 6 months now and you and the family have taken a 100 tests at a cost of £500 and not once did any you prove positive. And you think that will just carry on for years?

Hi Matt,

those are fair points, but for a bit of Easter Monday devils advocate:

If you are having a takeway you don't need to take a test (eating out tends to be more expensive than a takeaway.)

All this having a drink down the pub: Pubs have been closing at a rate of knots for years. Its not really what the public do any more. (not on the numbers bandied about.)

Whatever people are already paying in the examples you gave, testing is simply more on top of it. (I am not arguing travel/airports by the way, I can see the logic for testing there for some time.) And in those other examples you cite as the overall cost increases so the amount of people who go will decrease. (instead of twice a year to see a big act maybe once).

Times are financially harder now. To expect disposable income to remain or in fact increase the when the cost of testing is an addition to any event I would suggest flies in the face of economic models?.

If tests become "free" with the cost hidden in the purchase of the goods (beers go up, ticket prices go up etc) then you will have inflation, as there is no way a company will do it at cost and that's fast becoming the single most scariest health issue on the horizon. If inflation gets a grip the surest way to a reduced lifespan is to be poor. (sorry I digress).

Anyway, I too share your hesitancy that it is actually us (but it bloody well better be!), but assuming it is, then globally yes this should be an absolute belter, but as you know I have always had reservations on the scale and time needed for tests.

PSB, the figures nor the logic you quote add up to me:

If our test is so good and its our test (see, 2 presumptions already made, but lets carry on), then why do you need 2 test per week for a year? If everybody does take their 2 tests per week you break transmission almost instantly, but lets assume 3 months or until the end of June as up to that date the govt is paying. Then its game over, for needing to test isn't it?

Or not enough people take the test regularly in which case its not 50m of people taking 2 test a week. Either way the figures are fanciful for the UK.

Lets say we carry on past June, who pays for it at what, £5 per test? £10 per week? You think the public who have been vaccinated and hear on the TV of a few thousand or less a day cases with hardly any deaths will pay out for tests £10 week, week in week out when they every test keeps being negative? (You honestly think the "poor" youth will take the test? we have seen their reaction to group gathering s when it was rife in communities.)

Very soon in that ritual, the person will feeling they well might as well get a stack of £5 notes and set fire to them for all the difference it makes. Anybody here who thinks healthy, vaccinated people will spend maybe £40 week as a family as an extra expense is crazy.

If business just shake their money tree and pay for the test who says the employees will take it? can they be forced to? and even so its not 100m per week as 50m don't work

Yes airports if its quick enough, yes maybe big venues, likewise, maybe, but I think the added cost to the ticket will deter some.

Assuming at last it is us, then globally sure this should at last be the huge game changer we have all hung on for, but I don't see the figures your quoting as likely or anywhere near in the UK

Schools, NHS, & Police will probably go on, which should keep the coffers nicely topped up but not 100m per week for 52 weeks. and that's the point, if the govt, carry making it a free test past June, then there will still a potential for good uptake of testing, otherwise forget it.

It looks as though its taking a breather having broken the 244p resistance, it is now using it as a support. Buyers are hesitant now after the big move this morning and just want to wait to make sure this is not a false breakout. Assuming 244p holds then 260-265p is next.

Once it starts to move it will probably be quick again as those who are waiting, pile in to maximise gains.

Maybe Radio, but it could just be FOMO.

Boris mentioned the 5th of April which is assumed to be of significance, which is Monday. If it is, there could be an RNS out at 7am Tuesday, so today is pretty much the last day to get in. so, if anyone has been on the verge of wanting to get in, this is probably as tight as you could leave it, if there is news due.

Seems a reasonable bet to me.

Its alright Matt, it doesn't get to me the way it comes across but if people are making judgements based on misinterpretation then I will let them know. If they then choose to hold the same opinion that's fine.

Dave, you have misinterpreted my post. It was a genuine response to JD's post that said 3 test's with similar levels of accuracy to our forthcoming release were already Fda approved.

I just wanted more clarification. seriously , that was it. There are some pretty savy technical posters here, and on the face of it to my admittedly uneducated eye, it looked on the limited info posted, that we were behind the curve in what could be our biggest market.

But like I say, just as seriously, I won't do that again.

Dave,

Ok, fine, sorry, I didn't post the original post. I was confused by it and asked the poster some qualifying questions.

If the reaction here is not to do that I won't in the future. I honestly don't know why this has got a bit weird.

If these tests are meaningless and have no influence or relevance to AVCT then why did JD post in the first place?

Is it possible PL, that you could you at some stage in your clearly, miserable existence, say something unoffensive about someone? Your posting history is one of almost continual personal abuse to almost every poster you disagree with.

Its odd that you have filtered me yet still manage to post personal abuse towards me. (I would have though that was the point of the filter button.) But you seem to be an obsessive, lonely egotist concerned only in your own opinion.

Still, long as you are happy.

Happy Easter

I don't know Matt, I don't know any of it. I did not understand the significance of the post hence my genuine questions.

In the face of it according to JD's research, 3 companies have had Fda approval for a test roughly equal to AVCT's, but I don't know if they are intrusive or a direct potential competitor or what? I was just asking for a bit more info or explanation if anyone had it.

Ok, thanks , so what we are saying is that affimers don't have an exclusive method of "exquisite" S/S and even though theoretically can be produced quickly, have been upstaged, timewise, by 3 other companies in potentially our biggest market.

What this says to me is that when AS says "as far as I know, there is no other test as good as ours" has to be taken very much into a different context now, I would have thought?

no, SS. So I am misreading it then?..."showing 97.5% sensitivity and 99.7% specificity."

(I am not being sarky, btw)