Member Info for wyndrum

Marik, what evidence do you have that I have shorted or have a short open on AVCT?

Now, don't ignore this because you have made the claim that I have a short currently open.

So all I am asking is that you offer some, any, sort of evidence that this is the case. Anything at all, really, absolutely anything that supports your opinion.

Maybe ND, who knows...

no one has responded to drshan's post about the 3 production trials and I have reposted it a couple of times with no feedback. Was drshan wrong or misheard or invented this part of the presentation?

I'm quite relaxed for the 2.9p support to hold.

(Although I do sometimes remind myself of that captain on a ship that hit an oversized ice cube some years ago.......)

Rads, i don't want to be argumentative over everything but a statement like this:
"The LG chem news was completely overlooked. Everything is being overlooked due to the LFT sales,....."

How do you know that? what makes you think that?
What, the market can't read? the market can only digest 1 piece of news because thats all they know about AVCT?
What about all the funds that are invested? They don't know about what AVCT are really about?

The company reports expanding losses and minimal income, no real developments regarding LFT sales but has an undisclosed payment continued milestone development and can report that the AVA trial is underway and so far so good in a very undisclosed uninformative way.

The news about the LFT was pretty slim and worthless in terms of putting a value on it yet.. The reason the SP held firm and increased slightly was more likely on the back of everything else, not in spite of it.

Thats true gje, but still, that was pretty funny... One rule for one and rule for another it would seem....

The funniest thing is that i am pretty sure marik can't see the irony....

Marik: "Firstly, the personal attacks make you sound like a child "

Seriously? Really?.... and yet look at the never ending personal attacks you have made on me!!
Brilliant!! Ha ha!

Rads, I did consider that AVCT might not have permission to disclose this info.

However two things:

One: Why? what difference does it make? If the elite club has chosen AVCT its presumambly because its the most accurate in the world, that reflects well on the team, doesn't it? Why would it need to be secret? What advantage does the elite team have by withholding this info?

Secondly: What, every team, every "big" business refuses to be publicly associated with AVCT? Does that make sense or ruing true?

Rads, that may be so regarding forecasts. What is clearer is that he makes no verifiable comment on sales that have been available for over 3 months, either in the UK or the EU.

Mentioning larger companies and elite sports teams without any specifics is to me typical of AS. Why didn't he just quote the teams he was supplying? If they are elite the chances are lots of people listening would know of them. "We supply Real Madrid with their LFT requirement", or "Red Bull Formula 1 team uses our LFT." The actual amount of tests might be a negligible 1000 a week in total, but the PR would be very good. The fact he doesn't means to me that it is almost certainly BS and that these "elite teams" probably are not all that elite....if they exist at all.

Its clearer by the day that there have been major issues with the test from the lab to mass production. Hopefully they are resolved and these 3 production run trials that drshan referred to that are currently underway, will prove the problem is resolved.

My guess is that this has been holding up HUA. The test works in small scale and passed the criteria for HUA with the governing body that approves it, but its waiting on the results of theses trials. Once confirmed all is ok then we will get HUA as a rubber stamp job.

Jackester, turn the telescope around... you're looking through the wrong end.

Noeasy, I did not today but only because I had already identified an entry point lower down just above 3.0p.. I posted on the 21st Sept: "Chart suggests the fall is over. just needs to say above 3.02p and it should be fine" (Thread: TA Chart... by all means look away now) and replied to SGF: ""....and it so happens today the chart looks ok at this level so i bought a very modest amount purely on the chart....." I then bought more about 2 days later as I felt it looked good and was worthy of more funds.

So, although I did not pull the trigger today, I did when I saw it originally The first buy is always the hardest emotionally because you are naturally unsure if It will work or not. (its easy to be relaxed when you are 15% up and decide to average up......).

So, my point was, not me specifically today, but generally. When you have a system that you believe in and it says buy, then... buy. otherwise its not much use. (One of the great lines in films is The Cable Guy when Jim Carey says "he who hesitates, masturbates..." and it perfectly sums up this example!! (Always makes me laugh that line...always!)

Anyway, tomorrow is another day. GLA

Danger!!!!!! ramp alert!!!!! Rose tinted goggles on!!!!

The close on Friday at 3.62 (according the HL charts, which is what I use) broke the resistance of 3.58p.

Today it has come back to test that break at 3.58p. So now in classic TA style, the resistance becomes the new support.

(It's a wonderful thing to behold and I can only hold hands with fellow chartists and silently take the moment in....)

Ok.... back to normal....

Another day provides new info, so yes the above does apply but as its tight that's where the risk reward steps in. By the time its "clear" what direction the SP is going then it has probably moved 5% plus, further up and away.

So that's why in TA you have stops. And the stop would be I guess be about 3.55-3.58p (Again setting stops is a judgement call. The MM's know where the stops are in theory and can easily artificially push the SP there to activate them either mechanically or just wait for holders to press sell button themselves), so the cat & mouse of out witting the MM's means all you can do is set them lower than you would want to avoid the shenanigans, but if its not manipulated and is a genuine fall, then the loss is greater than it should be. ....See, its not easy being a trader and we get no credit for all this thought and turmoil.....)

Anyway, my on- balance view is, this is a simple retrace to the support and it will go up from here, and fall no further.

This could all change tomorrow....typical TA get out clause... :0)) but on a serious note, my view really might change depending on what happens tomorrow, but you have to commit, you have to pull the trigger when your system (that generally works far more often than not), tells you to, even though you might do 180 degree about turn 24hours later

The joys of TA..

gje: "As for the previous 12 months, again that has been debated at length. Everyone knows the circumstances of how we ended up here."

Yes, we do now... but wouldn't it have been better to figure it out then rather than now?

(Oh wait, I and others tried to but we were "trolls with an agenda".)

And that's the point in a nutshell.

If most here would stop personally & emotionally reacting to a different opinion with abuse to that of which you hold, it might help with both the tone and enjoyment of this BB as well as potential investment returns.

Yes, my plan too SGF re ADV!

Muscles: apologies if i misinterpreted your reply.

Muscles, I did not say it would near the 20's merely between 12-16p.

Why wouldn't it?

The Helium is there. No one is disputing that. All that is to be confirmed (or not) is is it commercially viable to extract it?

An RNS saying words to the effect of: "We have, through new studies, found very highly likely deposits of commercial helium and at the same we have ordered the BFD to categorically confirm it this time around" and will start drilling in April 2022"

What do you think would happen to the SP?

Remember, the fear and greed of investors knows no rational bounds and it will be the easiest internal conversation for someone to have with themselves to have the opportunity to "win back" the money they lost first time round!!

gje, "Some may want to know exactly when the HUA application was submitted for their own personal curiosity, "

No, not at all. This is an investment remember.

If it was submitted 3 moths ago and its due any day then that is very pertinent info. If , however it was submitted 2 weeks ago and is 3 months away from a decision then that too, would be information on which to judge as to when to purchase or value the stock?

As in much of this whole LFT event, news has been deliberately withheld or been clouded with innuendo to suit , I can only assume, AVCT's reputation

For instance: Does anyone here still think there was an NDA between AVCT and the govt? What happened to Moonshot? What happened to supplying low and middle income countries?

AS does unfortunately obfuscate and now, it automatically leads me to question his veracity.

Before you all go ballistic.... so does just about everybody else outside this BB, as you just have to see where the SP is today to where it was at the start of the pandemic when it was all promises and expectation.

That's why the SP then and now, being similar, is not a co-incidence. The facts of sales revenue and profit margins are still not revealed or yet disclosed. its still promises and expectation and the SP reflects that.

The re-rate will only occur on the back of hard evidence and that seems to be some little way off yet.

BITL, this is where a completely unnecessary "Them and Us" thread gets started:

Its not a "troll agenda". The things you cite were perfectly reasonably questions to raise at the time. There was much hype of the AVCT test being available in 5 minute using a simple saliva based format for the summer 2020. Remember?

Since then there have been countless further delays at all times in direct contradiction to what AS said would happen.

The very latest RNS says "after initial supply" problems regarding the LFT that is for sale, without any explanation what they were or what caused them. So we don't know if its a resolved problem or a temporary patch?

PL75 readily acknowledges the **** show AS has personally contributed to over the LFT. Is he a Troll?

To make out that some, who simply questioned the reality at the time to what was said or inferred, were "troll's is just not the case. And i don't know why you would suggest that it is or was the case?

There are clearly agenda's here but I have to say, it seems to come from the enthusiasts rather than the pragmatists here.

Well, you all know how much weight I put on the SP. (I think it kind of cuts through all the BS),

Presently the SP is 25% lower than it was 12 months ago. and give or take where it was 24 months ago. And yet in that time there has been much "progress". But not according to the SP.

I think based on the last update, the move into France was necessitated on insufficient growth in the UK. They said previously they did not "have " to go into France and could have shown profitability by staying in the UK&I but saw an opportunity..... hmm...

I think D's analysis is right, to let France wither would have been more expensive than trying to kick start later, while there are some foundations currently still intact.

But I also think France is key. I think EVE are saying there is not enough growth to come quickly enough in the their current markets to sustain the business in the future, so they have to go into new areas and France (as previously recognised) has the advantage of already some market penetration, so not completely cold.

Which then gets me to the SP.

The SP is at this low point because it hinges on this expedition into France. It (imo) HAS TO generate meaningful sales. EVE cannot spend this money and then after another 6 months report effectively, that France is still a work in progress. EVE must be able to show an upturn in sales for the market to realise its on course to generate returns sufficient to take EVE forward into a cash positive, profitable company.

Until that moment the SP will likely remain under pressure. Currently the business model does not work. That's why the SP is where it is. The add on sales are very helpful, but not enough in themselves.

Eve is ultimately a Mattress company and it needs to sell a ton of them every day. The rest is a nice froth.

Its still high risk (imo) (dyor)

It seems to me that HE1 is now in a far better place in the process than it was 6 or so months ago.

The SP was around 8p (where it is now) on the excitement of a drilling program.

Now the SP is there again (8p) but with now, the results of what drilling has been done.

And although it could be I guess, be loosely argued that previously as DM already knew helium was present hence the drill program, so are we really that much further on still confirming helium is present, I think realistically we are.

The data collected now is allowing a more targeted approach to the next stage increasing the chances of success and my analysis of what he has said is that he going to get the next locations as bang on, as its possible to do. (And this may take a bit more time, so i agree now its all about next year.

The reason i am posting the pretty obvious is really from the SP pov:

Its holding around these levels. When the next news comes it will presumably be about the next phase of drilling. It sounds as though he wants to get the BFD out and go all the way down. But in any event, I think that news will spike the SP, in the same way it did before which suggests a 50%- 100% jump in short order.

This spike to me, feels nailed on. We know they have the money in the bank and are looking for sites, we know they are looking to hire a bigger rig (as well as the lower, easier drill targets), so it feels we are just talking about timing: Will the announcement be issued tomorrow, next week, next month etc.

As we know know we can never be 100% sure on anything, but it still feels a genuine opportunity on anytime now to , what a 12 week, timeline for the plan to be unveiled.?

This still looks to me an extremely good risk reward at these levels to buy into. (Just my opinion DYOR)

I have to say I never have quite gotten on Board with the whole "sleep wellness" thing simply because I don't see how monetise it.

I get the importance of sleep, thats a given, but basically all we are talking about is add ons from a mattress company to bed frames, bed wear, bed furniture, pyjamas's etc

And all of that is already well serviced in a competitive market.

I think it good (although was essential) that Eve broadened its items for sale and I also understand its a marketing thing "Sleep Wellness) rather than any thing else. But without the marketing spend to saturate the public's awareness, it has to be a slow process. (Which it is)

I still think a buy out/take over is the best outcome for EVE, otherwise its a real slow boat to China I think on this one....

SGF, the talk now is that HP is off to Spurs......