Member Info for wyndrum

I know ND, but it was fun, I think it amusing that my replies are boring and clogging up the board but never the person who keeps on and on not letting it go, so I indulge them just to remind them that it is they with their inane pointless post,s that causes the problem.

Just don't reply , it's so easy but they can't quite bring themselves to do that so obvious thing.

I remember a post from Ophidian (8th sept) " For those who like such things - just completed a reverse head an shoulders suggesting 150p+ next. Other Chart elements also point to 150p+" and 26th aug " I disagree - 156p next Target"
and 3rd sept
"Since the share price has hit the 61.8% Fib retrace level off the recent high (at about 49p) I have taken a larger position here now and expect the AVCT news due imminently to reflect well in the ABDX share price too (the sp closed at 136p)
and on the 8th Sept
"As posted here (31/8/21) my info was taking orders from mid September onwards so with this website update I surmise they are on schedule or even marginally ahead of the schedule expected. Looks good either way. Good find @ Poirot."
and on the 10th Sept
"with a bit of luck - that's the bottom in now let Friday FOMO do it's stuff ahead of what should be a very good week next week." (Closed at 132p)
and on the 16th sept
"I just bought again. Bargain prices, very very good news can’t be far away now on AVCT LFD." (closed at 118p)
and on the 20th
"SpreadEx gone telephone only as well - always a dead giveaway that buyers are flooding back" (Closed113p. it fell the next day)
28th sept
""Looking at the way the share price is moving, the market is obviously not expecting anything of significance."
are ridiculous. Switch off and come back in 72 hours."

I know we can't be right all the time, but blimey..........

GJE, Ha ha, i knew you couldn't help yourself....
I don't have a bias: I have an opinion (based on what is in the public domain) that I don't think LFT sales are going to be transformational for AVCT. That's it, everything else about AVCT is very exciting.

the lengths you are going to to prove a point that does not exist is quite remarkable.

You keep asking a question I never commented on. For me (for the millionth and first time)_... was not about Moniman and what he did or did not say. (I don't even know what i am supposed to be commenting on what he said?) .
I was responding to Ophidian's post. I thought I had made that clear, in maybe 5 or so posts?
That somewhat salient point seems to elude you

Perhaps a more simple analogy will help you understand.

I say, I think the sun's about to come out and you say, "What, nothing to say about the rain," and I say, "I am talking about the sun coming out, not the rain ", and you say "so you have an obvious bias about the rain and refuse to talk about it!!!!"

And somehow you think you have proved what ...exactly?

Your turn...

GJE, you are determined to have the last word. ophidian posted "just fluck off moniman"

That seemed personal to me. (I am pretty sure there was another but i think it has been deleted off as there seems to be no record now.)

Anyway, for the millionth time it was ophidian's post that got my attention not moniman's.

I have answered several times I am not interested in what Moniman said. His view on the subject he espoused was of no interest to me. I have no idea what motivation he had in his posts. and I still don't care. So i don't have a view ok?

if you feel you have won a masterful debating point then, well done you, but I won't respond again to your persistent enquiry to a question I have answered 4 times now. I DONT HAVE A VIEW. (I am sure, however you will post one more time...)

GJE, i replied and referenced Myles & ophidians posts, not them personally.

yeboa, thats fine, but my point was and as usual it gets lost... is that their posts (as examples because of the high esteem they are held here which means if any posts that may sway new investors, it is most likely them) were proclaiming sales were at a higher level than they so far appear to be, but thats ok here, but negative views are somehow destructive to the SP.

Watching: i would not have got into all this had GJE, not let it go, and kept insisting i respond so go and ask him what the point of all this was rather than me, would you?

GJE, I Have no idea about the intent behind his posts, so i have no idea if he has an agenda or not. And i don't care. I am not even sure what post you are referring to. There was a thread on defining value inflections and he expressed his opinion and I think it went off from there. But as i say its of no interest to me.

I am not shying away from anything but i will not be drawn into discussing people personalities. As I say I have no idea what Monimans motivation was or is. I read the posts on their merit and respond accordingly, or in this case, not.

If all here that respond with their subjective , personal views that betray their own prejudices without having anyway of knowing if their views are remotely accurate on other posters, could just take a breath and not do that, then this BB would be immeasurably better, imo.

This theme though, which is pretty well brought up all the time, when you say "..part of an agenda designed to undermine confidence?"

Do you honestly believe that this BB and the few that post in your opinion, "negative" views are responsible for the SP closing at 117p on the day of the results and now being 110p, over a week later?

Remember we have had Myles giving it large, and Ophidian, ramping away prior to the results and still the SP fell. Could it be, could it just be, there is something more fundamental causing the SP weakness than a bunch of anonymous posters on an irrelevant BB killing time with inane posts (which this one definitely qualifies.)

And this is the bit I simply cannot understand: If it is all so painful and distressing to read these so-called, deliberate, agenda-driven, confidence sapping posts, then why does anybody respond to them? It just extends them and draws out more of what you don't want to see and read.

Bella, when you say "We are and will continue to be part of the Govts purchasing plans..."
When did we become (in your opinion), part of the govt's purchasing plan

Does anyone here seriously think it will be us?

SeaHawk, I wonder if it was a time thing?
HE1 changed at the 11th hour to a different location which delayed the drill time (from may to June) plus the bigger drill needed more time setting up, plus the length of time to complete the longer drill, plus the time lost in the drill bit falling off the end...then the wash out. plus there would be a time element to take the failed drill down and relocate elsewhere to complete the now mythical 4 drill program

So I think at least 2 months was lost from the original plan so having thrown all the eggs into one basket unfortunately HE1 tripped over its own shoe laces and dropped said basket.... and then quickly pretended it was its plan all along to make an omelett20m away on the same drill pad... (I have no ide where this is going.......)

Forget the analogy, (i have already), maybe due to the drill time being eaten up the remaining time is better used for more site anlaysis so as to make next years drill program have more chance of success?

Thats kind of you to say Tyche...moving on.... but its funny isn't it, I have spent 40 odd years playing this game, want to try and help others not make the same rookie mistakes I made (and most of us do when starting out, and you (and I am sure you are not alone), assume its some sort cynical lie. its as though you can't imagine anyone trying to give anything back.

Its not a zero sum game. If others make money it doesn't mean I am losing does it? likewise if I am successful its not at your expense either.

I understand you filtering me marik, what i don't understand is you continue to comment on and about me without knowing what I have said. Its like a child with their hands over their ears going "La La La I can't here you" while the adults are talking.

marik, if you are going to comment then you will need to unblock me so you can see what i replied .

Just for you: My very best "paper" value was the 77,786,shares ( I rounded up to 78k sorry). at 284p was £220,912.24p however as we only flirted with a closing price of 275p For the sake of being reasonable i rounded down to a 260p average hence the £200k.

( you need to take a breadth, stop concerning yourself so much with me and just look after your own investments. Unlike you I don't need to ramp them to make money out of them)

I am successful in my trading. It has taken many years of making many mistakes to get here.
I started posting on LSE in an attempt to try and pass on what worked for me and what mistakes I made so others could avoid them or at least be aware of them.

Everything else about me is assumed and invented and for the most part not remotely true. I have no multiple identities here and never have done. I don't short any stocks ever, I don't day trade (unless I get super lucky and it spikes more than 10% the day i get in), I never post, positive or negative, in any effort to affect the SP (I don't believe anything anyone posts here makes any difference ).

None of this I imagine will alter anybody's opinion of me but there is nothing I can do about that other than remind people of the facts. I am sufficiently thick skinned not to worry about it either, but I will always report people who are offensive or lie about me.

Sorry Gj, it was Gm. I should have replied to.

gje, my average core holding SP is at 129p-

My trading has been anywhere from 107-240p (buy-ins). At my most "balls-deep" phase I had 78000 shares a (including the 20,000 core holding) but started to sell off from 259p I have recently bought at around 102p although i sold most of it at in the high 130's but got back in 112p and again at 110p after the results were released and it was clear (to me) that the market was not likely to take this down further. (that may all change of course if new info or more dramatic price moves come to light), but presently I am starting to re-stock and will likely buy more around 130p and again at 145p

I imagine this is really of no interest to any one. But if you are looking to trip me up then ok, but I'm not sure what the point is. I have interest in many stocks and between them I usually trade a few times per week in total, but not always.

Its difficult to re-gurgitate exactly how many shares i sold when and at what price when I might buy 20k shares of AVCT at 102p, sell 15000 at 140, buy 10,000 at 112p, sell some other stock to release funds to buy 12,475 shares at 110p etc etc.

My holdings are not relevant to what i post.

Seems pretty fair to me Ody. I think largely TMF is to often useless with its analysis of the companies it highlights.
But the points raised in the articl are the same for all mining companies. So nothing knew there.

I think we all have come to the same conclusion about a further fund raising exercise being necessary but there are 2 most likely scenario's
1: Discovery of commercial helium , SP rockets and goes up even more when further funds are requested.
2: No discovery of commercial helium after 2nd drill phase and SP falls, and falls further when more funds are requested.

So yes its completely a punt. (But all stocks are actually, imo). I don't think its a question of believing or trusting DM per se, but if we believe in the data provided then we all take our individual, amateur, view as to what are the chances of a commercial find, and you base your spend accordingly.

No gje, I can't but what's your point?

10 years ago this stock had potential. 10 years on with all the development that's gone in that time and now the various tech strands are closer to fruition, the SP is at the same level (give or take). (and its still all about potential)

So is it better value now than then? I think it is, but that's with the benefit of hindsight.

6 months ago the SP was 275p was it a mistake to buy at that time? Its only been 6 months after all

gje, you said "You seem to give your critique with a big skew to short term trading opportunities. If someone is looking at a longer time horizon, perhaps a SIPP, or even just a medium term investment over a couple of years, then what a fantastic proposition this is. "

This is the last 10 years of the AVCT SP going back to oct 2011:
102p, 76p, 86p, 78p, 140p, 89p, 65p, 23p, 20p, 182p, and 115p (currently)
10 years ago the SP was 102p, today its about 10% higher with at one stage an 80% capital loss from that 10 year 102p.

That's not short term.

And fwiw, yes I will carry on trading around the margins if i think I can make some profit, but my core holding is already 16 months old and I expect it to be at least another 2 years (probably longer), so don't assume my views are simply on short term gains. I understand that with a company involved in this area of research its all or nothing (usually) and it tends be explosive if and when it happens. so timing is very important. (can you imagine if you have had your money tied up here for 10 years and basically hardly any further forward!)

BB's by their nature, will discuss the minute detail and day-to-day movement of the stock. That's what they do, its inevitable any news/SP movement will be magnified disproportionately. Through that exaggeration you look for themes or repetitive threads that may show an underlying problem's or opportunities.

If people get frustrated by BB's typical exaggeration of events then the solution is pretty simple: Don't go to them. Don't read them. No one is forcing anyone here to come to the site.

So what CJ: Only post "positive" things about AVCT No "negative" posts ever?

So now, when new investors come to this BB, they think what a fantastic company!!! I must buy some of these shares. Is that fair or reasonable?

Do you think the rise and then fall in the SP was caused by posts on this (any other ) BB? or was there other more fundamental reasons?

Most peoples original "expectations" were driven in large part by AVCT themselves and than RAMPED to the heavens by many posters on this BB. were they not? So who is to blame for the discontent now? AVCT and "positive" posters here constantly telling each other "we will all be millionaires!" by (last) Christmas?

The vast majority of posts on this BB are in fact "positive" and it would seem you and many others still can't see the futility of looking at posts in that misrepresentative prism. Its about objectivity. Decide if a post is objective (or not) , that should be the yardstick as to its helpfulness to posters both new and old.

My view is:

Currently AVCT are in development phase and in trial for an absolute key part of their technology with results due in 12-24 months with updates maybe coming within this year (but more likely early next year)

The LFT has been a catalogue of delays (still ongoing) of which the reasons we know almost nothing about other than speculation. There has been no explanation from the BoD why its taken as long as it has from the initial RNS about 18 months ago. That uncertainty has put a question mark over future income from it for me.

Under your rules I should not post this.

you might get the bounce tomorrow ,195p looks a place to convince some that the fall is done. 215-217 would be a target.

time will tell...

ah well..... its a start.....

"Warren Buffett - ‘Trying to time the market is a waste of time’."
What does he know.......