Member Info for wyndrum

Hi SGF,

Well, I'm a sucker for a good looking chart...
As for next? well 3.6p and above is a real big deal (imo), the next stop in theory, would be 5p -5.25p but that's going back a long way, so meh...

I am crap with predicting where next after ATH's are breached so I am "expecting" when 3.6p is confirmed as a new high, then for it to become a floor to then use it as such .

From there I will monitor the SP as everyday the ups & downs make new patterns. ever changing the forecast.

So to re-cap. 3.6p or higher close art the end of the day (whatever day) to suggest further rises more likely than not. RSI nicely poised to allow plenty of upward movement to take place. Then a trading range of 3.60p-5.25p (but as i say the caveat being, and in the absence of anything else to go on, that 5.25p was along time ago.) I'm bullish, basically

just needs to close above 3.6p imo, thats a more key figure, but hey 3.70p would be better....

Thats very good of you coolfree, given I have basically called this right for the last 10 months both in SP movement and my "opinion" analysis.

I think the "explanation" about the LFT from drshan confirms for me the SP fall from the ATH.

"Well, what he actually said is they are at this moment producing 3 production batches to demonstrate consistency of sample at production volumes and that should this prove successful they will be, should be of merchantable quality. "

If that has been the progress since june/july launch effectively, still trialling the test to confirm original test results, then that accounts for very low sales volumes thus far.

Assuming they work at mass production levels is still key but if/when they are, the sales marketing can begin. This i think also explains the lack of PR since launch, and of course any big orders.
The LFT will have to fight for its place in the market but at long last its just about there to compete.

So for me the pieces are beginning to fit as to what happened.

Given all this it looks now a very firm floor on the SP. And if its not going down......

ITV may well be a lunatic, but he's our lunatic, so perhaps you could just lay off please?

I do wonder if my legion of detractors actually ever read my posts......

This might be the time (although we all have thought this previously!), for Jupiter to cash out.

On the face of it no particular bad news in there to push the SP down. Still, more likely than not, good news to come over the next 4-12 weeks both on HUA and the trial. Although i would not expect either to be "breakthrough" news events, it should nevertheless increase the SP from here, in which case the short should cash out asap (imo dyor)

See pahoo, that's not what i think. I was expecting slow LFT sales. This update is pretty much everything we already knew. No surprises. Still jam tomorrow but thats ok, its progressing.

Difficult to read the SP reaction at the moment, might have an initial fall but might not, as it feels as though this is all priced in. Which if it is, a rise might be the on the cards. either way , the RNS I don't think is a big price mover oi of itself

The meeting later will flesh out the bones a bit more but I am not sure what else AS will say of substance that was not in the RNS.

overall it was better then I feared . so, good

Ophidian,

Thats the trouble with blocking posters. You clearly have not read that all along my concern has been with the LFT and its potential. I came to the conclusion 9 months or more ago it was slipping away. For months I have, with much abuse consistently said that, and at the same time I am holding for the outcome of the current Trial.

Whereas you have proclaimed constantly missed timelines, I have forecast the missed timelines. Your response has been to filter me and come to the wrong conclusion (there is a theme developing here), that I have multiple identities.

Thats the thing when posters post their opinion as "fact" when they have no way of proving what they say, when they are wrong as you are, you just look stupid.

I had no issue with you but your default position to being rude simply because of a difference of opinion says perhaps more about you than you realise.

Lowboy, in which case don't buy small cap shares on the AIM market.
It never ceases to amaze me the amount of posts on the "casino, crooked market" that Aim is and yet they put £1000''s in it?

Its like going to your local casino and playing roulette knowing the house was crooked. you wouldn't do that even with a tenner, would you?

Except vegas, at least i don't pass it off as "fact"

Ah, I wondered when the get-out clause would be invoked....

" I have shared info given to me - no more, no less If it's right I'll thank my sources if it's wrong then so be it...."

Great.....Turns out his source is Sujood......

Lowboy, it meant no one wanted to buy them. Did you phone HG? They would have got you a price in the market. (below 3.6p sure, but almost certainly above where it is now)

well its done now.

I hope, really hope ophidian's right........other wise its going to be sticky, again.

Sorry Gj, "Your figures are relying entirely on the business being supported by LFT revenue,...."
but that's not what I said at all.

I said I thought SOME of the current SP reflected the income stream that the LFT is/will generate.

But absolutely I do agree we should know more tomorrow

And thats why I said my best guess... and picked enough tests to generate (very approx) £20m per annum as that figure, given the last update was saying £2m per month cash burn, largely with the cash in bank, takes any future cash raise off the table. So my view was not what I think AVCT are, or are not selling per se, but what I think the market will want to see as a minimum in terms of sales revenue.

I absolutely agree, 50m test per month at £1 a pop and yes the SP will go ballistic. however, I am not expecting that.

Ok Gj, point taken, but as we actually have a test for sale it follows that some of the SP must reflect that income stream. I agree its impossible to know how much, but AS was saying that initially he expects 5m testes per month with a further 30m in the EU? and looking for Asian manufacturers as well. Medusa has 20m per capacity i think?

So with all of that from AS, I don't think its unreasonable to assume that some value in the SP reflects these figures, even allowing for a fair bit of hyperbole.

GJ you are confusing me. You say I should not offer my opinion (but that's all these BB's are for), and then in a previous post state " £20m sales per year would account for 2/3's of the current valuation. Today's milestone payment, will have plugged much of the remaining valuation,"

You state that as fact.

I started my post with "my best guess..."

If its all so laughable why AVCT is valued where it is, you have to assume every investment house who knows about AVCT has been buying at these laughably low prices? Thast the logic isn't it? And yet the SP has resolutely refused to budge. Or is it that somehow just we few on this BB know what the true worth is, Not expected mind, not may be, but IS.

My motives are to try to understand why a potential multi billion £ company that is months away from updating the market on a ground breaking trial and with the most accurate LFT in the world suffered a share price collapse.

Because Tim, its been a reasonable civilised exchange of views.

Nothing for anyone to agitated about.

Thanks Rads (I hadn't seen that)