Member Info for wyndrum

Oh for Gods sake, make you mind up Mowzer, do you think I influence people on here or not with your comment " I think it would be arrogant of a poster on an anonymous BB and have expectations the majority of readers/posters who are researched LTH's to believe their 'advice' or 'warnings'.

Its not me that says that.. That is apparently my crime! its you that brought up my intentions suggestion they were not good!

The SP rose on the back of expected breakthrough on the LFT getting approval and selling in vast numbers. If that had happened I would not have sold !!! However I did sell when it was clearer to me that it was not going to happen or happen in sufficient quantity to justify the SP!

How many times do we have to go around this.

I was right, others were wrong . Whether I was right by luck or judgement is irrelevant. I happened to have called it right on the way up and the way down.

I am hardly unique in stock picking and getting some right and have never purported to be anything other than a trader who spends more time looking at charts than " research"

There was no 20/20 hindsight as I called it all before the events happened and I don't get all my calls right but then again, I have never, ever said I have, have I?

You put words in my mouth that I never said simply to bolster a false image you have invented of me.

Anyone who knows about TA and god knows I have banged on about here enough, knows you also run with levels that if the SP falls to or below you get out so as to preserve capital so you can benefit from your wins and mitigate the losses. Why did you not mention that?

Why have you not mentioned AGL, where so far my calls have been correct, or SYN, or ADV?

Anyway, I feel i have clearly, logically, patiently rebutted every single point you have made and you still seem not to accept anything I say, in which case your mind is closed and made up.

I suggest you do not use that approach in your future investments.

Goodbye

Mowzer, I thought I was done here but when you say:

"I think if you truly have a rational mind with truly good intentions, then you could step back and see the bigger picture here and what this BB represents, the type of posters that come here, what each are looking to take away or influence."

So I can't express my forward thinking because most posters here only want to hear the positive side of AVCT?

Investments go down as well as up. All have a risk attached to them. The majority of posts here extol the upside and not only don't acknowledger the potential risks but seek to personally rubbish the poster(s) who highlight these risks.

Every investor who has played this game for any length of time has at some time over committed on a "sure fire" stock only to end up with a big loss, either realised or on paper.

So you question my "good intentions" yet my warnings, had they been heeded would have saved many here many £1000's. Is that not good enough for you?

But truly I am done here.

Mowzer, I have explained fully my motives and position. You still want to believe something else about me.

Thats fine, Just for the record I am not looking for "respect". I can't keep saying that I don't believe my opinions affect the SP, you choose to believe I am bashing when all i keep repeating is my disappointment in the LFT, which is both vindicated and factual

I have posted nothing, absolutely nothing, to justify the relentless trolling and personal abuse that has followed my comments. The fact that you feel they are justified says more about you than me.

Good luck with your investments, present and future.

My "ulterior" motive Mowzer is simply to comment on AVCT as an investment as I see it. And I don't know why being right in my analysis, whether by luck or judgement, is cause for such vitriol.

My "freedom of speech" does not include being constantly personally abusive to people who do not agree with my opinions. So please don't imply its 6 of one and half a dozen of the other.

Its been a disappointing time for AVCT for the last 9-10 months regards the LFT and that is where all the focus has been so how can it be anything but discussed here.? That's not bashing, that's reality. Can none of you grasp that fundamental FACT?

Recently the focus has shifted to put more emphasis on AVA6000k as its time is now upon us.

There are shorters of AVCT and good luck to them. They took a decision when the SP was about 150p I think if memory serves, and their decision has paid off.

At some stage they will close their short and if AVCt go into a good news cycle the SP will rise from these low prices.

Its just the language here that amazes me here, "attack", "bashing" etc, it's all meant to sound so dramatic and brutal, yet all this is, is buying some stock in the expectation it rises. I don't know if some posters realise how pathetic, childish and immature they come across.

Likewise you want to assign some "motive" to what I do. Why? I just buy and eventually sell stocks I think will go up in value. And that is the long and the short of it.

If you look a my posts, all I have posted is effectively, buy when it was about 100p, it went to 275p and then I said it was starting to look like it was going to fall so i sold on the way down while keeping a core holding for the "fingers crossed" pay off of AVA600.

At some stage assuming some confirmatory good news on the trial I will increase my holding.

Meanwhile my profits from here have been working elsewhere. Bully for me, but isn't that the idea? Make some money, re-invest somewhere else?

The trouble here is that some act on here as though its a cult rather than just a boring investment BB.

(And for the record I don't do Twitter)

So the next time you get wild imaginings on my "ulterior motives" read my post through the prism of someone who simply wants to make money by buying stocks at a low price and selling them at a higher price. At least even though you may still disagree with the content you will have the satisfaction of understanding correctly what i am saying.

Mowzer I get the impression you bother to read my posts.

I have actually never bashed AVCT or AS or the AVA6000 trial, all I did was express concern for the likely disappointment for the LFT.

As for anything libellous, thats a laugh coming from some here... The things said about me Ha ha.

I said in a post at the weekend (now deleted) that (imo) I thought around the mid 70's might be a good place to buy in for the future but I thought personally it might fall a bit more first. We are down 5% presently.

I do see that my posts which express my opinion without being rude or offensive are routinely removed by people here reporting them, simply so my comments cannot be read.

We might as well be living in Russia. Free speech ha! what a joke.

There seems a concerted approach on this BB to impoverish AVCT holders by never allowing them to hear alternative views.

Thats ok, knock yourselves out. But don't kid yourselves, your best interest are being put front & centre.

Good luck

more likely Russia invading Ukraine will give oil a lift.....

pointless thread that is just constantly keeping up the abusive tone by trying to bully a few other posters.

If you bother to read his posts it is very clear that he is here only to cause disruption.

Yes, Touk, some have had come to this conclusion a long time before these wise and sage heads have thoughtfully agreed that maybe the LFT income was most likely over rated....

So, that makes a cash raise almost inevitable. Thing is the price now is 40% below the last cash raise.

The present SP is reflecting the AVA6000 trial underway, so individually we have to try and guess does the current 75p ish SP reflect that its odds on to succeed (in which case there is not going to be a huge jump in the SP on initial data in the coming weeks, or, does the current price reflect the markets concern, that maybe the tech isn't quite as good as trailed, in which case when good news does come out, there will be a much bigger jump in the SP?

This is tricky but given that the actual full trial results are not due until mid 2023 (and lets be realistic, its bound to slip as its the nature of these things in all bio pharma's) then its not a given that the SP will be hugely above today's price when the raise comes.

The down forces are that as a cash raise is coming, it holds the SP back and also there is a low chance of trials like this making it to market. (AVCT's tech looks to be an exception, but the market may not broadly give it the benefit of the doubt and just treat it like all the others).

The upside is that the initial data we expect soon is good or even very good, but the trial will be in a very, very few patients so that may temper the markets reaction.

Will it double from here on good news to 1.50p? can we expect more?

I don't know, but the company has shifted in the markets eyes of being highly cash generative to further years of losses before meaningful revenue arrives, if ever.

The unknowns are the tie ups giving very substantial milestone payments this but its difficult to see that running into several tens of Millions but maybe, or a buy out at this low price. Some may think this ridiculous but it is in a vulnerable position without LFT income and the begging bowl out. Its options may be more limited than we think.

I think a buy out around 200p-300p is the most likely option if one of the tie-ups has enough confidence in the tech to move early.

Just my opinion DYOR etc

Hi Si,

Unfortunately I have never been able to forecast (with any accuracy consistently enough) where a share is likely to go and when, when it hits new highs and I have no reference points.

My "skillset" (if you can call it that), works around what is most likely to happen when in a range.

What will happen (assuming all goes well), that new highs will occur and using the RSI indicator I might be able to see when the SP will look to retrace or come off the top. This will give me the opportunity to trade it by selling and then seeing a level to buy back in.

Whether or not I do this will be determined by the spread on the buy/sell price and the historical speed of the SP rise.

If the SP goes up strongly it may only retrace just enough to make space to fuel another good rise, making trading too risky.

The recent SP action has (as a good example) been pretty much ideal for this type of thing and although I have not gone mental on it, there have been 2 opportunities I took to sell some and then buy back in lower. What I did do more frequently was on dips, add to my core holding.

So although I was frustrated by the frequent delays last year (I don't know if that came across....) I managed to at least profit a bit from them.

For those that think this is all rubbish, if you have bothered and had the patience to read my posts, then you would note that I have for some time, wanted to see a break above 4.4p. Using the HL chart,guess where it closed last night.... 4.41p.... Coincidence?

Anyway, the RSI is in mid range at 59.8 allowing plenty of room to increase (80 being my level that warns me of likely falls), and coupled with the now broken, very stubborn resistance level, we should, more likely than not, see rises next week.
( Just my opinion DYOR etc etc)
Cheers

looks about right Glib, for me (and being picky...) 9.3p will do and then 11.3p next.

Be nice for the LTBH to get this one done. good luck

lets see if this can hold above 4.4p....

How exciting....

ha ha ha!

ok... it looks all right... but where the perisciope?

Its a guess Rum, but two things one its now "early 2022" so at least until the end of feb otherwise he could be amore exact (in the coming days... etc etc)

And yes the chart, which is bit rubbish at the moment. 200p was support then 191p and it flirts with being just under that which does not support imminent news (imo)

So yes its a guess but also what I have learnt with bio techs and miner/oils...is that its always late... I mean always.....

But I am just as happy buying in later at higher levels on, what I think, is a more certain outcome, so i don't feel any panic, or indecision on any of the rebalancing I routinely do. C'est la vie and all that

What do you think we are doing here, Staffy?

define gambling? heres one I googled.... " take risky action in the hope of a desired result."

just because you thinks its "odds on" dosen't mean its not gambling.... :0))

its a real dilemma if you are LTBH.

I have taken a little from that one as its looking like feb now, AGL was another one that seems to be 2-3 months away, so that was an easier call, and AVCT is going going very long term now, so paired back on that too.

Increased my holding on HE1 on the back of yesterdays rise by quite a bit too. No idea what's going on but a 25% move in a day normally means somethings going on and the Chart says buy... so what can i do... my hands are tied.....

fingers crossed anyway.....

Hi Rum, is that SNG?

Good Boy!!

Might be time very soon now.....

come on.... keep it going.....

Wolfie... what can I say, we are still in a trading range 3.65p-4.4p.

The hardest thing to do is sit on your hands....

Personally I have topped up where I can on dips below 4p and have had to re-arrange my PF to try and cash in now as the date closes in on results.

My money should be tied up now only for a small amount of time and then I can take some off and chase the next rainbow.....