Member Info for wyndrum

COY, well lets park any whiff of insider dealing... Your position is relevant if you think that a good results on AVA limits the SP to 200p

GP, if he is on the 'earole for more cash it will have to be on the back of reportable (good) results on AVA. Otherwise the SP would decimated.

Given how close some sort of AVA update is now I can't see why that order of events won't follow and that's assuming a cash raise is on the agenda.

With the failure of LFT income I think there has some been remodeling of the business plan which would also maybe explain the radio silence of recent months.

Mayby as DTW suggested, it is shop window time?

Yes, good point, and in uncertain times Rolex particularly are seen as a "good" investment.

I tend to dismiss the Jewellery side of the business but again if the upmarket party circuit increases then maybe that will a bit of a spin of there too. More weddings might be booked so engagement and wedding rings too might increase in demand?

Lots still to come I think, the downside is that a lot is already priced in to the SP....

Having said all of that I think the recent ATH will be re-visited on the back these up-coming results.

BlackCat,

The SP decline has not been on the back of , in your words "That AIM is corrupt and that rampers and de-rampers manipulate the price to their advantage..."

Its quite something that most of the SP volatility is directly attributable to AS. (The exception being when vaccines were announced)

Whether it was the unexpected cash raise, the unfulfilled LFT hype, then the delays and then the unexpected (and imo unnecessary) "pause". AS has his fingerprints all over the large moves

The volatility either side of that is again in large part to Rampers. Its Rampers that cause it to spike and suck some in, and it only falls back when there is no substantive news to back the previous rise up. So although you acknowledge rampers and derampers I am not sure its a 50/50 split as you perhaps imply.

As i said, i sympathise with the position you currently find yourself in, but I strongly advise coming away from this BB.

Nothing posted here will influence the outcome of AVCT and reading other views will only heighten your emotional turmoil.

Check for RNS's by all means, but nothing here will help you and almost certainly will hinder. (imo DYOR etc etc)

Afternoon D.

" Having said that, if I change now then I might partly miss out on eve suddenly perking up, or SNG etc etc. "

Yep, thats the "risk" alright!.

However i would make the point that these are high risk stocks to begin with so there is probably (generally speaking and not you as an individual), a fair amount of Fear & Greed being exerted in not wanting to sell at any percentage profit.

And then you have to factor in the "gambling" element. (And its best we do!)

There is nothing remotely exciting about cashing in.

The "fun" is watching your stock rise in value. Once you cristallise that gain its very quickly, "oh... what now...?" And then you just look for the next one to do it all over again.

So for most PI's its the journey and not the destination.

Even when losses occur, as its the exact opposite of what you wanted and expected when you originally bought, you get
over it remarkably quickly and do it all again.

It always for me, comes back to a plan. And at the outset is: What am i trying to achieve? How much money do I expect to make?

If there is no reasonably clear idea to begin with then it becomes harder and more stressful to know exactly when to make a decision.

B2, I think you will find there is nothing remotely exciting about losing money :0((

Its interesting that we don't know quite what AVCT are trying to do over the short term. DTW's post has a good deal of logic to it and may well be the most accurate analysis of why the RS's are taking place.

The fact is we don't know know quite where the business is going. (not the tech)

Is it to be listed the Nasdaq? Is it to be bought out as DTW's shows the commercial logic for? Is it to raise sufficient funds to stay independent and become a giant and for the Share holders to ultimately receive the greatest gains?

Intriguing.

If I may Hop, in response toy your honest and frank reply, is that it is a slippery slope that you outline and I imagine very well trodden by many.

Thats why I dislike these BB's. It is so easy to get caught up in all the posts discussing the minute and small moves (5-20%) and think exactly as you did, "why not?, might make a few quid"

It can be and often is, terribly addictive (and ruinous) so thanks again for responding the way you have.

Hop, I am not criticising but if it was as fraught as it clearly made you feel, may I ask, why did you do it in the first place?

Dave, I m not sure about any TO talk. I know as is highlighted here that lots of loss making but have-a-product- in-the-pipeline Co's do get bought out but by that very observation the fact that AVCT hasn't suggests this is still at a very early stage. (Unless that will be the big reveal!!!! ha ha)

The short-term worse case for the SP is that its to prepare and start to clear the way for a fund raise and to get new investors in.

If that's not necessary and there is no new RNS to support the roadshow then it just seems a bit odd, only because these aren't cheap (booking conference rooms, hotels travel for a few of the AVCT board etc etc.

My best guess, but as you say, what do any of us know... Is that there will be an RNS this week with some sort of update/clue on AVA6000.

If not...well, it seems a bit self indulgent if its going to be nothing more than an expensive PR exercise. I would have thought they have better things to do with their time.

Certainly if a cash raise is not the focus of the shows, then any purchase of the stock and SP increase does not help AVCT at all. (It only helps AVCT down the line if and when a raise is required, but if that is 12 months away as some here think, then this would seem a bit previous to me.

Reading between the lines I think there must be a lot of pressure on AS due to the SP now against the last raise. Patience will be wearing: How thin it is, who knows. Whether we like it or not the LFT has been a fiasco from start to finish, again bigger investors must have had some confidence shaken at least a bit in both the product and the boards ability to deliver.

It will be interesting to see what does emerge over the next few weeks.

Hop: Indulged in a bit of trading this morning. Picked up 27 freebies. Terrifying experience."

Really? You need to get out more....

Dave, assuming you are correct, what do you think then, AS and the Board will discuss at the Roadshows?

LFT? a possibility that its back, but unlikely imo,

Which leaves only really the trial. (Can't talk about milestones etc due to NDA's)

If no RNS then can't really talk about AVA either.

If its a general update on what AVCT does thats been done, surely?

Hi Watch, Yes i appreciate that but I expect a statment in the update to reflect that over the coming months a previous source of sales is coming back online/ramping up.

What with Xmas sales and I think airports will be mentioned it should support the SP to go further forward.

I also would not be surprised for dividends to be mentioned and even a special one soon too as they reducing eliminating debt very quickly. Just my opinion DYOR

The update should be positive regarding airports becoming busier as restrictions start to roll back. The chart also suggests to me that the bottom was 1184p. atb

I'm certainly on the same page as RD, but i think there must be news on the current trial.

AVCT have done roadshows before so I think those who need to know about AVCT already do, to a major extent.
Therefore to raise more money I think they have to demonstrate that Precision is a goer based on the results thus far.

If there is good news that is strong enough to be reportable then that must boost the SP thus making a raise easier with less dilution.

There is lot riding on this because if it does not go well, then it makes it all abut harder. I don't think he can get away with him just saying he is confident, it must be backed up with some data of some sort.

(PS: I think the excuse of omicron leading to the the pausing of the the LFT was a smoke screen.

All other tests seem to be the same boat but they did not pull their products, so there was no need for AVCT to do so either. (They had just got EU approval for goodness sake.) Something else was wrong imo.

I will be very surprised if we ever see a resumption of the Covid LFT.

Marik: "This is not an overnight get rich-quick-scheme for traders, it's about saving lives and alleviating suffering, the by product is that we get to make some money."

What are you talking about?

After the IPO, no money goes to SNG. "the by product is that we get to make some money." There is no "by product"... that's the only "product" when we buy the shares (assuming they go up).

If you feel that strongly just donate some cash directly to them for their research, but no stock purchase helps anyone but the broker and you (if it goes up).

And the irony of saying "this is not an overnight get rich-quick-scheme for traders,..." is that it could be exactly that if a "trader buys the night before THE RNS...

Anyway, made me laugh...

it feels like a buy order is being worked but sellers are reluctant and its forcing the SP to edge up. just my opinion dyor etc

its possibly all these posts saying that you will get all your money and more back in the next few weeks that gone him to this mess....

Its possible the refusal on this BB by many to countenance the downside risk that has also contributed.

FWIW BlackCat if you want some self-help I would start by stop reading this BB.

Noobs..." ....I will enjoy living in a full head of head, firm strong erection,...."

Well, that's an image that's gonna fester,,,,

obviously its a bit off topic, but just to pass the time.

An observation I have made is the separation of the SP from the company.

When I day traded it was in just one product (30yr T Bill). In and out several times a day, day in day out. Very quickly I found that the broad macro background had no effect on the minute to minute movements and very quickly the product itself was irrelevant, so it was just numbers.

This led me to divorce my decisions from the actual product and just focus on the actual price action at any given time.

Now I know that different to stocks and longer time frames may undercut some of the above, but what I have seen is that once you look at the company and research it you focus on that itself, the company, (perfectly reasonable).

The problem is I think, then that somehow the individual thinks that they know more than the market does about said company. (which is crazy.)

None of us know remotely what's going on day to day and what progress or not is being made, and what important info is available will go to house brokers and large shareholders. Call it insider trading or what you like but to think that PI research is going to be ahead of the game is (imo) fanciful. Even if it were the case, it would be a very rare event(again, imo).

This then leads to the next problem: Emotional attachment.

Research has led the PI to believe they are on to a winner, there has been much work and research and some "clever" dot-joining to come to that decision. The last thing you want is for the SP to go down and prove you wrong! (so you hang on waiting for the market its mistake and for it to bounce back.)

And the longer you hold a stock the more attached you get to it. (its a bit like doing the same 6 numbers in the lottery. Do it for 5 years and you won't stop now because you just know next week they will come up!)

So i have posted on other BB's that I don't care about the company just the SP. (This can lead to much furore but using Avacta as an example).

Its doing the most fantastic work on improving cancer therapy outcomes. and if successful will transform and save the lives of tens of thousands. But I am not buying into AVCT really, I am just buying effectively a betting slip from a third party who bough it off someone else and i am only buying this much tarnished betting slip in the expectation I can cash it in for a profit.

So, I find it helpful (essential actually), to divorce the SP from the company as the two are not closely related anyway and it helps reduce or remove any emotional attachment to my actions.

Anyway just my musings, please ignore at will.