Member Info for wyndrum

Ok, Paul. do you think there will or won't be trial updates before Q2 25

Simple question

Again Touk has a perfectly reasonable question about p1a results. twice its been deleted.

Its not contravening any single LSE guideline.

Why won't the the person(s) causing this disruption to the BB own up to who they are. Its quite a gutless and cowardly thing to do, to not have the courage to put your hand up. And they are making this a particularly pointless BB.

"Bigger spreads are normally used to calm it down a bit."

Yes, for the reason I gave not your view its to stop traders,. They are done when MM's don't have the correct stock levels against orders accepted. That why you have auctions, when the momentum does not allow MM's to "recover"

"Basically is it sensible to buy more shares before the dilution?

It is if they go up and not so much if they go down....

The market has also worked out your scenario and the SP is staying above the offer price which gives perhaps an indication that the extra stock will be absorbed without to much fuss.

Unfortunately on the other hand the buyers at 11p may want to flip the stock asap to take the profit in which case the SP is likely to fall. Hence my flippant remark up top.

The official results will be released and as that is still 3 weeks away so it looks like its all been date-coordinated for the new stock hitting the market so I am guessing/hoping there will be a positive update at the same time of the results to underpin this huge dilution.

So, take your choice. this is not advice but if it were me and I already had a stake I would sit on my hands as I can't see which way it will go short term. (There is an RSI reversal pattern which suggests the bottom at .13p is it for now, so that is clearly a positive. The only "problem" is that trading this stock on large spreads and quick high percentage moves, makes this a high risk stock to profit from.)

On balance I find patience works most of the time. (once the picture is clearer the risk element deminishes along with the profit margin of course, but I would rather the majority right than wrong.

Good luck with your choice.

Toc, why would mm's want to discourage buying and selling? Why would they care the buying or selling motives of the buyer and seller and how would they know?

More likely they are short of stock and are trying to get some to fufill orders and need a bit of time to straighten their books.

Seems we can talk about a video that clearly is not coming but actually to discuss AVCT seems to cause the threads to get deleted.? Either this BB is broken or the deletion team have gone into mega overdrive

Well, its certainly having a close look at 1.07. interesting it flirted with 1.1p initially which is a good distance above the resistance.

The fact it is sitting on 1.06 suggests it will have another go to see if bears run out of ammo.

Has closed at 1.01 which puts it back into the fairly stable trading range of .98-1.06.

Therefore it needs to close above 1.06 to be a break out. It had a go today with an intraday high of 1.08 as well as a few goes at 1.07.

Once it looked like 1.06 was not going to be broken profits were quickly taken.

If it closes tomorrow below .98p then low 90's beckon.

So as always there are 2 options for SP.

Given its close to the bottom of the trading range means it looks to be easier to fall below .98p and trigger a more bearish sentiment but that is countered by 2 days of rises. So at this price its a difficult call.

Many traders will simply wait to see which move prevails before committing but also, many will already have taken a position and watch as it plays out.

My personal best guess if no RNS, then we will hold onto the gains and stay in the trading range. (It would be very bullish to close above 1.06 on no news.)

".only way is up as we all know, this is bottom and MMs has to release break sooner than later:)"

So RP, what you are saying is that the MM's are deliberately and illegally manipulating the SP and making a false market?

Do you have any evidence of this (wishful thinking does not count)?

I only ask because this is what I think you are saying:

Lots of buys coming in at say, 91p. The MM's either have to millions of shares that they are holding having bought from sellers lower and not matched those sells to buy in the hope they can sell them higher at some stage. What benefit then is there to the MM's to keep the SP low rather than pushing the SP up to meet demand and they even more money?

Or perhaps they make the SP artificially low at 91p hoping this induces sellers to sell even though they don't have buyers for the stock at 91p, allowing them to build up their own holding to at a later stage sell higher?

Or have I misinterpreted what you said/implied?

The MM's job is to make an orderly market. Anything else opens them up to prosecution. And further I have never, ever, ever seen MM's accused of rigging the market when the SP rises.

"Good luck everyone here,"

Thanks, glad we have made up....

Toc, its all subjective.

The whole point of buying a stock (on whatever criteria) is in the expectation it will rise.

Its a projection into the future. There is no right or wrong as no one can see into the future.

Its a crap shoot and if its a small market cap, loss making company then it is simply a long shot gamble.

Sometimes you get luck, mostly you don't.

I had the big fortune of buying at .21p and it 10 bagged within a week, why? because the market had priced in failure and as a fluke, based on previous experience, HE1 with one last throw of the dice, upped stumps and moved to a new drill site having not completed the previous one with various drill breakdowns and delays and struck Gold! (well helium).

Who saw any of that happening? It was desperate stuff, but HE1 got lucky (and so did I)

The stock shot up to over 2p. yet where is it now?

Its a crap shoot, pure and simple. don't get so over wrought in thinking that reading RNS's and "doing research gives you any sort of edge. Remember Minchin? did he tell it straight?) By the time you have the old info the market has already had it, digested it and the SP has reacted accordingly. And the longer view you take so the risk of alternative scenarios multiply reducing the chance of being correct.

Its a different conversation on say, Glencore Mining because of their scale and profits they already make but looking at the high risk tiddlers you seem to be interested in you have no idea whats going on behind the scenes and never have done (or will ever know).

But knock yourself out. If it works for you then great.

I think you will find I am neither negative or positive. My mood or expectation cannot and will not affect the SP, so I just post what I think is most likely to happen.

If it was a stormy day and I said it looks like rain would you say I am being negative about the chance of a sunny afternoon or being realistic as to what the chances were of the short term weather forecast?

All this emotion is not good for you... (I would say "trust me", but I fear that would just raise your blood pressure even more.)

Well I have told you where I am now, so perhaps make a note before coming back here and disrupting the board with made up and inaccurate rubbish? (Just a thought)

I am not sure how you come to the conclusion I am not invested? I mean, you simply have no way of knowing so you are just making that up to suit your own misguided view.

(PS: I don't care or listen to ZAK, I am quite happy with my own criteria to discern the likely move of any stock I choose to buy and sell in.)

Oh dear TOC, you really are having a bad day.

My current trade here is down by 6% so if it ever shoots up to 53p I will be in profit (my previous one was up 30% but I sold when it fell 25% recently), Like I say, sometimes it pays to dip in and out and AVCT for all its fundamental long term slog has been a joy to trade.

Oh dear OTC, you do realise I wasn't talking to you. It was you that spoke to me first.

If you don't like charts, fine, do what you want. It does not matter to me or anyone else here.

TOC, I have made a bundle out of AVCT thanks. (and continue to do so)

Playing around on the stocks is just a hobby for me.

I hate to break it to you but the SP (in all stocks) tend to move one or the other before official news breaks (ever heard of "buy on the rumour, sell on the news"?) there is a reason for that saying. The trick is to buy low and sell high which the charts more often than not foretell, rather than waiting for the official news to be released.

I find on volatile stocks that banking profit tends to over time work better than buy and hold.

But in any event I never hold enough so that should I lose it all it would not affect my lifestyle at all. (A lesson all long term share holders learn over the years.)

TOC, I'm doing fine thanks, no need to worry about me.

Charts aren't dodgy, they just express the current sentiment of the majority.

My experience is they are more reliable than CEO's and RNS pronouncements, but each to his own.

Folio,

I agree its hard to chart aim stocks. The only indicator I find reliable is the RSI to highlight absolute highs and lows.

The close yesterday at .83p was a "new" low it needs to close at least .86p to dismiss its likely relevance.

At .83p the RSI is 24. if it should fall to 20 then I might add for a quick trade, but there is no chart indication yet the fall has stopped so I am content just to wait and see.

ATB

Chesh, I am alright thanks, just not seeing what folio was seeing.

As for my comment on PC's rallying call I just thought you had to press the buy button and then let the company do all the work....

I did think we would have had the ML done by now with all the preparatory work that HE1 had previously done and their continued close collaboration with the Tanz Govt. I decided a while back just to wait and see how this pans out. I may add to my holding but will not consider selling until new news is released.

Cheers