RE: Are we doomed?22 Dec 2018 12:46
I agree with Zib on this, and Pyro regarding the red or black comment. We are now in a coin toss, or perhaps a better analogy would be the roll of a many sided dice, with many potential outcomes, and whilst we hope the dice is loaded in our favour, it possibly isn’t. There are at least 2 potential negative outcomes.
1 - we lose the whole company
2 - we have to repay money straight away.
Zaza has positioned the company successfully for outcome 2 (but not outcome 1) by means of the $60 million loan facility.
Of the more favourable outcomes, we have
3 - Status quo resumed, allowing us to complete hook ups with the 2 majors.
4 - a hefty fine for Hope, followed by us hooking up with the majors
Which one has the greatest probability is anyone’s guess. I’d be grateful if anyone could outline any additional outcomes that I haven’t considered or dismiss some if you think they can’t take place for some reason.
Finally, what would we like to happen on Monday morning? An RNS seems a given, with some up to date information on the court case. Would we prefer a suspension? What would be the implications of such a move?