RE: Observations7 Mar 2024 20:10
Sold now 100% out, 13% down on days price.
Lucky my av was 0.37 on my third stint, av sell 2.8p.
I was up significantly on the first go. Seriously embarrassing!
Lost a little on the second tough.
He1 has been very good to me. Now what?
Well imo many are missing the point by focusing on the ops update. The real news is the company aspirations compared to the interims.
They have a legacy of significantly discounted placings by ‘sht-house’ their house broker. It’s obvious this is a ‘stick with us RNS’ but another placing will follow.
20 December 2023 raised £6.1 million with 2,420,842,500 shares at 0.25p to drill Itumbula! Huge over run!
7 February 2024 raised £4.7 million. 313,333,333 shares at 1.5p. For working capital after Itumbula ‘came in’. Which I believe it has.
That placing is to fund the next stage. Which they still aren’t sure what it is. So how does that work?
‘31 December 2023 closed out pre-tax loss of US$1,064,747. The Company continues to be well funded. “
“31 December 2023 cash balance US$8.7 m.”
Imo they have mixed in the well funded narrative at end of Dec which was before the Feb placing.
They are saying in Dec they were well funded but not necessarily now.
Total loss is 1.38m for 6months to thats admin + min 3m in ops costs based on last 6 months.
So well funded until they do something operational, like Tai deeper or poss further testing on Itumbula.
Then what. A ramp in sp by shthouse before a significant pullback and then a placing.
Placings are fine if accretive but here it’s an unknown beast; it’s an exploration company. You just can’t hold and hug unless extremely lucky.
The company has to dilute to raise funds.
How it does that is here is by legacy Machiavellian trading behaviours that the FCA refuse to get a grip on.
That involves sounding out a placing to those in the know in advance to secure funds so they can forward sell, CFD, or unload stock in advance.
But a blind eye is turned on aim/small cap for ‘greater good’ of funding. So ostensibly funded by PI’s.
Directors have lots of skin in the game? Absolutely. But at each placing they get first dibs and later discounted options!
This is a trading stock not for emotional investors chasing ‘fools gold’. I know. I’ve been caught elsewhere!
For transparency I have sold and will likely buy back again later.
Usual caveats
Trek