FTSE All Share back to Dec 2018 levels5 Jun 2020 16:21
Posting on here and a couple of other boards as I think there is good discussion with reasonable people to be had.
On the 27/12/2018 the FTSE All Share closed at 3591 - 15 pts ahead of today.
Back then you had the threat of a no deal brexit with just 3 months to go but nothing like the numbers in parliment to let it happen as we have today so also there was still the realistic chance of a second referendum.
Back then There were tensions between China and the US.
Fast forward to now and we still have the realistic chance of a no deal brexit - maybe not in name but in terms of damage to the economy we could fail to agree any sort of trade deal and this time there is no chance this time of a pro remain parliament coming to the rescue
We still have a China v US trade stand off
We also have the small matter of a worldwide pandemic which if it hasn't already is going to cause a recession, the size of which may well be bigger than we have seen in a lifetime or best case will still be pretty nasty - the 2008 crisis actually caused relatively little unemployment.
So everyday I wake up expecting a market correction - Maybe not back down to March the 20th levels but certainly somewhere in between.
I sold half my Aviva shares this morning thinking they were due some sort of correction from the last 5 days of increases and put the cash into IGG which gave an absolutely stonking update yesterday. Aviva are up another 6% and IGG down 2.5%....
Ultimately I am happy to see the rise and am getting close to pre Covid levels in my ISA but as I demonstrated this morning, I am getting an itchy trigger finger about this rise being a blip and am keen to not just sit on my hands like I did back in March.
If the FTSE all share is worth 4600 and the FTSE 100 is worth 6500 with Covid 19 what value would it be without!?