RE: Podcast2 Apr 2020 13:29
yes, 28th Feb i think, before the Feb figures were published.
CEO stated that halving would see the hash rate increase by c15% to 40% as least efficient machines get turned off. This was during the time when BTC was c$8k to $9k. Now it is c 25% lower.
It would appear the first 15% may have already switched off due to BTC decline so if remaining 25% switches off next month then difficulty should reduce accordingly.
If most efficient machines can produce BTC now at c$2,500 per coin now this will be c$5k at halving. With difficulty adjusted this could take it down to c$4k. Still a decent margin for ARB even at these low BTC levels.
With year end results due soon (will these be delayed due to covid 19) i'm hoping for
1) special dividend to be announced - 1p has been suggested and this is affordable
2) now that new machines are up and running get an idea of net profit for 3 months from Jan to March.
3) give an idea of profit post halving. For example if conservatively we make £500k a month net profit now after halving will Board go on record to say expecting £250k min. Whilst this seems low it is still £3m a year so at a PE of 10 values ARB at £30m. Our current valuation is £10m - so a 3 bagger. Also having some numbers would reduce the share price mapping BTC price. Yes it is important but it is not the only variable