RE: Astonishing........4 Oct 2019 16:16
It’s a good question. The answer is that a CPR will be a double edged sword for RBD looking to increase their holding. Rathlin holders are not likely to let their stock go for less than its worth. At the moment you have 1 successful well, with no CPR. The minute you have the CPR, or additional wells further proving up the resource, the value of the shares will go up. Sure it will make funding easier to secure, but the buy price will also be considerably higher.
That’s why RBS was able to buy 37% for Rathlin for £3m pre drill, now it looks like they will be spending circa £20m for 20% (reasonable guess figures). Post CPR that £20m might only get you 10% or less.