RE: Information anyone ! Up to date & awaiting a further post.28 Mar 2025 11:28
The updated resources page makes for such a bullish proposition, and let's us make some easy valuations.
Let's say gcm keep only 10% of the mine, giving away 90% to the outsourcing partner who will do the mining and invest $15bn.
Mine revenue of $3.4bn p/a. That's $340m to gcm pa at 10%. The mining partner, taking the other 90%, will recover the $15bn capex costs in less than 5 years, which is extremely attractive in mining terms (meaning it's more likely than GCM give away less than 90%).
At 4x earnings, retaining 10%, gcm are approximately a $1bn company, which is approximately 300p per share. If GCM retain 15%, it's a 450p share price.
Yes it's a binary bet, but wow those are good odds.
The market is valuing GCM at a 100 (or more) to 1 bet, and personally, that screams value to me - given what we know about the political landscape and likely moves post elections.
GLA